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Pinellas County, FL — Grocery stores Saturation

How many grocery stores exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 68 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Supermarkets · Grocery stores · Neighborhood food markets. Counted together because official statistics use one 445110 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.05× the U.S. rate (between 1.05× and 1.25× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 38 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 18 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Pinellas County grocery stores — 105–125% of the U.S. rate

192 grocery stores are counted in Pinellas County — 1.6 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 105% of the U.S. rate of 1.6.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 4% between 2015 and 2023 (165 → 172). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 33781 (Pinellas Park), 33765 (Clearwater), 33704 (Saint Petersburg) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 34683 (Palm Harbor), 33701 (Saint Petersburg), 33714 (Saint Petersburg).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 196 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Pinellas County sits at 105% of the U.S. rate for grocery stores. 18 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 105% and 125% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 33781 and 33765; the lowest measured density is in 34683 and 33701.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing grocery stores and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Grocery stores
192–268
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (38 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.6
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.6
per 10,000 present
County index
1.05×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
196
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
963,481
48 ZIPs with data
Workers
418,050
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
965,870
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+0.6%
+6,031 people
Net migration 2024
+3,669
international +7,642, domestic −3,973
Jobs located here
484,609
LODES 2022, +4.6% since 2019

Pinellas County had an estimated 965,870 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.6% more than in 2020 (+6,031). In the latest year it lost 1,431 people: births minus deaths −5,051, international migration +7,642, domestic migration −3,973. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

484,609 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+4.6% since 2019), and 439,665 employed residents lived there (+2.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
33701 Saint Petersburg
+19.7%
33760 Clearwater
+18.3%
33781 Pinellas Park
+12.9%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
33762 Clearwater
−39.4%
33785 Indian Rocks Beach
−9.7%
33706 Saint Petersburg
−6.3%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes grocery stores only combined with convenience stores in this dataset, so a grocery-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more grocery stores in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 4% since 2015

Number of grocery stores in Pinellas County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

