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Suffolk County, NY — Auto repair Saturation

How many auto repair exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 110 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Auto repair & maintenance shops · Body, paint & interior repair. Counted together because official statistics use one 811121 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 1.53× the U.S. rate (between 1.53× and 2.52× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 78 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 74 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Suffolk County auto repair — 153–252% of the U.S. rate

230 auto repair are counted in Suffolk County — 1.3 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 153% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2015 and 2023 (205 → 205).

Measured supply density is highest in 11729 (Deer Park), 11705 (Bayport), 11757 (Lindenhurst) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 11901 (Riverhead), 11725 (Commack), 11720 (Centereach).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 256 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Suffolk County sits at 153% of the U.S. rate for auto repair. 74 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 153% and 252% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 11729 and 11705; the lowest measured density is in 11901 and 11725.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing auto repair and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Auto repair
230–386
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (78 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.3
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
1.53×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
256
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,444,016
105 ZIPs with data
Workers
549,149
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,535,909
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+0.9%
+13,734 people
Net migration 2024
+3,412
international +9,881, domestic −6,469
Jobs located here
639,110
LODES 2022, −3.7% since 2019

Suffolk County had an estimated 1,535,909 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.9% more than in 2020 (+13,734). In the latest year it gained 6,880 people: births minus deaths +3,394, international migration +9,881, domestic migration −6,469. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

639,110 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−3.7% since 2019), and 768,254 employed residents lived there (+0.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
11978 Westhampton Beach
+52.5%
11968 Southampton
+45.6%
11937 East Hampton
+35.6%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
11955 Moriches
−34.4%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes only a broader group that also includes auto glass shops, so an auto-repair-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more auto repair in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 0% since 2015

Number of auto repair in Suffolk County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

