BizGapMap

Home / Automotive repair & maintenance / New York / Ulster County, NY

Ulster County, NY — Auto repair Saturation

How many auto repair exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 56 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Auto repair & maintenance shops · Body, paint & interior repair. Counted together because official statistics use one 811121 code.

Not enough published data to rank this market: 55 of 56 ZIP cells are withheld (each 0–2 businesses). The county total is somewhere between 9 and 119.

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 55 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 52 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Ulster County auto repair — 51–640% of the U.S. rate

9 auto repair are counted in Ulster County — 0.4 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 51% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 29% between 2015 and 2023 (7 → 9). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 12401 (Kingston) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 12401 (Kingston).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 20 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Ulster County sits at 51% of the U.S. rate for auto repair. 52 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 51% and 640% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 12401; the lowest measured density is in 12401.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing auto repair and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Auto repair
9–119
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (55 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.4
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
0.51×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
20
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
181,957
53 ZIPs with data
Workers
44,188
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
182,977
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+0.9%
+1,700 people
Net migration 2024
+460
international +842, domestic −382
Jobs located here
56,535
LODES 2022, −4.6% since 2019

Ulster County had an estimated 182,977 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.9% more than in 2020 (+1,700). In the latest year it gained 71 people: births minus deaths −381, international migration +842, domestic migration −382. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

56,535 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−4.6% since 2019), and 78,343 employed residents lived there (−0.8% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes only a broader group that also includes auto glass shops, so an auto-repair-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more auto repair in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 29% since 2015

Number of auto repair in Ulster County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

7
2015
7
2018
6
2020
7
2021
7
2022
9
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
12401 Kingston
240%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
12401 Kingston
240%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few auto repair may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = auto repair per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersAuto repair Per 10kIndexStatus
12401Kingston 35,13616,530 9 2.1 240% High density
12402Kingston —39 0–2 — — Not published
12404Accord 3,935482 0–2 — — Not published
12409Bearsville 86565 0–2 — — Not published
12410Big Indian 343157 0–2 — — Not published
12411Bloomington 32515 0–2 — — Not published
12412Boiceville 475186 0–2 — — Not published
12416Chichester 10613 0–2 — — Not published
12417Connelly 82832 0–2 — — Not published
12419Cottekill 1,081138 0–2 — — Not published
12420Cragsmoor 3817 0–2 — — Not published
12428Ellenville 6,9951,661 0–2 — — Not published
12429Esopus 18541 0–2 — — Not published
12432Glasco 69725 0–2 — — Not published
12433Glenford 4707 0–2 — — Not published
12435Greenfield Park 20935 0–2 — — Not published
12440High Falls 1,826399 0–2 — — Not published
12441Highmount 10652 0–2 — — Not published
12443Hurley 3,559370 0–2 — — Not published
12446Kerhonkson 5,414445 0–2 — — Not published
12448Lake Hill 20714 0–2 — — Not published
12449Lake Katrine 3,0102,059 0–2 — — Not published
12453Malden On Hudson 24135 0–2 — — Not published
12456Mount Marion 39027 0–2 — — Not published
12457Mount Tremper 1,041213 0–2 — — Not published
12458Napanoch 3,074341 0–2 — — Not published
12461Olivebridge 1,60494 0–2 — — Not published
12464Phoenicia 1,033210 0–2 — — Not published
12465Pine Hill 25521 0–2 — — Not published
12466Port Ewen 1,981217 0–2 — — Not published
12471Rifton 2372 0–2 — — Not published
12472Rosendale 1,146291 0–2 — — Not published
12475Ruby 55723 0–2 — — Not published
12477Saugerties 19,0664,279 0–2 — — Not published
12480Shandaken 51047 0–2 — — Not published
12481Shokan 1,247190 0–2 — — Not published
12483Spring Glen 455 0–2 — — Not published
12484Stone Ridge 3,1551,011 0–2 — — Not published
12486Tillson 1,44050 0–2 — — Not published
12487Ulster Park 4,035178 0–2 — — Not published
12489Wawarsing 9344 0–2 — — Not published
12491West Hurley 1,981262 0–2 — — Not published
12493West Park 52683 0–2 — — Not published
12494West Shokan 93489 0–2 — — Not published
12495Willow 27781 0–2 — — Not published
12498Woodstock 4,5721,642 0–2 — — Not published
12515Clintondale 1,492168 0–2 — — Not published
12525Gardiner 2,749885 0–2 — — Not published
12528Highland 13,8273,214 0–2 — — Not published
12542Marlboro 5,612679 0–2 — — Not published
12547Milton 3,144732 0–2 — — Not published
12548Modena 1,064348 0–2 — — Not published
12561New Paltz 19,8304,895 0–2 — — Not published
12568Plattekill —52 0–2 — — Not published
12588Walker Valley —12 0–2 — — Not published
12589Wallkill 18,6461,099 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Kingston

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Kingston retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Kingston retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Kingston retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Ulster County and auto repair

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 811121 — automotive body, paint & interior repair. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 20 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.87 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.