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San Francisco County, CA — Auto repair Saturation

How many auto repair exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 38 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Auto repair & maintenance shops · Body, paint & interior repair. Counted together because official statistics use one 811121 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.58× the U.S. rate (between 0.58× and 0.93× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 29 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 18 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   San Francisco County auto repair — 58–93% of the U.S. rate

60 auto repair are counted in San Francisco County — 0.5 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 58% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 21% between 2015 and 2023 (67 → 53). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 94124 (San Francisco), 94109 (San Francisco), 94102 (San Francisco) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 94112 (San Francisco), 94122 (San Francisco), 94110 (San Francisco).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 61 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: San Francisco County sits at 58% of the U.S. rate for auto repair. 18 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 58% and 93% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 94124 and 94109; the lowest measured density is in 94112 and 94122.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing auto repair and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Auto repair
60–118
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (29 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.5
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
0.58×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
61
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
830,479
27 ZIPs with data
Workers
727,248
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
827,526
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−5.4%
−47,300 people
Net migration 2024
+7,552
international +13,146, domestic −5,594
Jobs located here
748,126
LODES 2022, −3.0% since 2019

San Francisco County had an estimated 827,526 residents on July 1, 2024 — 5.4% fewer than in 2020 (−47,300). In the latest year it gained 8,375 people: births minus deaths +818, international migration +13,146, domestic migration −5,594. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

748,126 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−3.0% since 2019), and 438,358 employed residents lived there (−9.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
94158 San Francisco
+33.8%
94102 San Francisco
+14.6%
94103 San Francisco
+13.9%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
94108 San Francisco
−20.1%
94117 San Francisco
−18.9%
94132 San Francisco
−14.6%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes only a broader group that also includes auto glass shops, so an auto-repair-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more auto repair in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 21% since 2015

Number of auto repair in San Francisco County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

67
2015
63
2018
66
2020
63
2021
57
2022
53
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
94124 San Francisco
284%
94109 San Francisco
171%
94102 San Francisco
112%
94118 San Francisco
77%
94110 San Francisco
71%
94122 San Francisco
58%
94112 San Francisco
56%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
94112 San Francisco
56%
94122 San Francisco
58%
94110 San Francisco
71%
94118 San Francisco
77%
94102 San Francisco
112%
94109 San Francisco
171%
94124 San Francisco
284%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few auto repair may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersAuto repairIndex
94103San Francisco Employment hub 34,96486,959 11 162%
94107San Francisco Employment hub 31,82377,106 8 131%
94104San Francisco Destination 49882,128 0–2 —
94105San Francisco Employment hub 13,861127,563 0–2 —
94108San Francisco Employment hub 11,30527,567 0–2 —
94111San Francisco Destination 4,57982,356 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = auto repair per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersAuto repair Per 10kIndexStatus
94124San Francisco 34,47520,546 11 2.5 284% Very high density
94109San Francisco 54,55325,710 10 1.5 171% High density
94103San Francisco 34,96486,959 11 1.4 162% High density
94107San Francisco 31,82377,106 8 1.1 131% Above average
94102San Francisco 35,97631,203 5 1.0 112% Above average
94118San Francisco 39,13011,269 3 0.7 77% Below average
94110San Francisco 66,86528,989 5 0.6 71% Below average
94122San Francisco 55,8197,566 3 0.5 58% Below average
94112San Francisco 79,2776,382 4 0.5 56% Below average
94104San Francisco 49882,128 0–2 — — Not published
94105San Francisco 13,861127,563 0–2 — — Not published
94108San Francisco 11,30527,567 0–2 — — Not published
94111San Francisco 4,57982,356 0–2 — — Not published
94114San Francisco 33,02010,046 0–2 — — Not published
94115San Francisco 32,62918,448 0–2 — — Not published
94116San Francisco 43,7915,596 0–2 — — Not published
94117San Francisco 36,19812,122 0–2 — — Not published
94119San Francisco —19 0–2 — — Not published
94120San Francisco —288 0–2 — — Not published
94121San Francisco 41,9955,144 0–2 — — Not published
94123San Francisco 24,0549,873 0–2 — — Not published
94125San Francisco —72 0–2 — — Not published
94126San Francisco —101 0–2 — — Not published
94127San Francisco 20,2882,758 0–2 — — Not published
94129San Francisco 3,8366,891 0–2 — — Not published
94130San Francisco 2,429780 0–2 — — Not published
94131San Francisco 28,5042,519 0–2 — — Not published
94132San Francisco 26,8595,704 0–2 — — Not published
94133San Francisco 23,80418,304 0–2 — — Not published
94134San Francisco 38,6333,956 0–2 — — Not published
94139San Francisco —78 0–2 — — Not published
94141San Francisco —53 0–2 — — Not published
94143San Francisco —13,141 0–2 — — Not published
94147San Francisco —20 0–2 — — Not published
94158San Francisco 11,3149,763 0–2 — — Not published
94159San Francisco —4 0–2 — — Not published
94164San Francisco —34 0–2 — — Not published
94188San Francisco 031 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in San Francisco

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse San Francisco retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse San Francisco retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse San Francisco retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow San Francisco County and auto repair

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 811121 — automotive body, paint & interior repair. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 61 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.87 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.