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Anchorage Municipality, AK — Car washes Saturation

How many car washes exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 26 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Car wash tunnels & bays · Self-serve & automatic washes · Detailing (wash-attached). Counted together because official statistics use one 811192 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.96× the U.S. rate (between 0.96× and 2.44× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 22 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 13 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Anchorage Municipality car washes — 96–244% of the U.S. rate

17 car washes are counted in Anchorage Municipality — 0.5 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 96% of the U.S. rate of 0.5.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2015 and 2023 (10 → 10).

Measured supply density is highest in 99518 (Anchorage), 99577 (Eagle River), 99501 (Anchorage) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 99507 (Anchorage), 99501 (Anchorage), 99577 (Eagle River).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 21 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Anchorage Municipality sits at 96% of the U.S. rate for car washes. 13 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 96% and 244% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 99518 and 99577; the lowest measured density is in 99507 and 99501.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing car washes and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Car washes
17–61
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (22 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.5
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.5
per 10,000 present
County index
0.96×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
21
2023 — $4M annual payroll
Residents
290,303
17 ZIPs with data
Workers
141,024
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
289,600
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−0.4%
−1,305 people
Net migration 2024
+141
international +2,463, domestic −2,322

Anchorage Municipality had an estimated 289,600 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.4% fewer than in 2020 (−1,305). In the latest year it gained 1,668 people: births minus deaths +1,518, international migration +2,463, domestic migration −2,322. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

Census LODES files for this state are incomplete in this release (3090 jobs statewide), so they are not shown.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant increase.

ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
99567 Chugiak
−27.0%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes only a broader group that also includes oil-change and other auto service shops, so a car-wash-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery.

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more car washes in that ZIP.

Market trend — up 0% since 2015

Number of car washes in Anchorage Municipality across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

10
2015
8
2018
7
2020
9
2021
11
2022
10
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
99518 Anchorage
787%
99577 Eagle River
270%
99501 Anchorage
238%
99507 Anchorage
197%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
99507 Anchorage
197%
99501 Anchorage
238%
99577 Eagle River
270%
99518 Anchorage
787%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few car washes may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersCar washesIndex
99503Anchorage Employment hub 12,96442,255 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = car washes per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersCar washes Per 10kIndexStatus
99518Anchorage 9,76411,640 6 3.9 787% Very high density
99577Eagle River 28,4773,663 4 1.3 270% Very high density
99501Anchorage 16,17519,146 3 1.2 238% High density
99507Anchorage 37,3018,212 4 1.0 197% High density
99502Anchorage 25,00611,833 0–2 — — Not published
99503Anchorage 12,96442,255 0–2 — — Not published
99504Anchorage 42,0935,647 0–2 — — Not published
99505Jber 5,015229 0–2 — — Not published
99506Jber 7,028754 0–2 — — Not published
99508Anchorage 36,45819,210 0–2 — — Not published
99509Anchorage —112 0–2 — — Not published
99510Anchorage —50 0–2 — — Not published
99511Anchorage —66 0–2 — — Not published
99513Anchorage 012 0–2 — — Not published
99515Anchorage 21,87013,278 0–2 — — Not published
99516Anchorage 21,5001,158 0–2 — — Not published
99517Anchorage 16,4862,314 0–2 — — Not published
99519Anchorage 1,297256 0–2 — — Not published
99520Anchorage —11 0–2 — — Not published
99521Anchorage —7 0–2 — — Not published
99522Anchorage —24 0–2 — — Not published
99523Anchorage —54 0–2 — — Not published
99524Anchorage —150 0–2 — — Not published
99540Indian 46849 0–2 — — Not published
99567Chugiak 6,452780 0–2 — — Not published
99587Girdwood 1,949600 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Anchorage

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Anchorage retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Anchorage retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Anchorage retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Anchorage Municipality and car washes

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 811192 — car washes. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 21 establishments and $4M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.49 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.