165
2015
171
2018
166
2020
168
2021
176
2022
172
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
33781 Pinellas Park
299%
33765 Clearwater
253%
33704 Saint Petersburg
227%
33770 Largo
221%
33755 Clearwater
211%
33709 Saint Petersburg
207%
33771 Largo
194%
33705 Saint Petersburg
181%
33767 Clearwater Beach
172%
33774 Largo
149%
33776 Seminole
145%
33772 Seminole
145%
33756 Clearwater
143%
34684 Palm Harbor
141%
33707 Saint Petersburg
141%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
34683 Palm Harbor
52%
33701 Saint Petersburg
82%
33714 Saint Petersburg
90%
33764 Clearwater
94%
33710 Saint Petersburg
98%
33706 Saint Petersburg
100%
34689 Tarpon Springs
101%
33782 Pinellas Park
102%
33708 Saint Petersburg
111%
33711 Saint Petersburg
112%
34698 Dunedin
119%
33713 Saint Petersburg
122%
33712 Saint Petersburg
132%
33702 Saint Petersburg
133%
33763 Clearwater
135%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few grocery stores may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersGrocery storesIndex
33744Bay Pines Destination 594,955 0–2 —
33762Clearwater Employment hub 5,06316,447 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = grocery stores per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGrocery stores Per 10kIndexStatus
33781Pinellas Park 28,07212,692 16 4.6 299% Very high density
33765Clearwater 13,80812,996 8 3.9 253% Very high density
33704Saint Petersburg 16,2327,144 7 3.5 227% High density
33770Largo 25,3687,337 10 3.4 221% High density
33755Clearwater 27,4765,906 10 3.3 211% High density
33709Saint Petersburg 25,0505,758 9 3.2 207% High density
33771Largo 27,59611,252 10 3.0 194% High density
33705Saint Petersburg 27,9398,241 9 2.8 181% High density
33767Clearwater Beach 8,0816,265 3 2.7 172% High density
33774Largo 19,7993,631 5 2.3 149% Above average
33776Seminole 12,5561,450 3 2.3 145% Above average
33772Seminole 23,7335,684 6 2.3 145% Above average
33756Clearwater 32,20116,836 9 2.2 143% Above average
34684Palm Harbor 27,0299,733 7 2.2 141% Above average
33707Saint Petersburg 24,3246,153 6 2.2 141% Above average
33763Clearwater 21,1465,274 5 2.1 135% Above average
33702Saint Petersburg 31,29414,576 8 2.1 133% Above average
33712Saint Petersburg 27,1424,209 6 2.1 132% Above average
33713Saint Petersburg 31,72910,318 7 1.9 122% Above average
34698Dunedin 38,17110,283 8 1.8 119% Above average
33711Saint Petersburg 20,0135,716 4 1.7 112% Above average
33708Saint Petersburg 15,0604,723 3 1.7 111% Above average
33782Pinellas Park 22,4615,283 4 1.6 102% Above average
34689Tarpon Springs 27,3249,232 5 1.6 101% Above average
33706Saint Petersburg 15,2988,087 3 1.6 100% Below average
33710Saint Petersburg 33,79611,482 6 1.5 98% Below average
33764Clearwater 27,31114,146 5 1.5 94% Below average
33714Saint Petersburg 19,2274,441 3 1.4 90% Below average
33701Saint Petersburg 18,82325,047 4 1.3 82% Below average
34683Palm Harbor 33,9115,813 3 0.8 52% Below average
33703Saint Petersburg 25,2643,902 0–2 — — Not published
33715Saint Petersburg 8,0321,149 0–2 — — Not published
33716Saint Petersburg 19,32835,140 0–2 — — Not published
33729Saint Petersburg —2,214 0–2 — — Not published
33731Saint Petersburg —82 0–2 — — Not published
33732Saint Petersburg —505 0–2 — — Not published
33733Saint Petersburg —2,609 0–2 — — Not published
33734Saint Petersburg —79 0–2 — — Not published
33736Saint Petersburg —17 0–2 — — Not published
33738Saint Petersburg —9 0–2 — — Not published
33742Saint Petersburg —28 0–2 — — Not published
33743Saint Petersburg —27 0–2 — — Not published
33744Bay Pines 594,955 0–2 — — Not published
33747Saint Petersburg —4 0–2 — — Not published
33757Clearwater —10 0–2 — — Not published
33758Clearwater —166 0–2 — — Not published
33759Clearwater 17,55712,588 0–2 — — Not published
33760Clearwater 20,50118,276 0–2 — — Not published
33761Clearwater 18,2909,454 0–2 — — Not published
33762Clearwater 5,06316,447 0–2 — — Not published
33766Clearwater —25 0–2 — — Not published
33773Largo 16,74114,561 0–2 — — Not published
33775Seminole —79 0–2 — — Not published
33777Seminole 18,5829,140 0–2 — — Not published
33778Largo 16,8072,242 0–2 — — Not published
33779Largo —16 0–2 — — Not published
33780Pinellas Park —32 0–2 — — Not published
33784Saint Petersburg —17 0–2 — — Not published
33785Indian Rocks Beach 4,9071,950 0–2 — — Not published
33786Belleair Beach 1,582121 0–2 — — Not published
34660Ozona —46 0–2 — — Not published
34677Oldsmar 22,76217,692 0–2 — — Not published
34681Crystal Beach 1,284110 0–2 — — Not published
34682Palm Harbor —48 0–2 — — Not published
34685Palm Harbor 18,1323,443 0–2 — — Not published
34688Tarpon Springs 8,5221,102 0–2 — — Not published
34695Safety Harbor 18,0986,070 0–2 — — Not published
34697Dunedin —60 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Saint Petersburg

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Saint Petersburg retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Saint Petersburg retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Saint Petersburg retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Pinellas County and grocery stores

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 445110 — supermarkets & other grocery stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 196 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.55 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.