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Marion County, IN — Day care Saturation

How many day care exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 48 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Child day care centers · Preschools & pre-K · Family home day care · After-school programs. Counted together because official statistics use one 624410 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.09× the U.S. rate (between 1.09× and 1.13× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 16 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 5 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Marion County day care — 109–113% of the U.S. rate

281 day care are counted in Marion County — 2.2 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 109% of the U.S. rate of 2.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 6% between 2015 and 2023 (258 → 274). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 46205 (Indianapolis), 46208 (Indianapolis), 46229 (Indianapolis) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 46241 (Indianapolis), 46239 (Indianapolis), 46201 (Indianapolis).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 284 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Marion County sits at 109% of the U.S. rate for day care. 5 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 109% and 113% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 46205 and 46208; the lowest measured density is in 46241 and 46239.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing day care and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Day care
281–313
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (16 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.2
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.0
per 10,000 present
County index
1.09×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
284
2023 — $84M annual payroll
Residents
989,752
37 ZIPs with data
Workers
553,644
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
981,628
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+0.5%
+4,922 people
Net migration 2024
−50
international +10,450, domestic −10,500
Jobs located here
647,433
LODES 2022, −0.2% since 2019

Marion County had an estimated 981,628 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.5% more than in 2020 (+4,922). In the latest year it gained 5,974 people: births minus deaths +6,058, international migration +10,450, domestic migration −10,500. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

647,433 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−0.2% since 2019), and 460,044 employed residents lived there (−0.9% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
46259 Indianapolis
+37.9%
46204 Indianapolis
+36.4%
46237 Indianapolis
+11.0%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
1,583
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$32.5M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$21K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more day care in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 6% since 2015

Number of day care in Marion County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

258
2015
271
2018
282
2020
264
2021
275
2022
274
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
46205 Indianapolis
324%
46208 Indianapolis
255%
46229 Indianapolis
202%
46220 Indianapolis
192%
46224 Indianapolis
158%
46226 Indianapolis
152%
46278 Indianapolis
147%
46218 Indianapolis
145%
46222 Indianapolis
138%
46260 Indianapolis
134%
46221 Indianapolis
122%
46203 Indianapolis
119%
46236 Indianapolis
118%
46235 Indianapolis
116%
46254 Indianapolis
115%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
46241 Indianapolis
38%
46239 Indianapolis
40%
46201 Indianapolis
58%
46227 Indianapolis
66%
46237 Indianapolis
77%
46256 Indianapolis
79%
46268 Indianapolis
80%
46234 Indianapolis
82%
46217 Indianapolis
84%
46228 Indianapolis
91%
46250 Indianapolis
94%
46107 Beech Grove
106%
46219 Indianapolis
112%
46254 Indianapolis
115%
46235 Indianapolis
116%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few day care may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersDay careIndex
46225Indianapolis Employment hub 6,03714,323 3 112%
46240Indianapolis Employment hub 19,59540,091 8 99%
46202Indianapolis Employment hub 20,18042,952 7 83%
46204Indianapolis Employment hub 11,40050,154 4 54%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = day care per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersDay care Per 10kIndexStatus
46205Indianapolis 28,2597,447 21 6.6 324% Very high density
46208Indianapolis 22,3799,275 14 5.2 255% Very high density
46229Indianapolis 28,4576,478 13 4.1 202% High density
46220Indianapolis 36,95218,285 18 3.9 192% High density
46224Indianapolis 40,2286,907 14 3.2 158% High density
46226Indianapolis 47,0999,486 16 3.1 152% High density
46278Indianapolis 8,45016,541 5 3.0 147% Above average
46218Indianapolis 29,3609,151 10 2.9 145% Above average
46222Indianapolis 38,88714,894 13 2.8 138% Above average
46260Indianapolis 35,70716,597 12 2.7 134% Above average
46221Indianapolis 27,02710,775 8 2.5 122% Above average
46203Indianapolis 37,75815,332 11 2.4 119% Above average
46236Indianapolis 26,4165,847 7 2.4 118% Above average
46235Indianapolis 36,3173,952 9 2.4 116% Above average
46254Indianapolis 40,67413,246 11 2.3 115% Above average
46219Indianapolis 38,85527,634 12 2.3 112% Above average
46225Indianapolis 6,03714,323 3 2.3 112% Above average
46107Beech Grove 13,0201,953 3 2.1 106% Above average
46240Indianapolis 19,59540,091 8 2.0 99% Below average
46250Indianapolis 18,14726,619 6 1.9 94% Below average
46228Indianapolis 15,724883 3 1.9 91% Below average
46217Indianapolis 36,9178,153 7 1.7 84% Below average
46202Indianapolis 20,18042,952 7 1.7 83% Below average
46234Indianapolis 28,3003,249 5 1.7 82% Below average
46268Indianapolis 25,91346,992 8 1.6 80% Below average
46256Indianapolis 20,99020,140 5 1.6 79% Below average
46237Indianapolis 43,47315,080 8 1.6 77% Below average
46227Indianapolis 57,58719,341 9 1.3 66% Below average
46201Indianapolis 30,3357,157 4 1.2 58% Below average
46204Indianapolis 11,40050,154 4 1.1 54% Below average
46239Indianapolis 33,9315,747 3 0.8 40% Far below average
46241Indianapolis 32,56538,151 4 0.8 38% Far below average
46183West Newton 3433 0–2 — — Not published
46206Indianapolis 01,437 0–2 — — Not published
46207Indianapolis —222 0–2 — — Not published
46209Indianapolis —151 0–2 — — Not published
46214Indianapolis 24,4728,176 0–2 — — Not published
46216Indianapolis 2,7673,821 0–2 — — Not published
46230Indianapolis —262 0–2 — — Not published
46231Indianapolis 10,3717,670 0–2 — — Not published
46242Indianapolis —482 0–2 — — Not published
46244Indianapolis —192 0–2 — — Not published
46247Indianapolis —12 0–2 — — Not published
46249Indianapolis —103 0–2 — — Not published
46253Indianapolis —24 0–2 — — Not published
46259Indianapolis 15,1691,112 0–2 — — Not published
46282Indianapolis —2,606 0–2 — — Not published
46285Indianapolis —284 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Indianapolis

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Indianapolis retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Indianapolis retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Indianapolis retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Marion County and day care

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 624410 — child day care services. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 284 establishments and $84M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.