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Capitol Planning Region, CT — Day care Saturation

How many day care exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 96 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Child day care centers · Preschools & pre-K · Family home day care · After-school programs. Counted together because official statistics use one 624410 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.83× the U.S. rate (between 0.83× and 1.11× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 61 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 34 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Capitol Planning Region day care — 83–111% of the U.S. rate

201 day care are counted in Capitol Planning Region — 1.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 83% of the U.S. rate of 2.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2022 and 2023 (194 → 195).

Measured supply density is highest in 06447 (Marlborough), 06035 (Granby), 06119 (West Hartford) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 06095 (Windsor), 06053 (New Britain), 06112 (Hartford).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 230 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Capitol Planning Region sits at 83% of the U.S. rate for day care. 34 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 83% and 111% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 06447 and 06035; the lowest measured density is in 06095 and 06053.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing day care and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Day care
201–323
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (61 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.0
per 10,000 present
County index
0.83×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
230
2023 — $127M annual payroll
Residents
977,746
69 ZIPs with data
Workers
442,961
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
991,508
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+2.8%
+27,420 people
Net migration 2024
+8,121
international +9,950, domestic −1,829
Jobs located here
518,406
LODES 2022, −4.3% since 2019

Capitol Planning Region had an estimated 991,508 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.8% more than in 2020 (+27,420). In the latest year it gained 8,182 people: births minus deaths +33, international migration +9,950, domestic migration −1,829. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

518,406 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−4.3% since 2019), and 460,756 employed residents lived there (−3.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
06066 Vernon Rockville
+4.4%
06109 Wethersfield
+4.1%
06002 Bloomfield
+4.0%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
06269 Storrs Mansfield
−22.6%
06078 Suffield
−14.0%
06082 Enfield
−6.9%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
1,949
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$39.0M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$20K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more day care in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 1% since 2022

Number of day care in Capitol Planning Region across 2022–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

