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Mesa County, CO

Pick an industry to see how saturated it is across Mesa County's ZIP codes, compared with the U.S. average. All figures use Census ZBP 2023 + ACS 2024.

Car washes

15–47 in Mesa County
164–470%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Day care

48–72 in Mesa County
126–179%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Beauty salons

42–72 in Mesa County
108–175%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Pet care

12–42 in Mesa County
102–322%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Clothing stores

13–49 in Mesa County
101–348%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Dentists

63–93 in Mesa County
101–142%
of U.S. average Above average

Fast food

111–133 in Mesa County
89–103%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Restaurants

98–120 in Mesa County
82–97%
of U.S. average Below average

Coffee shops

31–59 in Mesa County
79–140%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Bars

14–48 in Mesa County
74–233%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Auto repair

11–45 in Mesa County
68–253%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Gyms

13–47 in Mesa County
68–224%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Grocery stores

13–45 in Mesa County
45–141%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Nail salons

5–41 in Mesa County
31–233%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Pharmacies

0–38 in Mesa County
0–176%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Convenience stores

0–38 in Mesa County
0–199%
of U.S. average Range spans bands

Population, migration, and jobs

Population
161,260
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+3.4%
+5,249 people
Net migration 2024
+1,789
international +126, domestic +1,663
Jobs located here
63,778
LODES 2022, +1.6% since 2019
Employed residents
64,109
LODES 2022, +1.0% since 2019
Net movers (IRS)
+795
tax year 2021–2022: 7,132 in, 6,337 out

Population. Census estimates 161,260 residents on July 1, 2024, 3.4% above 2020 (+5,249).

Latest year (2023→2024): births minus deaths −237, international migration +126, domestic migration +1,663. These are model-based estimates built from births, deaths, and migration, revised annually — not a census count, and they can differ from the ACS 5-year figure used elsewhere on the site. Components may not sum exactly because of rounding.

Jobs. LODES counts 63,778 jobs located in the county in 2022 (+1.6% since 2019) and 64,109 employed residents (+1.0% since 2019). A job and a worker are not the same thing: the first is measured at the workplace, the second at the home address, and one person can hold two jobs. Self-employed, military, and informal work are excluded.

Where movers come from and go. IRS matched individual tax returns between 2021 and 2022. 7,132 people (exemptions) moved into Mesa County, reporting $301.4M in adjusted gross income; 6,337 moved out, reporting $257.2M. Net: +795 people.

Largest sources: Garfield, CO (391) · Jefferson, CO (303) · Delta, CO (253). Largest destinations: Delta, CO (306) · Garfield, CO (226) · Montrose, CO (216).

People are exemptions on matched returns — not a population estimate. Non-filers, dependents claimed elsewhere, and people whose address did not change are treated differently than in Census estimates. Tax data lag about two years.

Each source is reported at its own geography and year. None of them measures demand for a specific business type; they describe whether the local customer base and job base are expanding or shrinking. Definitions and limits →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
81505 Grand Junction
+27.0%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

ZIP change

Only ZIPs where the 2015–19→2020–24 population change is larger than the ACS margin of error and both windows have at least 2,000 residents. Sorted by population change. Jobs are LODES workplace jobs in the ZIP (2019→latest available year; 2019→2021 for Michigan, none for Alaska); a ZIP can contain more jobs than residents.

ZIPNeighborhood Residents 2015–19Residents 2020–24Pop change JobsJobs change
81505Grand Junction 10,45413,279 +27.0% 15,941−1.6%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

How to read these numbers

Each percentage is the county's density of that business type per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers), divided by the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

Density is a supply-side signal. It does not measure foot traffic, income, tourism, or whether locals actually want more of a given business.

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BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.