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Hillsborough, FL — Car washes Saturation

How many car washes exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 84 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Car wash tunnels & bays · Self-serve & automatic washes · Detailing (wash-attached). Counted together because official statistics use one 811192 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.83× the U.S. rate (between 0.83× and 1.58× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 66 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 35 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Hillsborough car washes — 83–158% of the U.S. rate

78 car washes are counted in Hillsborough — 0.4 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 83% of the U.S. rate of 0.5.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 23% between 2015 and 2023 (26 → 32). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 33548 (Lutz), 33559 (Lutz), 33615 (Tampa) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 33612 (Tampa), 33617 (Tampa), 33613 (Tampa).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 105 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Hillsborough sits at 83% of the U.S. rate for car washes. 35 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 83% and 158% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 33548 and 33559; the lowest measured density is in 33612 and 33617.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing car washes and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Car washes
78–210
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (66 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.4
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.5
per 10,000 present
County index
0.83×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
105
2023 — $22M annual payroll
Residents
1,564,112
53 ZIPs with data
Workers
712,069
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,581,426
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+7.8%
+115,106 people
Net migration 2024
+19,297
international +30,485, domestic −11,188
Jobs located here
789,751
LODES 2022, +7.4% since 2019

Hillsborough had an estimated 1,581,426 residents on July 1, 2024 — 7.8% more than in 2020 (+115,106). In the latest year it gained 24,113 people: births minus deaths +4,846, international migration +30,485, domestic migration −11,188. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

789,751 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+7.4% since 2019), and 679,587 employed residents lived there (+6.3% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
33598 Wimauma
+63.7%
33556 Odessa
+54.2%
33573 Sun City Center
+52.6%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
33596 Valrico
−10.0%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes only a broader group that also includes oil-change and other auto service shops, so a car-wash-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery.

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more car washes in that ZIP.

Market trend — up 23% since 2015

Number of car washes in Hillsborough across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

