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District of Columbia, DC — Day care Saturation

How many day care exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 106 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Child day care centers · Preschools & pre-K · Family home day care · After-school programs. Counted together because official statistics use one 624410 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 1.45× the U.S. rate (between 1.45× and 1.53× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 84 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 8 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Above the U.S. rate   District of Columbia day care — 145–153% of the U.S. rate

282 day care are counted in District of Columbia — 2.9 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 145% of the U.S. rate of 2.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 23% between 2015 and 2023 (226 → 279). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 20011 (Washington), 20012 (Washington), 20018 (Washington) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 20024 (Washington), 20001 (Washington), 20015 (Washington).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 303 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: District of Columbia sits at 145% of the U.S. rate for day care. 8 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 145% and 153% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 20011 and 20012; the lowest measured density is in 20024 and 20001.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing day care and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Day care
282–450
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (84 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.9
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.0
per 10,000 present
County index
1.45×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
303
2023 — $178M annual payroll
Residents
681,033
29 ZIPs with data
Workers
536,896
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
702,250
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+4.7%
+31,333 people
Net migration 2024
+12,165
international +12,502, domestic −337
Jobs located here
656,985
LODES 2022, −4.5% since 2019

District of Columbia had an estimated 702,250 residents on July 1, 2024 — 4.7% more than in 2020 (+31,333). In the latest year it gained 14,926 people: births minus deaths +2,761, international migration +12,502, domestic migration −337. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

656,985 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−4.5% since 2019), and 310,036 employed residents lived there (−3.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
20003 Washington
+14.7%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
921
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$16.2M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$18K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more day care in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 23% since 2015

Number of day care in District of Columbia across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