205
2015
220
2018
212
2020
209
2021
206
2022
205
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
11729 Deer Park
912%
11705 Bayport
497%
11757 Lindenhurst
404%
11766 Mount Sinai
397%
11716 Bohemia
391%
11780 Saint James
377%
11704 West Babylon
345%
11726 Copiague
344%
11778 Rocky Point
334%
11779 Ronkonkoma
331%
11701 Amityville
317%
11713 Bellport
312%
11776 Port Jefferson Station
310%
11787 Smithtown
292%
11763 Medford
270%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
11901 Riverhead
86%
11725 Commack
92%
11720 Centereach
108%
11722 Central Islip
110%
11795 West Islip
118%
11706 Bay Shore
128%
11772 Patchogue
131%
11784 Selden
208%
11731 East Northport
208%
11782 Sayville
211%
11751 Islip
225%
11968 Southampton
239%
11743 Huntington
242%
11764 Miller Place
251%
11746 Huntington Station
267%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few auto repair may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersAuto repairIndex
11747Melville Employment hub 20,51351,326 0–2 —
11749Islandia Employment hub 3,6008,492 0–2 —
11770Ocean Beach Employment hub 77181 0–2 —
11788Hauppauge Employment hub 17,37438,054 0–2 —
11794Stony Brook Destination 83111,090 0–2 —
11931Aquebogue Destination 27525 0–2 —
11932Bridgehampton Employment hub 7252,345 0–2 —
11972Speonk Employment hub 334680 0–2 —
11973Upton Destination 482,693 0–2 —
06390Fishers Island Employment hub 72273 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = auto repair per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersAuto repair Per 10kIndexStatus
11729Deer Park 27,23113,958 27 7.9 912% Very high density
11705Bayport 8,2842,047 4 4.3 497% Very high density
11757Lindenhurst 44,4138,479 17 3.5 404% Very high density
11766Mount Sinai 10,7501,814 4 3.4 397% Very high density
11716Bohemia 9,65916,191 6 3.4 391% Very high density
11780Saint James 15,0186,761 6 3.3 377% Very high density
11704West Babylon 40,70612,470 14 3.0 345% Very high density
11726Copiague 21,4554,146 7 3.0 344% Very high density
11778Rocky Point 12,3902,895 4 2.9 334% Very high density
11779Ronkonkoma 38,20621,220 14 2.9 331% Very high density
11701Amityville 29,50913,816 10 2.7 317% Very high density
11713Bellport 9,2183,760 3 2.7 312% Very high density
11776Port Jefferson Station 22,8086,568 7 2.7 310% Very high density
11787Smithtown 34,49918,002 11 2.5 292% Very high density
11763Medford 29,9738,428 8 2.3 270% Very high density
11746Huntington Station 65,74715,647 17 2.3 267% Very high density
11764Miller Place 12,5512,473 3 2.2 251% Very high density
11743Huntington 43,49018,099 11 2.1 242% High density
11968Southampton 15,3128,019 4 2.1 239% High density
11751Islip 13,7263,416 3 1.9 225% High density
11782Sayville 14,4053,998 3 1.8 211% High density
11731East Northport 29,9996,541 6 1.8 208% High density
11784Selden 26,2442,999 5 1.8 208% High density
11772Patchogue 45,02315,885 6 1.1 131% Above average
11706Bay Shore 68,97624,961 9 1.1 128% Above average
11795West Islip 25,3798,141 3 1.0 118% Above average
11722Central Islip 39,0335,933 4 1.0 110% Above average
11720Centereach 29,2925,738 3 0.9 108% Above average
11725Commack 29,07317,597 3 0.8 92% Below average
11901Riverhead 33,09114,663 3 0.7 86% Below average
11741Holbrook 26,6677,137 ~2 0.7 76% Below average
11702Babylon 13,9094,377 0–2 — — Not published
11703North Babylon 17,1872,515 0–2 — — Not published
11707West Babylon —41 0–2 — — Not published
11715Blue Point 3,936931 0–2 — — Not published
11717Brentwood —12,065 3 — — Not published
11718Brightwaters 3,179647 0–2 — — Not published
11719Brookhaven 3,2351,836 0–2 — — Not published
11721Centerport 6,426735 0–2 — — Not published
11724Cold Spring Harbor 3,0731,375 0–2 — — Not published
11727Coram 28,4953,558 0–2 — — Not published
11730East Islip 14,2473,261 0–2 — — Not published
11733East Setauket 17,7525,672 0–2 — — Not published
11738Farmingville 18,8773,566 0–2 — — Not published
11739Great River 1,2251,418 0–2 — — Not published
11740Greenlawn 10,1272,406 0–2 — — Not published
11742Holtsville 13,2025,410 0–2 — — Not published
11747Melville 20,51351,326 0–2 — — Not published
11749Islandia 3,6008,492 0–2 — — Not published
11752Islip Terrace 9,2041,071 0–2 — — Not published
11754Kings Park 17,5653,544 0–2 — — Not published
11755Lake Grove 12,1445,132 0–2 — — Not published
11767Nesconset 14,9642,970 0–2 — — Not published
11768Northport 22,0306,010 0–2 — — Not published
11769Oakdale 8,9354,747 0–2 — — Not published
11770Ocean Beach 77181 0–2 — — Not published
11777Port Jefferson 9,3967,308 0–2 — — Not published
11786Shoreham 6,459830 0–2 — — Not published
11788Hauppauge 17,37438,054 0–2 — — Not published
11789Sound Beach 7,369213 0–2 — — Not published
11790Stony Brook 21,0745,569 0–2 — — Not published
11792Wading River 8,9042,020 0–2 — — Not published
11794Stony Brook 83111,090 0–2 — — Not published
11796West Sayville 3,560567 0–2 — — Not published
11798Wyandanch —2,060 0–2 — — Not published
11930Amagansett 842938 0–2 — — Not published
11931Aquebogue 27525 0–2 — — Not published
11932Bridgehampton 7252,345 0–2 — — Not published
11933Calverton 6,6933,294 0–2 — — Not published
11934Center Moriches 9,4182,746 0–2 — — Not published
11935Cutchogue 2,863796 0–2 — — Not published
11937East Hampton 21,8825,485 0–2 — — Not published
11939East Marion 1,33164 0–2 — — Not published
11940East Moriches 5,8191,860 0–2 — — Not published
11941Eastport 2,814429 0–2 — — Not published
11942East Quogue 5,4061,094 0–2 — — Not published
11944Greenport 5,0371,674 0–2 — — Not published
11946Hampton Bays 15,8193,886 0–2 — — Not published
11947Jamesport 148230 0–2 — — Not published
11948Laurel 924177 0–2 — — Not published
11949Manorville 14,5631,815 0–2 — — Not published
11950Mastic 17,5991,037 0–2 — — Not published
11951Mastic Beach 15,938568 0–2 — — Not published
11952Mattituck 5,0401,566 0–2 — — Not published
11953Middle Island 12,8462,563 0–2 — — Not published
11954Montauk 4,2231,424 0–2 — — Not published
11955Moriches 2,458646 0–2 — — Not published
11956New Suffolk 29865 0–2 — — Not published
11957Orient 1,121177 0–2 — — Not published
11958Peconic 884384 0–2 — — Not published
11959Quogue 734666 0–2 — — Not published
11960Remsenburg 830101 0–2 — — Not published
11961Ridge 12,315843 0–2 — — Not published
11962Sagaponack 712290 0–2 — — Not published
11963Sag Harbor 8,3902,245 0–2 — — Not published
11964Shelter Island 2,906466 0–2 — — Not published
11965Shelter Island Heights 404326 0–2 — — Not published
11967Shirley 27,9755,900 0–2 — — Not published
11969Southampton —75 0–2 — — Not published
11970South Jamesport 41628 0–2 — — Not published
11971Southold 6,3611,306 0–2 — — Not published
11972Speonk 334680 0–2 — — Not published
11973Upton 482,693 0–2 — — Not published
11975Wainscott 450639 0–2 — — Not published
11976Water Mill 2,9521,097 0–2 — — Not published
11977Westhampton 2,843665 0–2 — — Not published
11978Westhampton Beach 4,7052,397 0–2 — — Not published
11980Yaphank 5,8554,113 0–2 — — Not published
00501Holtsville —0 0–2 — — Not published
06390Fishers Island 72273 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Melville

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Melville retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Melville retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Melville retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Suffolk County and auto repair

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 811121 — automotive body, paint & interior repair. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 256 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.87 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.