26
2015
28
2018
35
2020
34
2021
31
2022
32
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
33548 Lutz
583%
33559 Lutz
371%
33615 Tampa
320%
33619 Tampa
215%
33566 Plant City
205%
33563 Plant City
193%
33609 Tampa
192%
33511 Brandon
192%
33604 Tampa
188%
33547 Lithia
184%
33578 Riverview
176%
33614 Tampa
174%
33625 Tampa
171%
33647 Tampa
142%
33613 Tampa
139%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
33612 Tampa
95%
33617 Tampa
115%
33613 Tampa
139%
33647 Tampa
142%
33625 Tampa
171%
33614 Tampa
174%
33578 Riverview
176%
33547 Lithia
184%
33604 Tampa
188%
33511 Brandon
192%
33609 Tampa
192%
33563 Plant City
193%
33566 Plant City
205%
33619 Tampa
215%
33615 Tampa
320%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few car washes may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersCar washesIndex
33607Tampa Employment hub 25,29187,744 4 118%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = car washes per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersCar washes Per 10kIndexStatus
33548Lutz 8,9673,113 3 2.9 583% Very high density
33559Lutz 18,8316,456 4 1.8 371% Very high density
33615Tampa 47,2457,839 8 1.6 320% Very high density
33619Tampa 41,39650,283 7 1.1 215% High density
33566Plant City 24,52110,851 3 1.0 205% High density
33563Plant City 25,89611,833 3 0.9 193% High density
33609Tampa 18,53526,742 3 0.9 192% High density
33511Brandon 62,13824,857 7 0.9 192% High density
33604Tampa 40,0557,063 4 0.9 188% High density
33547Lithia 31,4313,935 3 0.9 184% High density
33578Riverview 60,65118,280 6 0.9 176% High density
33614Tampa 47,29823,112 5 0.8 174% High density
33625Tampa 29,96711,693 3 0.8 171% High density
33647Tampa 74,84422,948 6 0.7 142% Above average
33613Tampa 37,59112,875 3 0.7 139% Above average
33607Tampa 25,29187,744 4 0.6 118% Above average
33617Tampa 47,85110,575 3 0.6 115% Above average
33612Tampa 49,00531,340 3 0.5 95% Below average
33503Balm 89120 0–2 — — Not published
33508Brandon —44 0–2 — — Not published
33509Brandon —100 0–2 — — Not published
33510Brandon 30,5783,705 0–2 — — Not published
33527Dover 17,3644,039 0–2 — — Not published
33534Gibsonton 17,7404,093 0–2 — — Not published
33549Lutz 18,1787,023 0–2 — — Not published
33550Mango 022 0–2 — — Not published
33556Odessa 35,7559,241 0–2 — — Not published
33558Lutz 33,1656,461 0–2 — — Not published
33564Plant City —360 0–2 — — Not published
33565Plant City 18,1081,927 0–2 — — Not published
33567Plant City 12,5621,696 0–2 — — Not published
33568Riverview —290 0–2 — — Not published
33569Riverview 27,8676,025 0–2 — — Not published
33570Ruskin 33,3196,838 0–2 — — Not published
33571Sun City Center —15 0–2 — — Not published
33572Apollo Beach 26,4953,977 0–2 — — Not published
33573Sun City Center 35,3625,659 0–2 — — Not published
33575Ruskin —5 0–2 — — Not published
33579Riverview 49,4702,769 0–2 — — Not published
33583Seffner —140 0–2 — — Not published
33584Seffner 28,5797,837 0–2 — — Not published
33586Sun City —36 0–2 — — Not published
33592Thonotosassa 12,3333,094 0–2 — — Not published
33594Valrico 37,3613,345 0–2 — — Not published
33595Valrico —8 0–2 — — Not published
33596Valrico 27,7573,165 0–2 — — Not published
33598Wimauma 32,8201,883 0–2 — — Not published
33601Tampa —447 0–2 — — Not published
33602Tampa 21,45241,650 0–2 — — Not published
33603Tampa 19,8695,368 0–2 — — Not published
33605Tampa 16,03019,797 0–2 — — Not published
33606Tampa 24,57026,085 0–2 — — Not published
33608Tampa —437 0–2 — — Not published
33610Tampa 46,58749,194 0–2 — — Not published
33611Tampa 36,8109,175 0–2 — — Not published
33616Tampa 15,8301,384 0–2 — — Not published
33618Tampa 27,77115,488 0–2 — — Not published
33620Tampa 7,298164 0–2 — — Not published
33621Tampa 2,3931,579 0–2 — — Not published
33622Tampa —141 0–2 — — Not published
33624Tampa 41,3467,390 0–2 — — Not published
33626Tampa 30,5759,335 0–2 — — Not published
33629Tampa 27,7108,664 0–2 — — Not published
33630Tampa —30 0–2 — — Not published
33634Tampa 21,86242,884 0–2 — — Not published
33635Tampa 19,1343,504 0–2 — — Not published
33637Tampa 17,65816,072 0–2 — — Not published
33646Tampa —63 0–2 — — Not published
33672Tampa —29 0–2 — — Not published
33673Tampa —109 0–2 — — Not published
33674Tampa —153 0–2 — — Not published
33675Tampa —217 0–2 — — Not published
33677Tampa —26 0–2 — — Not published
33679Tampa —46 0–2 — — Not published
33680Tampa —34 0–2 — — Not published
33681Tampa —18 0–2 — — Not published
33682Tampa —40 0–2 — — Not published
33684Tampa —135 0–2 — — Not published
33685Tampa —168 0–2 — — Not published
33686Tampa —12 0–2 — — Not published
33687Tampa —104 0–2 — — Not published
33688Tampa —48 0–2 — — Not published
33689Tampa —94 0–2 — — Not published
33694Tampa —27 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Tampa

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Tampa retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Tampa retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Tampa retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Hillsborough and car washes

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

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Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 811192 — car washes. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 105 establishments and $22M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.49 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.