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Collin County, TX — Coffee shops Saturation

How many coffee shops exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 30 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Coffee shops · Espresso bars · Boba / bubble tea shops · Juice & smoothie bars · Ice cream & frozen yogurt shops. Counted together because official statistics use one 722515 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.10× the U.S. rate (between 1.10× and 1.13× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 8 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 5 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Collin County coffee shops — 110–113% of the U.S. rate

306 coffee shops are counted in Collin County — 2.3 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 110% of the U.S. rate of 2.1.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 71% between 2015 and 2023 (154 → 264). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 75075 (Plano), 75094 (Plano), 75013 (Allen) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 75407 (Princeton), 75072 (Mckinney), 75252 (Dallas).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 375 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Collin County sits at 110% of the U.S. rate for coffee shops. 5 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 110% and 113% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 75075 and 75094; the lowest measured density is in 75407 and 75072.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing coffee shops and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Coffee shops
306–322
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (8 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
2.3
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
2.1
per 10,000 present
County index
1.10×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
375
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,115,497
27 ZIPs with data
Workers
422,851
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,254,658
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+16.6%
+179,007 people
Net migration 2024
+39,663
international +20,237, domestic +19,426
Jobs located here
552,309
LODES 2022, +14.7% since 2019

Collin County had an estimated 1,254,658 residents on July 1, 2024 — 16.6% more than in 2020 (+179,007). In the latest year it gained 46,694 people: births minus deaths +7,142, international migration +20,237, domestic migration +19,426. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

552,309 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+14.7% since 2019), and 575,179 employed residents lived there (+13.5% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
75009 Celina
+143.2%
75173 Nevada
+141.9%
75454 Melissa
+119.6%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
75070 Mckinney
−38.6%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
77
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$3.8M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$50K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more coffee shops in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 71% since 2015

Number of coffee shops in Collin County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

154
2015
201
2018
228
2020
241
2021
253
2022
264
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
75075 Plano
194%
75094 Plano
180%
75013 Allen
166%
75035 Frisco
159%
75071 Mckinney
146%
75070 Mckinney
140%
75074 Plano
136%
75093 Plano
132%
75023 Plano
131%
75078 Prosper
122%
75069 Mckinney
100%
75454 Melissa
97%
75098 Wylie
95%
75409 Anna
83%
75009 Celina
80%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
75407 Princeton
54%
75072 Mckinney
59%
75252 Dallas
68%
75025 Plano
68%
75287 Dallas
75%
75002 Allen
76%
75009 Celina
80%
75409 Anna
83%
75098 Wylie
95%
75454 Melissa
97%
75069 Mckinney
100%
75078 Prosper
122%
75023 Plano
131%
75093 Plano
132%
75074 Plano
136%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few coffee shops may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersCoffee shopsIndex
75024Plano Employment hub 45,652115,526 15 69%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = coffee shops per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersCoffee shops Per 10kIndexStatus
75075Plano 38,13526,491 21 4.1 194% High density
75094Plano 24,2004,306 10 3.8 180% High density
75013Allen 49,79620,674 21 3.5 166% High density
75035Frisco 89,68211,685 32 3.3 159% High density
75071Mckinney 72,96416,795 25 3.1 146% Above average
75070Mckinney 64,07827,990 23 2.9 140% Above average
75074Plano 53,83131,893 20 2.9 136% Above average
75093Plano 47,95454,983 21 2.8 132% Above average
75023Plano 49,22910,825 15 2.7 131% Above average
75078Prosper 53,01111,016 15 2.6 122% Above average
75069Mckinney 40,03225,028 11 2.1 100% Below average
75454Melissa 22,9902,927 5 2.0 97% Below average
75098Wylie 69,32511,468 15 2.0 95% Below average
75409Anna 27,1313,004 5 1.7 83% Below average
75009Celina 34,2602,823 6 1.7 80% Below average
75002Allen 75,05713,181 13 1.6 76% Below average
75287Dallas 53,9596,439 9 1.6 75% Below average
75024Plano 45,652115,526 15 1.5 69% Below average
75025Plano 53,2024,878 8 1.4 68% Below average
75252Dallas 28,61812,925 5 1.4 68% Below average
75072Mckinney 55,0872,224 7 1.2 59% Below average
75407Princeton 34,1712,283 4 1.1 54% Below average
75026Plano —310 0–2 — — Not published
75086Plano —223 0–2 — — Not published
75097Weston —15 0–2 — — Not published
75164Josephine 885155 0–2 — — Not published
75166Lavon 6,989549 0–2 — — Not published
75173Nevada 10,664795 0–2 — — Not published
75424Blue Ridge 3,790227 0–2 — — Not published
75442Farmersville 10,8051,761 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Plano

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Plano retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Plano retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Plano retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Collin County and coffee shops

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722515 — snack & non-alcoholic beverage bars (incl. coffee shops). Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 375 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (2.10 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.