226
2015
257
2018
266
2020
253
2021
269
2022
279
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
20011 Washington
293%
20012 Washington
292%
20018 Washington
257%
20020 Washington
239%
20007 Washington
190%
20032 Washington
181%
20037 Washington
157%
20016 Washington
155%
20002 Washington
150%
20003 Washington
138%
20010 Washington
137%
20008 Washington
135%
20019 Washington
118%
20017 Washington
118%
20009 Washington
106%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
20024 Washington
63%
20001 Washington
81%
20015 Washington
82%
20009 Washington
106%
20017 Washington
118%
20019 Washington
118%
20008 Washington
135%
20010 Washington
137%
20003 Washington
138%
20002 Washington
150%
20016 Washington
155%
20037 Washington
157%
20032 Washington
181%
20007 Washington
190%
20020 Washington
239%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few day care may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersDay careIndex
20004Washington Destination 1,83128,127 5 155%
20036Washington Destination 4,60559,136 6 87%
20005Washington Employment hub 13,13169,741 6 62%
20006Washington Destination 1,36247,185 0–2 —
20052Washington Employment hub 2,73010,990 0–2 —
20057Washington Employment hub 3,22910,252 0–2 —
20064Washington Employment hub 1,4423,230 0–2 —
20422Washington Destination 151,892 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = day care per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersDay care Per 10kIndexStatus
20011Washington 67,4349,520 43 6.0 293% Very high density
20012Washington 17,5195,500 12 5.9 292% Very high density
20018Washington 19,56210,789 13 5.2 257% Very high density
20020Washington 53,0055,478 27 4.8 239% High density
20007Washington 24,60223,329 14 3.9 190% High density
20032Washington 40,9205,466 16 3.7 181% High density
20037Washington 13,15623,997 8 3.2 157% High density
20004Washington 1,83128,127 5 3.1 155% High density
20016Washington 32,73023,622 14 3.1 155% High density
20002Washington 72,39732,163 27 3.1 150% High density
20003Washington 37,48224,874 14 2.8 138% Above average
20010Washington 31,80822,433 12 2.8 137% Above average
20008Washington 29,4347,001 9 2.7 135% Above average
20019Washington 63,3806,936 16 2.4 118% Above average
20017Washington 21,2087,780 6 2.4 118% Above average
20009Washington 50,15020,002 13 2.2 106% Above average
20036Washington 4,60559,136 6 1.8 87% Below average
20015Washington 15,6534,933 3 1.7 82% Below average
20001Washington 44,61656,686 12 1.6 81% Below average
20024Washington 15,88815,129 3 1.3 63% Below average
20005Washington 13,13169,741 6 1.2 62% Below average
20006Washington 1,36247,185 0–2 — — Not published
20013Washington —25 0–2 — — Not published
20027Washington —17 0–2 — — Not published
20030Washington —59 0–2 — — Not published
20035Washington —9 0–2 — — Not published
20043Washington —11 0–2 — — Not published
20044Washington —15 0–2 — — Not published
20045Washington 0692 0–2 — — Not published
20049Washington —1,231 0–2 — — Not published
20050Washington —70 0–2 — — Not published
20052Washington 2,73010,990 0–2 — — Not published
20057Washington 3,22910,252 0–2 — — Not published
20059Washington 1,338581 0–2 — — Not published
20060Washington —1,691 0–2 — — Not published
20064Washington 1,4423,230 0–2 — — Not published
20071Washington —1,788 0–2 — — Not published
20090Washington —83 0–2 — — Not published
20201Washington —153 0–2 — — Not published
20202Washington —11 0–2 — — Not published
20210Washington —389 0–2 — — Not published
20220Washington 020 0–2 — — Not published
20223Washington —79 0–2 — — Not published
20224Washington —87 0–2 — — Not published
20226Washington —52 0–2 — — Not published
20228Washington —19 0–2 — — Not published
20229Washington —178 0–2 — — Not published
20230Washington 0172 0–2 — — Not published
20240Washington 0126 0–2 — — Not published
20242Washington —38 0–2 — — Not published
20250Washington 095 0–2 — — Not published
20260Washington 098 0–2 — — Not published
20301Washington —102 0–2 — — Not published
20310Washington —162 0–2 — — Not published
20314Washington —6 0–2 — — Not published
20319Washington 2345 0–2 — — Not published
20330Washington —31 0–2 — — Not published
20340Washington —573 0–2 — — Not published
20350Washington —3 0–2 — — Not published
20373Naval Anacost Annex 38379 0–2 — — Not published
20374Washington Navy Yard —303 0–2 — — Not published
20375Washington —127 0–2 — — Not published
20376Washington Navy Yard —32 0–2 — — Not published
20388Washington Navy Yard 015 0–2 — — Not published
20392Washington —9 0–2 — — Not published
20395Washington —61 0–2 — — Not published
20401Washington —55 0–2 — — Not published
20405Washington —134 0–2 — — Not published
20407Washington —54 0–2 — — Not published
20410Washington —147 0–2 — — Not published
20420Washington —28 0–2 — — Not published
20422Washington 151,892 0–2 — — Not published
20426Washington —32 0–2 — — Not published
20431Washington 0103 0–2 — — Not published
20433Washington —305 0–2 — — Not published
20460Washington —20 0–2 — — Not published
20472Washington —6 0–2 — — Not published
20503Washington —129 0–2 — — Not published
20510Washington 027 0–2 — — Not published
20515Washington 0323 0–2 — — Not published
20520Washington 0248 0–2 — — Not published
20528Washington —20 0–2 — — Not published
20529Washington —42 0–2 — — Not published
20530Washington 0364 0–2 — — Not published
20534Washington —30 0–2 — — Not published
20535Washington 0199 0–2 — — Not published
20536Washington —17 0–2 — — Not published
20540Washington 0101 0–2 — — Not published
20544Washington —100 0–2 — — Not published
20546Washington —31 0–2 — — Not published
20548Washington —608 0–2 — — Not published
20549Washington —355 0–2 — — Not published
20551Washington 025 0–2 — — Not published
20552Washington —53 0–2 — — Not published
20554Washington —55 0–2 — — Not published
20560Washington 0138 3 — — Not published
20565Washington 0111 0–2 — — Not published
20566Washington 0152 0–2 — — Not published
20571Washington —62 0–2 — — Not published
20577Washington —782 0–2 — — Not published
20580Washington —175 0–2 — — Not published
20581Washington —33 0–2 — — Not published
20585Washington —372 0–2 — — Not published
20590Washington —156 0–2 — — Not published
20591Washington 0105 0–2 — — Not published
20593Washington —45 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Washington

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Washington retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Washington retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Washington retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow District of Columbia and day care

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 624410 — child day care services. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 303 establishments and $178M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.