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Collin County, TX — Auto repair Saturation

How many auto repair exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 30 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Auto repair & maintenance shops · Body, paint & interior repair. Counted together because official statistics use one 811121 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.79× the U.S. rate (between 0.79× and 1.05× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 18 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 15 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Collin County auto repair — 79–105% of the U.S. rate

91 auto repair are counted in Collin County — 0.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 79% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 68% between 2015 and 2023 (34 → 57). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 75442 (Farmersville), 75069 (Mckinney), 75074 (Plano) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 75035 (Frisco), 75070 (Mckinney), 75093 (Plano).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 124 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Collin County sits at 79% of the U.S. rate for auto repair. 15 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 79% and 105% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 75442 and 75069; the lowest measured density is in 75035 and 75070.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing auto repair and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Auto repair
91–127
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (18 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
0.79×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
124
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,115,497
27 ZIPs with data
Workers
422,851
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,254,658
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+16.6%
+179,007 people
Net migration 2024
+39,663
international +20,237, domestic +19,426
Jobs located here
552,309
LODES 2022, +14.7% since 2019

Collin County had an estimated 1,254,658 residents on July 1, 2024 — 16.6% more than in 2020 (+179,007). In the latest year it gained 46,694 people: births minus deaths +7,142, international migration +20,237, domestic migration +19,426. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

552,309 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+14.7% since 2019), and 575,179 employed residents lived there (+13.5% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
75009 Celina
+143.2%
75173 Nevada
+141.9%
75454 Melissa
+119.6%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
75070 Mckinney
−38.6%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes only a broader group that also includes auto glass shops, so an auto-repair-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more auto repair in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 68% since 2015

Number of auto repair in Collin County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

34
2015
60
2018
53
2020
48
2021
53
2022
57
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
75442 Farmersville
297%
75069 Mckinney
286%
75074 Plano
232%
75098 Wylie
200%
75071 Mckinney
185%
75454 Melissa
142%
75075 Plano
135%
75078 Prosper
118%
75002 Allen
99%
75093 Plano
92%
75070 Mckinney
59%
75035 Frisco
36%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
75035 Frisco
36%
75070 Mckinney
59%
75093 Plano
92%
75002 Allen
99%
75078 Prosper
118%
75075 Plano
135%
75454 Melissa
142%
75071 Mckinney
185%
75098 Wylie
200%
75074 Plano
232%
75069 Mckinney
286%
75442 Farmersville
297%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few auto repair may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersAuto repairIndex
75024Plano Employment hub 45,652115,526 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = auto repair per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersAuto repair Per 10kIndexStatus
75442Farmersville 10,8051,761 3 2.6 297% Very high density
75069Mckinney 40,03225,028 13 2.5 286% Very high density
75074Plano 53,83131,893 14 2.0 232% High density
75098Wylie 69,32511,468 13 1.7 200% High density
75071Mckinney 72,96416,795 13 1.6 185% High density
75454Melissa 22,9902,927 3 1.2 142% Above average
75075Plano 38,13526,491 6 1.2 135% Above average
75078Prosper 53,01111,016 6 1.0 118% Above average
75002Allen 75,05713,181 7 0.9 99% Below average
75093Plano 47,95454,983 6 0.8 92% Below average
75070Mckinney 64,07827,990 4 0.5 59% Below average
75035Frisco 89,68211,685 3 0.3 36% Far below average
75009Celina 34,2602,823 0–2 — — Not published
75013Allen 49,79620,674 0–2 — — Not published
75023Plano 49,22910,825 0–2 — — Not published
75024Plano 45,652115,526 0–2 — — Not published
75025Plano 53,2024,878 0–2 — — Not published
75026Plano —310 0–2 — — Not published
75072Mckinney 55,0872,224 0–2 — — Not published
75086Plano —223 0–2 — — Not published
75094Plano 24,2004,306 0–2 — — Not published
75097Weston —15 0–2 — — Not published
75164Josephine 885155 0–2 — — Not published
75166Lavon 6,989549 0–2 — — Not published
75173Nevada 10,664795 0–2 — — Not published
75252Dallas 28,61812,925 0–2 — — Not published
75287Dallas 53,9596,439 0–2 — — Not published
75407Princeton 34,1712,283 0–2 — — Not published
75409Anna 27,1313,004 0–2 — — Not published
75424Blue Ridge 3,790227 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Plano

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Plano retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Plano retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Plano retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Collin County and auto repair

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 811121 — automotive body, paint & interior repair. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 124 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.87 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.