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Grayson County, TX — Fast food Saturation

How many fast food exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 18 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Fast food · Quick-service restaurants · Takeout & delivery counters · Pizza delivery · Sandwich & burger chains. Counted together because official statistics use one 722513 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.90× the U.S. rate (between 0.90× and 1.04× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 9 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 8 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Grayson County fast food — 90–104% of the U.S. rate

102 fast food are counted in Grayson County — 6.0 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 90% of the U.S. rate of 6.7.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 10% between 2015 and 2023 (81 → 89). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 75090 (Sherman), 75020 (Denison), 75495 (Van Alstyne) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 75092 (Sherman), 75076 (Pottsboro), 76273 (Whitesboro).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 103 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Grayson County sits at 90% of the U.S. rate for fast food. 8 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 90% and 104% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 75090 and 75020; the lowest measured density is in 75092 and 75076.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing fast food and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Fast food
102–120
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (9 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
6.0
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.7
per 10,000 present
County index
0.90×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
103
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
148,078
17 ZIPs with data
Workers
43,079
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
150,532
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+10.6%
+14,380 people
Net migration 2024
+3,455
international +430, domestic +3,025
Jobs located here
47,615
LODES 2022, +2.1% since 2019

Grayson County had an estimated 150,532 residents on July 1, 2024 — 10.6% more than in 2020 (+14,380). In the latest year it gained 3,476 people: births minus deaths +29, international migration +430, domestic migration +3,025. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

47,615 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+2.1% since 2019), and 62,246 employed residents lived there (+7.9% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
75495 Van Alstyne
+27.4%
75092 Sherman
+13.8%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
29
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$1.5M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$52K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more fast food in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 10% since 2015

Number of fast food in Grayson County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

81
2015
83
2018
85
2020
89
2021
93
2022
89
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
75090 Sherman
159%
75020 Denison
129%
75495 Van Alstyne
97%
76273 Whitesboro
74%
75076 Pottsboro
53%
75092 Sherman
38%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
75092 Sherman
38%
75076 Pottsboro
53%
76273 Whitesboro
74%
75495 Van Alstyne
97%
75020 Denison
129%
75090 Sherman
159%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few fast food may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = fast food per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersFast food Per 10kIndexStatus
76271Tioga 1,859379 4 19.5 293% Very high density
76233Collinsville 3,711478 7 17.7 266% Very high density
75090Sherman 26,59416,679 37 10.6 159% High density
75020Denison 24,83510,863 26 8.6 129% Above average
75414Bells 3,719295 3 7.8 116% Above average
75495Van Alstyne 11,1202,497 8 6.5 97% Below average
76273Whitesboro 11,2291,714 6 5.0 74% Below average
75076Pottsboro 7,989985 3 3.5 53% Below average
75092Sherman 28,3425,781 8 2.6 38% Far below average
75021Denison 9,1731,014 0–2 — — Not published
75058Gunter 3,6251,390 0–2 — — Not published
75091Sherman —297 0–2 — — Not published
75459Howe 6,554296 0–2 — — Not published
75489Tom Bean 80341 0–2 — — Not published
75491Whitewright 5,471490 0–2 — — Not published
76245Gordonville 1,814126 0–2 — — Not published
76264Sadler 99734 0–2 — — Not published
76268Southmayd 24317 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Sherman

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Sherman retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Sherman retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Sherman retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Grayson County and fast food

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722513 — limited-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 103 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.67 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.