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Passaic County, NJ — Day care Saturation

How many day care exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 36 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Child day care centers · Preschools & pre-K · Family home day care · After-school programs. Counted together because official statistics use one 624410 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.04× the U.S. rate (between 1.04× and 1.24× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 20 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 12 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Passaic County day care — 104–124% of the U.S. rate

128 day care are counted in Passaic County — 2.1 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 104% of the U.S. rate of 2.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 6% between 2015 and 2023 (109 → 116). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 07013 (Clifton), 07456 (Ringwood), 07514 (Paterson) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 07503 (Paterson), 07501 (Paterson), 07055 (Passaic).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 138 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Passaic County sits at 104% of the U.S. rate for day care. 12 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 104% and 124% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 07013 and 07456; the lowest measured density is in 07503 and 07501.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing day care and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Day care
128–168
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (20 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.1
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.0
per 10,000 present
County index
1.04×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
138
2023 — $89M annual payroll
Residents
531,700
28 ZIPs with data
Workers
145,770
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
526,597
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+0.6%
+3,133 people
Net migration 2024
+3,862
international +9,710, domestic −5,848
Jobs located here
176,624
LODES 2022, +0.9% since 2019

Passaic County had an estimated 526,597 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.6% more than in 2020 (+3,133). In the latest year it gained 6,378 people: births minus deaths +2,509, international migration +9,710, domestic migration −5,848. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

176,624 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+0.9% since 2019), and 240,585 employed residents lived there (−1.4% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
07505 Paterson
+79.3%
07013 Clifton
+16.1%
07508 Haledon
+5.0%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
07456 Ringwood
−4.3%
07403 Bloomingdale
−4.0%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
1,514
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$27.2M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$18K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more day care in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 6% since 2015

Number of day care in Passaic County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

109
2015
118
2018
111
2020
110
2021
112
2022
116
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
07013 Clifton
213%
07456 Ringwood
198%
07514 Paterson
195%
07504 Paterson
176%
07522 Paterson
167%
07438 Oak Ridge
164%
07480 West Milford
156%
07512 Totowa
149%
07424 Little Falls
149%
07011 Clifton
148%
07012 Clifton
109%
07470 Wayne
105%
07508 Haledon
97%
07055 Passaic
97%
07501 Paterson
91%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
07503 Paterson
61%
07501 Paterson
91%
07055 Passaic
97%
07508 Haledon
97%
07470 Wayne
105%
07012 Clifton
109%
07011 Clifton
148%
07424 Little Falls
149%
07512 Totowa
149%
07480 West Milford
156%
07438 Oak Ridge
164%
07522 Paterson
167%
07504 Paterson
176%
07514 Paterson
195%
07456 Ringwood
198%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few day care may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = day care per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersDay care Per 10kIndexStatus
07013Clifton 30,8117,856 15 4.3 213% High density
07456Ringwood 11,6571,620 5 4.0 198% High density
07514Paterson 20,6474,140 9 4.0 195% High density
07504Paterson 13,1231,747 5 3.6 176% High density
07522Paterson 23,0401,102 8 3.4 167% High density
07438Oak Ridge 11,1601,725 4 3.3 164% High density
07480West Milford 14,9661,592 5 3.2 156% High density
07512Totowa 10,95911,185 5 3.0 149% Above average
07424Little Falls 28,08510,063 10 3.0 149% Above average
07011Clifton 38,5879,473 13 3.0 148% Above average
07012Clifton 14,6536,960 4 2.2 109% Above average
07470Wayne 54,11232,158 15 2.1 105% Above average
07508Haledon 23,7623,305 5 2.0 97% Below average
07055Passaic 70,00212,488 15 2.0 97% Below average
07501Paterson 35,4814,456 7 1.9 91% Below average
07503Paterson 19,1709,842 3 1.2 61% Below average
07014Clifton 4,9756,274 0–2 — — Not published
07015Clifton —310 0–2 — — Not published
07403Bloomingdale 7,685974 0–2 — — Not published
07420Haskell 5,3161,276 0–2 — — Not published
07421Hewitt 6,977580 0–2 — — Not published
07435Newfoundland 2,703584 0–2 — — Not published
07442Pompton Lakes 11,0471,626 0–2 — — Not published
07465Wanaque 5,921266 0–2 — — Not published
07474Wayne —436 0–2 — — Not published
07502Paterson 17,1581,205 0–2 — — Not published
07505Paterson 4,6912,787 0–2 — — Not published
07506Hawthorne 19,6285,793 0–2 — — Not published
07507Hawthorne —374 0–2 — — Not published
07509Paterson —62 0–2 — — Not published
07510Paterson —74 0–2 — — Not published
07511Totowa —235 0–2 — — Not published
07513Paterson 11,5761,679 0–2 — — Not published
07524Paterson 13,8083,014 0–2 — — Not published
07538Haledon —22 0–2 — — Not published
07544Paterson —15 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Wayne

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Wayne retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Wayne retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Wayne retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Passaic County and day care

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 624410 — child day care services. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 138 establishments and $89M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.