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Baltimore city, MD — Fast food Saturation

How many fast food exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 27 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Fast food · Quick-service restaurants · Takeout & delivery counters · Pizza delivery · Sandwich & burger chains. Counted together because official statistics use one 722513 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.33× the U.S. rate

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 5 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 1 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Above the U.S. rate   Baltimore city fast food — 133% of the U.S. rate

687 fast food are counted in Baltimore city — 8.9 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 133% of the U.S. rate of 6.7.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 6% between 2015 and 2023 (730 → 687). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 21205 (Baltimore), 21223 (Baltimore), 21211 (Baltimore) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 21210 (Baltimore), 21239 (Baltimore), 21216 (Baltimore).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 632 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Baltimore city sits at 133% of the U.S. rate for fast food. The highest measured density is in 21205 and 21223; the lowest measured density is in 21210 and 21239.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing fast food and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Fast food
687–697
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (5 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
8.9
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.7
per 10,000 present
County index
1.33×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
632
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
622,980
22 ZIPs with data
Workers
291,829
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
568,271
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−2.6%
−14,918 people
Net migration 2024
+237
international +3,516, domestic −3,279
Jobs located here
317,074
LODES 2022, −9.1% since 2019

Baltimore city had an estimated 568,271 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.6% fewer than in 2020 (−14,918). In the latest year it gained 754 people: births minus deaths +524, international migration +3,516, domestic migration −3,279. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

317,074 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−9.1% since 2019), and 230,798 employed residents lived there (−10.3% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant increase.

ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
21205 Baltimore
−19.9%
21215 Baltimore
−10.4%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
152
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$8.7M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$57K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more fast food in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 6% since 2015

Number of fast food in Baltimore city across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

730
2015
751
2018
695
2020
688
2021
691
2022
687
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
21205 Baltimore
278%
21223 Baltimore
234%
21211 Baltimore
232%
21230 Baltimore
216%
21231 Baltimore
204%
21224 Baltimore
188%
21202 Baltimore
180%
21215 Baltimore
138%
21212 Baltimore
132%
21218 Baltimore
113%
21225 Brooklyn
89%
21217 Baltimore
87%
21229 Baltimore
84%
21206 Baltimore
83%
21209 Baltimore
82%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
21210 Baltimore
26%
21239 Baltimore
40%
21216 Baltimore
55%
21214 Baltimore
61%
21213 Baltimore
66%
21209 Baltimore
82%
21206 Baltimore
83%
21229 Baltimore
84%
21217 Baltimore
87%
21225 Brooklyn
89%
21218 Baltimore
113%
21212 Baltimore
132%
21215 Baltimore
138%
21202 Baltimore
180%
21224 Baltimore
188%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few fast food may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersFast foodIndex
21201Baltimore Employment hub 18,30737,672 60 242%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = fast food per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersFast food Per 10kIndexStatus
21205Baltimore 13,0137,359 31 18.6 278% Very high density
21201Baltimore 18,30737,672 60 16.2 242% High density
21223Baltimore 19,5724,507 34 15.6 234% High density
21211Baltimore 14,96911,403 32 15.5 232% High density
21230Baltimore 32,97726,828 67 14.4 216% High density
21231Baltimore 14,9699,784 27 13.6 204% High density
21224Baltimore 47,46540,767 85 12.5 188% High density
21202Baltimore 20,68340,356 49 12.0 180% High density
21215Baltimore 52,22916,859 56 9.2 138% Above average
21212Baltimore 33,9744,545 32 8.8 132% Above average
21218Baltimore 44,01444,841 50 7.5 113% Above average
21225Brooklyn 34,0626,117 22 5.9 89% Below average
21217Baltimore 30,7923,648 19 5.8 87% Below average
21229Baltimore 46,6796,019 28 5.6 84% Below average
21206Baltimore 48,9023,412 28 5.5 83% Below average
21209Baltimore 30,1269,386 19 5.5 82% Below average
21213Baltimore 28,0583,126 13 4.4 66% Below average
21214Baltimore 21,0922,295 9 4.0 61% Below average
21216Baltimore 29,4261,172 11 3.7 55% Below average
21239Baltimore 27,3465,093 8 2.7 40% Far below average
21210Baltimore 14,1346,438 3 1.7 26% Far below average
21203Baltimore —1,629 0–2 — — Not published
21233Baltimore 023 0–2 — — Not published
21235Baltimore —83 0–2 — — Not published
21251Baltimore 191202 0–2 — — Not published
21278Baltimore —15 0–2 — — Not published
21287Baltimore 011,017 4 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Baltimore

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Baltimore retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Baltimore retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Baltimore retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Baltimore city and fast food

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722513 — limited-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 632 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.67 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.