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Baltimore city, MD — Grocery stores Saturation

How many grocery stores exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 27 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Supermarkets · Grocery stores · Neighborhood food markets. Counted together because official statistics use one 445110 code.

Measured density: High density — 1.93× the U.S. rate (between 1.93× and 2.00× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 9 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 4 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

High density   Baltimore city grocery stores — 193–200% of the U.S. rate

231 grocery stores are counted in Baltimore city — 3.0 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 193% of the U.S. rate of 1.6.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 24% between 2015 and 2023 (305 → 231). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 21223 (Baltimore), 21216 (Baltimore), 21205 (Baltimore) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 21206 (Baltimore), 21209 (Baltimore), 21212 (Baltimore).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 169 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Baltimore city sits at 193% of the U.S. rate for grocery stores. 4 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 193% and 200% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 21223 and 21216; the lowest measured density is in 21206 and 21209.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing grocery stores and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Grocery stores
231–249
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (9 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
3.0
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.6
per 10,000 present
County index
1.93×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
169
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
622,980
22 ZIPs with data
Workers
291,829
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
568,271
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−2.6%
−14,918 people
Net migration 2024
+237
international +3,516, domestic −3,279
Jobs located here
317,074
LODES 2022, −9.1% since 2019

Baltimore city had an estimated 568,271 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.6% fewer than in 2020 (−14,918). In the latest year it gained 754 people: births minus deaths +524, international migration +3,516, domestic migration −3,279. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

317,074 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−9.1% since 2019), and 230,798 employed residents lived there (−10.3% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant increase.

ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
21205 Baltimore
−19.9%
21215 Baltimore
−10.4%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes grocery stores only combined with convenience stores in this dataset, so a grocery-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more grocery stores in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 24% since 2015

Number of grocery stores in Baltimore city across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

305
2015
270
2018
246
2020
262
2021
236
2022
231
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
21223 Baltimore
442%
21216 Baltimore
386%
21205 Baltimore
385%
21217 Baltimore
315%
21213 Baltimore
282%
21224 Baltimore
256%
21215 Baltimore
244%
21225 Brooklyn
208%
21214 Baltimore
202%
21229 Baltimore
194%
21218 Baltimore
165%
21231 Baltimore
162%
21202 Baltimore
157%
21230 Baltimore
152%
21212 Baltimore
124%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
21206 Baltimore
89%
21209 Baltimore
92%
21212 Baltimore
124%
21230 Baltimore
152%
21202 Baltimore
157%
21231 Baltimore
162%
21218 Baltimore
165%
21229 Baltimore
194%
21214 Baltimore
202%
21225 Brooklyn
208%
21215 Baltimore
244%
21224 Baltimore
256%
21213 Baltimore
282%
21217 Baltimore
315%
21205 Baltimore
385%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few grocery stores may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersGrocery storesIndex
21201Baltimore Employment hub 18,30737,672 13 225%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = grocery stores per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGrocery stores Per 10kIndexStatus
21223Baltimore 19,5724,507 15 6.9 442% Very high density
21216Baltimore 29,4261,172 18 6.0 386% Very high density
21205Baltimore 13,0137,359 10 6.0 385% Very high density
21217Baltimore 30,7923,648 16 4.9 315% Very high density
21213Baltimore 28,0583,126 13 4.4 282% Very high density
21224Baltimore 47,46540,767 27 4.0 256% Very high density
21215Baltimore 52,22916,859 23 3.8 244% High density
21201Baltimore 18,30737,672 13 3.5 225% High density
21225Brooklyn 34,0626,117 12 3.2 208% High density
21214Baltimore 21,0922,295 7 3.1 202% High density
21229Baltimore 46,6796,019 15 3.0 194% High density
21218Baltimore 44,01444,841 17 2.6 165% High density
21231Baltimore 14,9699,784 5 2.5 162% High density
21202Baltimore 20,68340,356 10 2.4 157% High density
21230Baltimore 32,97726,828 11 2.4 152% High density
21212Baltimore 33,9744,545 7 1.9 124% Above average
21209Baltimore 30,1269,386 5 1.4 92% Below average
21206Baltimore 48,9023,412 7 1.4 89% Below average
21203Baltimore —1,629 0–2 — — Not published
21210Baltimore 14,1346,438 0–2 — — Not published
21211Baltimore 14,96911,403 0–2 — — Not published
21233Baltimore 023 0–2 — — Not published
21235Baltimore —83 0–2 — — Not published
21239Baltimore 27,3465,093 0–2 — — Not published
21251Baltimore 191202 0–2 — — Not published
21278Baltimore —15 0–2 — — Not published
21287Baltimore 011,017 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Baltimore

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Baltimore retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Baltimore retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Baltimore retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Baltimore city and grocery stores

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 445110 — supermarkets & other grocery stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 169 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.55 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.