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Jefferson Parish, LA — Day care Saturation

How many day care exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 31 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Child day care centers · Preschools & pre-K · Family home day care · After-school programs. Counted together because official statistics use one 624410 code.

Measured density: Below average — 0.67× the U.S. rate (between 0.67× and 0.77× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 19 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 5 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Below the U.S. rate   Jefferson Parish day care — 67–77% of the U.S. rate

71 day care are counted in Jefferson Parish — 1.4 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 67% of the U.S. rate of 2.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 4% between 2015 and 2023 (54 → 52). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 70053 (Gretna), 70072 (Marrero), 70121 (New Orleans) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 70058 (Harvey), 70123 (New Orleans), 70003 (Metairie).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 74 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Jefferson Parish sits at 67% of the U.S. rate for day care. 5 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 67% and 77% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 70053 and 70072; the lowest measured density is in 70058 and 70123.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing day care and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Day care
71–109
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (19 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.4
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.0
per 10,000 present
County index
0.67×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
74
2023 — $28M annual payroll
Residents
430,920
17 ZIPs with data
Workers
175,436
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
427,253
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−2.8%
−12,494 people
Net migration 2024
+940
international +6,066, domestic −5,126
Jobs located here
195,497
LODES 2022, −2.2% since 2019

Jefferson Parish had an estimated 427,253 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.8% fewer than in 2020 (−12,494). In the latest year it gained 1,596 people: births minus deaths +684, international migration +6,066, domestic migration −5,126. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

195,497 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−2.2% since 2019), and 174,618 employed residents lived there (−7.5% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
547
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$8.8M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$16K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more day care in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 4% since 2015

Number of day care in Jefferson Parish across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

54
2015
59
2018
57
2020
58
2021
56
2022
52
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
70053 Gretna
176%
70072 Marrero
130%
70121 New Orleans
82%
70062 Kenner
82%
70056 Gretna
78%
70065 Kenner
73%
70001 Metairie
73%
70094 Westwego
72%
70005 Metairie
69%
70003 Metairie
45%
70123 New Orleans
37%
70058 Harvey
32%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
70058 Harvey
32%
70123 New Orleans
37%
70003 Metairie
45%
70005 Metairie
69%
70094 Westwego
72%
70001 Metairie
73%
70065 Kenner
73%
70056 Gretna
78%
70062 Kenner
82%
70121 New Orleans
82%
70072 Marrero
130%
70053 Gretna
176%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few day care may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = day care per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersDay care Per 10kIndexStatus
70053Gretna 16,6215,871 7 3.6 176% High density
70072Marrero 55,69310,099 16 2.6 130% Above average
70121New Orleans 10,55814,920 3 1.7 82% Below average
70062Kenner 17,77112,666 4 1.7 82% Below average
70056Gretna 40,3487,417 7 1.6 78% Below average
70065Kenner 48,93610,050 8 1.5 73% Below average
70001Metairie 38,95017,090 7 1.5 73% Below average
70094Westwego 32,1304,141 5 1.5 72% Below average
70005Metairie 24,0889,366 4 1.4 69% Below average
70003Metairie 39,3448,174 4 0.9 45% Far below average
70123New Orleans 27,38625,160 3 0.8 37% Far below average
70058Harvey 39,57813,443 3 0.6 32% Far below average
70002Metairie 19,42626,820 0–2 — — Not published
70004Metairie —79 0–2 — — Not published
70006Metairie 16,1709,688 0–2 — — Not published
70009Metairie —2 0–2 — — Not published
70011Metairie —27 0–2 — — Not published
70033Metairie —3 0–2 — — Not published
70036Barataria 54451 0–2 — — Not published
70054Gretna —301 0–2 — — Not published
70055Metairie —20 0–2 — — Not published
70059Harvey —26 0–2 — — Not published
70063Kenner —178 0–2 — — Not published
70064Kenner —72 0–2 — — Not published
70067Lafitte 2,754296 0–2 — — Not published
70073Marrero —28 0–2 — — Not published
70096Westwego —113 0–2 — — Not published
70141New Orleans —196 0–2 — — Not published
70181New Orleans —200 0–2 — — Not published
70183New Orleans —23 0–2 — — Not published
70358Grand Isle 623184 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Metairie

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Metairie retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Metairie retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Metairie retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Jefferson Parish and day care

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 624410 — child day care services. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 74 establishments and $28M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.