BizGapMap

Home / Car washes / New York / Erie County, NY

Erie County, NY — Car washes Saturation

How many car washes exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 73 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Car wash tunnels & bays · Self-serve & automatic washes · Detailing (wash-attached). Counted together because official statistics use one 811192 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.44× the U.S. rate (between 0.44× and 2.53× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 66 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 59 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Erie County car washes — 44–253% of the U.S. rate

25 car washes are counted in Erie County — 0.2 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 44% of the U.S. rate of 0.5.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2015 and 2023 (3 → 3).

Measured supply density is highest in 14059 (Elma), 14219 (Buffalo), 14068 (Getzville) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 14150 (Tonawanda), 14075 (Hamburg), 14225 (Buffalo).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 44 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Erie County sits at 44% of the U.S. rate for car washes. 59 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 44% and 253% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 14059 and 14219; the lowest measured density is in 14150 and 14075.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing car washes and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Car washes
25–157
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (66 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.2
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.5
per 10,000 present
County index
0.44×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
44
2023 — $13M annual payroll
Residents
948,221
66 ZIPs with data
Workers
414,184
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
950,602
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−0.2%
−1,751 people
Net migration 2024
+2,757
international +5,371, domestic −2,614
Jobs located here
475,018
LODES 2022, −3.6% since 2019

Erie County had an estimated 950,602 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.2% fewer than in 2020 (−1,751). In the latest year it gained 2,216 people: births minus deaths −568, international migration +5,371, domestic migration −2,614. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

475,018 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−3.6% since 2019), and 429,001 employed residents lived there (−3.3% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
14212 Buffalo
+24.1%
14228 Buffalo
+16.1%
14086 Lancaster
+9.4%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes only a broader group that also includes oil-change and other auto service shops, so a car-wash-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery.

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more car washes in that ZIP.

Market trend — up 0% since 2015

Number of car washes in Erie County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

3
2015
3
2018
3
2020
3
2021
3
2022
3
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
14059 Elma
557%
14219 Buffalo
431%
14068 Getzville
419%
14221 Buffalo
182%
14225 Buffalo
131%
14075 Hamburg
123%
14150 Tonawanda
118%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
14150 Tonawanda
118%
14075 Hamburg
123%
14225 Buffalo
131%
14221 Buffalo
182%
14068 Getzville
419%
14219 Buffalo
431%
14059 Elma
557%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few car washes may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersCar washesIndex
14134Sardinia Employment hub 32154 0–2 —
14202Buffalo Employment hub 3,86221,925 0–2 —
14203Buffalo Employment hub 2,42424,197 0–2 —
14260Buffalo Employment hub 9242,400 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = car washes per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersCar washes Per 10kIndexStatus
14059Elma 9,1383,753 3 2.7 557% Very high density
14219Buffalo 10,6527,159 3 2.1 431% Very high density
14068Getzville 8,63612,031 3 2.0 419% Very high density
14221Buffalo 55,25546,958 7 0.9 182% High density
14225Buffalo 33,62026,107 3 0.6 131% Above average
14075Hamburg 44,52010,368 3 0.6 123% Above average
14150Tonawanda 41,26021,679 3 0.6 118% Above average
14001Akron 8,9372,610 0–2 — — Not published
14004Alden 11,3961,898 0–2 — — Not published
14006Angola 9,260949 0–2 — — Not published
14010Athol Springs —98 0–2 — — Not published
14025Boston 3,243257 0–2 — — Not published
14026Bowmansville 617496 0–2 — — Not published
14027Brant 142152 0–2 — — Not published
14030Chaffee 2,067573 0–2 — — Not published
14031Clarence 9,8855,061 0–2 — — Not published
14032Clarence Center 10,2221,329 0–2 — — Not published
14033Colden 1,539202 0–2 — — Not published
14034Collins 2,086267 0–2 — — Not published
14035Collins Center 1522 0–2 — — Not published
14043Depew 25,09811,786 0–2 — — Not published
14047Derby 6,0131,089 0–2 — — Not published
14051East Amherst 19,7393,441 0–2 — — Not published
14052East Aurora 17,5149,140 0–2 — — Not published
14055East Concord 1,41856 0–2 — — Not published
14057Eden 7,972842 0–2 — — Not published
14061Farnham 9333 0–2 — — Not published
14069Glenwood 443255 0–2 — — Not published
14072Grand Island 21,4886,653 0–2 — — Not published
14080Holland 4,444627 0–2 — — Not published
14085Lake View 8,531327 0–2 — — Not published
14086Lancaster 35,63511,976 0–2 — — Not published
14091Lawtons 1,31622 0–2 — — Not published
14102Marilla 1,85650 0–2 — — Not published
14110North Boston —77 0–2 — — Not published
14111North Collins 3,186641 0–2 — — Not published
14127Orchard Park 31,54315,809 0–2 — — Not published
14134Sardinia 32154 0–2 — — Not published
14139South Wales 2,113249 0–2 — — Not published
14141Springville 7,6033,046 0–2 — — Not published
14151Tonawanda —115 0–2 — — Not published
14169Wales Center 7777 0–2 — — Not published
14170West Falls 2,292296 0–2 — — Not published
14201Buffalo 12,3694,039 0–2 — — Not published
14202Buffalo 3,86221,925 0–2 — — Not published
14203Buffalo 2,42424,197 0–2 — — Not published
14204Buffalo 7,9324,580 0–2 — — Not published
14205Buffalo —108 0–2 — — Not published
14206Buffalo 21,6318,431 0–2 — — Not published
14207Buffalo 26,3279,331 0–2 — — Not published
14208Buffalo 12,5721,988 0–2 — — Not published
14209Buffalo 8,3135,573 0–2 — — Not published
14210Buffalo 15,56312,568 0–2 — — Not published
14211Buffalo 24,6633,621 0–2 — — Not published
14212Buffalo 13,2992,550 0–2 — — Not published
14213Buffalo 24,1073,563 0–2 — — Not published
14214Buffalo 21,3148,133 0–2 — — Not published
14215Buffalo 42,5249,465 0–2 — — Not published
14216Buffalo 22,8495,522 0–2 — — Not published
14217Buffalo 22,4716,869 0–2 — — Not published
14218Buffalo 20,3124,329 0–2 — — Not published
14220Buffalo 24,4287,962 0–2 — — Not published
14222Buffalo 15,3113,481 0–2 — — Not published
14223Buffalo 22,6112,922 0–2 — — Not published
14224Buffalo 41,21913,381 0–2 — — Not published
14226Buffalo 29,15914,884 0–2 — — Not published
14227Buffalo 20,6217,177 0–2 — — Not published
14228Buffalo 25,35015,784 0–2 — — Not published
14231Buffalo —235 0–2 — — Not published
14240Buffalo —1,358 0–2 — — Not published
14260Buffalo 9242,400 0–2 — — Not published
14261Buffalo 5,0331,089 0–2 — — Not published
14263Buffalo —1,095 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Buffalo

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Buffalo retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Buffalo retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Buffalo retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Erie County and car washes

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 811192 — car washes. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 44 establishments and $13M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.49 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.