194
2022
195
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
06447 Marlborough
289%
06035 Granby
288%
06119 West Hartford
247%
06026 East Granby
225%
06019 Canton
222%
06029 Ellington
195%
06120 Hartford
178%
06071 Somers
173%
06033 Glastonbury
170%
06084 Tolland
151%
06074 South Windsor
145%
06082 Enfield
142%
06070 Simsbury
137%
06105 Hartford
124%
06078 Suffield
123%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
06095 Windsor
34%
06053 New Britain
50%
06112 Hartford
63%
06114 Hartford
64%
06109 Wethersfield
64%
06001 Avon
66%
06108 East Hartford
76%
06107 West Hartford
84%
06066 Vernon Rockville
86%
06489 Southington
88%
06110 West Hartford
88%
06032 Farmington
88%
06067 Rocky Hill
89%
06002 Bloomfield
97%
06106 Hartford
97%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few day care may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersDay careIndex
06103Hartford Employment hub 2,94919,994 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = day care per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersDay care Per 10kIndexStatus
06447Marlborough 6,1301,369 4 5.9 289% Very high density
06035Granby 7,8171,488 5 5.8 288% Very high density
06119West Hartford 14,7932,314 8 5.0 247% High density
06026East Granby 5,1962,754 3 4.6 225% High density
06019Canton 9,7422,754 5 4.5 222% High density
06029Ellington 16,2382,856 7 4.0 195% High density
06120Hartford 13,9265,370 6 3.6 178% High density
06071Somers 10,7231,302 4 3.5 173% High density
06033Glastonbury 29,92115,533 13 3.4 170% High density
06084Tolland 14,8232,917 5 3.1 151% High density
06074South Windsor 26,90714,008 10 2.9 145% Above average
06082Enfield 41,09014,979 14 2.9 142% Above average
06070Simsbury 15,2545,333 5 2.8 137% Above average
06105Hartford 19,1749,409 6 2.5 124% Above average
06078Suffield 10,5622,961 3 2.5 123% Above average
06111Newington 30,89613,915 9 2.4 117% Above average
06268Storrs Mansfield 11,7721,952 3 2.4 116% Above average
06040Manchester 35,81312,657 9 2.1 105% Above average
06037Berlin 19,17310,551 5 2.0 101% Above average
06117West Hartford 16,1167,681 4 2.0 99% Below average
06106Hartford 36,32218,569 9 2.0 97% Below average
06002Bloomfield 21,86517,528 6 2.0 97% Below average
06067Rocky Hill 20,87224,550 6 1.8 89% Below average
06032Farmington 19,13528,707 6 1.8 88% Below average
06110West Hartford 12,6418,225 3 1.8 88% Below average
06489Southington 32,70612,896 7 1.8 88% Below average
06066Vernon Rockville 30,5777,279 6 1.8 86% Below average
06107West Hartford 19,8917,301 4 1.7 84% Below average
06108East Hartford 23,49917,651 5 1.5 76% Below average
06001Avon 19,1536,545 3 1.3 66% Below average
06109Wethersfield 27,2506,859 4 1.3 64% Below average
06114Hartford 26,4589,145 4 1.3 64% Below average
06112Hartford 22,3331,954 3 1.3 63% Below average
06053New Britain 36,7746,070 4 1.0 50% Far below average
06095Windsor 29,67028,127 3 0.7 34% Far below average
06016Broad Brook 6,959390 0–2 — — Not published
06020Canton Center 031 0–2 — — Not published
06022Collinsville 100181 0–2 — — Not published
06023East Berlin 1,196665 0–2 — — Not published
06025East Glastonbury —59 0–2 — — Not published
06028East Windsor Hill —41 0–2 — — Not published
06030Farmington —56 0–2 — — Not published
06034Farmington —139 0–2 — — Not published
06041Manchester —1,297 0–2 — — Not published
06042Manchester 23,82210,541 0–2 — — Not published
06043Bolton 4,8531,175 0–2 — — Not published
06045Manchester —501 0–2 — — Not published
06050New Britain —1,599 0–2 — — Not published
06051New Britain 29,5487,419 0–2 — — Not published
06052New Britain 7,9163,914 0–2 — — Not published
06059North Canton 3028 0–2 — — Not published
06060North Granby 2,27382 0–2 — — Not published
06062Plainville 17,5559,230 0–2 — — Not published
06064Poquonock —147 0–2 — — Not published
06072Somersville 017 0–2 — — Not published
06073South Glastonbury 5,372482 0–2 — — Not published
06075Stafford —612 0–2 — — Not published
06076Stafford Springs 11,9532,894 0–2 — — Not published
06080Suffield 1,616124 0–2 — — Not published
06081Tariffville 1,41992 0–2 — — Not published
06083Enfield —449 0–2 — — Not published
06085Unionville 7,6081,281 0–2 — — Not published
06088East Windsor 4,2545,681 0–2 — — Not published
06089Weatogue 3,7286,718 0–2 — — Not published
06090West Granby 1,13624 0–2 — — Not published
06092West Simsbury 4,665663 0–2 — — Not published
06093West Suffield 3,524158 0–2 — — Not published
06096Windsor Locks 12,57910,209 0–2 — — Not published
06101Hartford —146 0–2 — — Not published
06102Hartford —7,284 0–2 — — Not published
06103Hartford 2,94919,994 0–2 — — Not published
06115Hartford —6,128 0–2 — — Not published
06118East Hartford 27,41916,199 0–2 — — Not published
06127West Hartford —326 0–2 — — Not published
06128East Hartford —36 0–2 — — Not published
06129Wethersfield —8 0–2 — — Not published
06131Newington —19 0–2 — — Not published
06133West Hartford —692 0–2 — — Not published
06137West Hartford —33 0–2 — — Not published
06141Hartford —859 0–2 — — Not published
06143Hartford —37 0–2 — — Not published
06144Hartford —7 0–2 — — Not published
06152Hartford —318 0–2 — — Not published
06156Hartford —3,570 0–2 — — Not published
06183Hartford —5,540 0–2 — — Not published
06231Amston 3,648123 0–2 — — Not published
06232Andover 3,152256 0–2 — — Not published
06237Columbia 5,300762 0–2 — — Not published
06238Coventry 12,326792 0–2 — — Not published
06248Hebron 5,509846 0–2 — — Not published
06250Mansfield Center 5,4371,340 0–2 — — Not published
06269Storrs Mansfield 7,970901 0–2 — — Not published
06279Willington 5,5751,626 0–2 — — Not published
06444Marion 18036 0–2 — — Not published
06467Milldale 405744 0–2 — — Not published
06479Plantsville 10,2863,902 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Farmington

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Farmington retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Farmington retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Farmington retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Capitol Planning Region and day care

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 624410 — child day care services. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 230 establishments and $127M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.