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Cambria County, PA — Bars Saturation

How many bars exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 44 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Bars & taverns · Pubs & brewpubs (drinking-focused) · Cocktail & wine bars · Taprooms. Counted together because official statistics use one 722410 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 2.07× the U.S. rate (between 2.07× and 6.48× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 36 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 34 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Cambria County bars — 207–648% of the U.S. rate

32 bars are counted in Cambria County — 2.1 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 207% of the U.S. rate of 1.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 18% between 2015 and 2023 (17 → 14). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 15902 (Johnstown), 15906 (Johnstown), 15931 (Ebensburg) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 15904 (Johnstown), 15905 (Johnstown), 15931 (Ebensburg).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 45 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Cambria County sits at 207% of the U.S. rate for bars. 34 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 207% and 648% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 15902 and 15906; the lowest measured density is in 15904 and 15905.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing bars and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Bars
32–104
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (36 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.1
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.0
per 10,000 present
County index
2.07×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
45
2023 — $3M annual payroll
Residents
131,380
42 ZIPs with data
Workers
43,083
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
130,108
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−2.3%
−3,090 people
Net migration 2024
+156
international +111, domestic +45
Jobs located here
47,760
LODES 2022, −6.2% since 2019

Cambria County had an estimated 130,108 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.3% fewer than in 2020 (−3,090). In the latest year it lost 605 people: births minus deaths −755, international migration +111, domestic migration +45. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

47,760 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−6.2% since 2019), and 53,862 employed residents lived there (−4.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
10
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$429K
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$43K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more bars in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 18% since 2015

Number of bars in Cambria County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

17
2015
18
2018
14
2020
14
2021
14
2022
14
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
15902 Johnstown
396%
15906 Johnstown
375%
15931 Ebensburg
260%
15905 Johnstown
216%
15904 Johnstown
131%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
15904 Johnstown
131%
15905 Johnstown
216%
15931 Ebensburg
260%
15906 Johnstown
375%
15902 Johnstown
396%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few bars may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersBarsIndex
15934Elton Employment hub 3680 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = bars per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersBars Per 10kIndexStatus
15901Johnstown 3,3973,405 6 11.8 1166% Very high density
15943Nanty Glo 3,925405 3 7.3 721% Very high density
16630Cresson 4,7261,698 3 5.4 533% Very high density
15902Johnstown 11,4622,088 5 4.0 396% Very high density
15906Johnstown 9,5042,144 4 3.8 375% Very high density
15931Ebensburg 8,9195,069 3 2.6 260% Very high density
15905Johnstown 19,3297,188 5 2.2 216% High density
15904Johnstown 16,02613,198 3 1.3 131% Above average
15714Northern Cambria 5,2051,198 0–2 — — Not published
15722Carrolltown 2,358402 0–2 — — Not published
15737Elmora 12379 0–2 — — Not published
15738Emeigh 1863 0–2 — — Not published
15762Nicktown 887141 0–2 — — Not published
15773Saint Benedict 44862 0–2 — — Not published
15907Johnstown —281 0–2 — — Not published
15909Johnstown 4,571506 0–2 — — Not published
15921Beaverdale 26980 0–2 — — Not published
15922Belsano 828 0–2 — — Not published
15927Colver 84666 0–2 — — Not published
15934Elton 3680 0–2 — — Not published
15938Lilly 2,312124 0–2 — — Not published
15940Loretto 3,8411,536 0–2 — — Not published
15942Mineral Point 2,185114 0–2 — — Not published
15945Parkhill 17325 0–2 — — Not published
15946Portage 6,561711 0–2 — — Not published
15948Revloc 39111 0–2 — — Not published
15951Saint Michael 633129 0–2 — — Not published
15952Salix 1,015221 0–2 — — Not published
15955Sidman 2,399365 0–2 — — Not published
15956South Fork 2,274187 0–2 — — Not published
15958Summerhill 2,260337 0–2 — — Not published
15960Twin Rocks 16348 0–2 — — Not published
15961Vintondale 87539 0–2 — — Not published
15962Wilmore 39150 0–2 — — Not published
16613Ashville 1,64748 0–2 — — Not published
16619Blandburg 3938 0–2 — — Not published
16624Chest Springs 25330 0–2 — — Not published
16636Dysart 80826 0–2 — — Not published
16639Fallentimber 1,39037 0–2 — — Not published
16640Flinton 1,07739 0–2 — — Not published
16641Gallitzin 2,348227 0–2 — — Not published
16644Glasgow —13 0–2 — — Not published
16646Hastings 2,185419 0–2 — — Not published
16668Patton 3,507532 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Johnstown

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Johnstown retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Johnstown retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Johnstown retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Cambria County and bars

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722410 — drinking places (alcoholic beverages). Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 45 establishments and $3M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.01 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.