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Bronx County, NY — Grocery stores Saturation

How many grocery stores exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 25 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Supermarkets · Grocery stores · Neighborhood food markets. Counted together because official statistics use one 445110 code.

Measured density: Very high density — 4.39× the U.S. rate
Very high density   Bronx County grocery stores — 439% of the U.S. rate

1,062 grocery stores are counted in Bronx County — 6.8 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 439% of the U.S. rate of 1.6.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 19% between 2015 and 2023 (1,315 → 1,059). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 10459 (Bronx), 10472 (Bronx), 10460 (Bronx) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 10475 (Bronx), 10465 (Bronx), 10471 (Bronx).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 793 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Bronx County sits at 439% of the U.S. rate for grocery stores. The highest measured density is in 10459 and 10472; the lowest measured density is in 10475 and 10465.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing grocery stores and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Grocery stores
1,062
published count (2023)
Per 10,000 present
6.8
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.6
per 10,000 present
County index
4.39×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
793
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,412,082
25 ZIPs with data
Workers
285,342
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,384,724
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−5.1%
−74,599 people
Net migration 2024
+2,705
international +28,403, domestic −25,698
Jobs located here
337,467
LODES 2022, +2.7% since 2019

Bronx County had an estimated 1,384,724 residents on July 1, 2024 — 5.1% fewer than in 2020 (−74,599). In the latest year it gained 9,458 people: births minus deaths +6,743, international migration +28,403, domestic migration −25,698. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

337,467 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+2.7% since 2019), and 557,454 employed residents lived there (−5.9% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant increase.

ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
10458 Bronx
−12.5%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes grocery stores only combined with convenience stores in this dataset, so a grocery-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more grocery stores in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 19% since 2015

Number of grocery stores in Bronx County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

1,315
2015
1,241
2018
1,088
2020
1,083
2021
1,066
2022
1,059
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
10459 Bronx
660%
10472 Bronx
619%
10460 Bronx
596%
10470 Bronx
596%
10452 Bronx
569%
10453 Bronx
565%
10454 Bronx
541%
10455 Bronx
538%
10467 Bronx
528%
10458 Bronx
527%
10457 Bronx
506%
10451 Bronx
502%
10456 Bronx
473%
10462 Bronx
465%
10461 Bronx
436%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
10475 Bronx
97%
10465 Bronx
115%
10471 Bronx
137%
10463 Bronx
248%
10473 Bronx
258%
10466 Bronx
268%
10469 Bronx
284%
10468 Bronx
363%
10474 Bronx
366%
10461 Bronx
436%
10462 Bronx
465%
10456 Bronx
473%
10451 Bronx
502%
10457 Bronx
506%
10458 Bronx
527%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few grocery stores may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = grocery stores per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGrocery stores Per 10kIndexStatus
10459Bronx 48,2706,765 53 10.3 660% Very high density
10472Bronx 64,0115,005 64 9.6 619% Very high density
10460Bronx 59,3966,313 58 9.3 596% Very high density
10470Bronx 16,0044,692 17 9.3 596% Very high density
10452Bronx 75,6826,970 70 8.8 569% Very high density
10453Bronx 76,2826,882 70 8.8 565% Very high density
10454Bronx 39,57013,549 39 8.4 541% Very high density
10455Bronx 44,80118,016 45 8.4 538% Very high density
10467Bronx 96,42129,007 91 8.2 528% Very high density
10458Bronx 74,89818,558 69 8.2 527% Very high density
10457Bronx 79,54313,700 68 7.9 506% Very high density
10451Bronx 50,94218,629 47 7.8 502% Very high density
10456Bronx 87,5339,953 68 7.4 473% Very high density
10462Bronx 76,32021,778 63 7.2 465% Very high density
10464Bronx 3,828994 3 6.9 446% Very high density
10461Bronx 52,01219,955 42 6.8 436% Very high density
10474Bronx 11,27016,119 11 5.7 366% Very high density
10468Bronx 75,5578,388 45 5.6 363% Very high density
10469Bronx 68,5218,006 32 4.4 284% Very high density
10466Bronx 71,1166,831 31 4.2 268% Very high density
10473Bronx 58,8556,832 25 4.0 258% Very high density
10463Bronx 69,47011,667 29 3.9 248% High density
10471Bronx 23,7988,616 6 2.1 137% Above average
10465Bronx 45,40410,273 9 1.8 115% Above average
10475Bronx 42,5787,844 7 1.5 97% Below average

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Bronx

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Bronx retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Bronx retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Bronx retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Bronx County and grocery stores

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 445110 — supermarkets & other grocery stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 793 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.55 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.