BizGapMap

Home / Grocery stores & supermarkets / Pennsylvania / York County, PA

York County, PA — Grocery stores Saturation

How many grocery stores exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 41 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Supermarkets · Grocery stores · Neighborhood food markets. Counted together because official statistics use one 445110 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.50× the U.S. rate (between 0.50× and 1.26× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 34 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 33 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   York County grocery stores — 50–126% of the U.S. rate

44 grocery stores are counted in York County — 0.8 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 50% of the U.S. rate of 1.6.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 11% between 2015 and 2023 (45 → 40). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 17401 (York), 17403 (York), 17356 (Red Lion) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 17402 (York), 17331 (Hanover), 17315 (Dover).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 64 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: York County sits at 50% of the U.S. rate for grocery stores. 33 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 50% and 126% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 17401 and 17403; the lowest measured density is in 17402 and 17331.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing grocery stores and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Grocery stores
44–112
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (34 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.8
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.6
per 10,000 present
County index
0.50×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
64
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
476,698
40 ZIPs with data
Workers
173,506
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
471,240
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+3.2%
+14,486 people
Net migration 2024
+4,804
international +2,093, domestic +2,711
Jobs located here
183,163
LODES 2022, +0.5% since 2019

York County had an estimated 471,240 residents on July 1, 2024 — 3.2% more than in 2020 (+14,486). In the latest year it gained 5,263 people: births minus deaths +481, international migration +2,093, domestic migration +2,711. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

183,163 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+0.5% since 2019), and 220,290 employed residents lived there (−0.4% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
17362 Spring Grove
+13.0%
17404 York
+9.7%
17331 Hanover
+8.8%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes grocery stores only combined with convenience stores in this dataset, so a grocery-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more grocery stores in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 11% since 2015

Number of grocery stores in York County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

45
2015
41
2018
41
2020
42
2021
39
2022
40
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
17401 York
207%
17403 York
104%
17356 Red Lion
104%
17404 York
95%
17315 Dover
94%
17331 Hanover
82%
17402 York
61%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
17402 York
61%
17331 Hanover
82%
17315 Dover
94%
17404 York
95%
17356 Red Lion
104%
17403 York
104%
17401 York
207%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few grocery stores may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersGrocery storesIndex
17318Emigsville Employment hub 230797 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = grocery stores per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGrocery stores Per 10kIndexStatus
17401York 18,5706,411 7 3.2 207% High density
17403York 40,28718,344 8 1.6 104% Above average
17356Red Lion 22,8693,962 4 1.6 104% Above average
17404York 39,37416,266 7 1.5 95% Below average
17315Dover 25,7602,975 4 1.5 94% Below average
17331Hanover 56,44327,846 9 1.3 82% Below average
17402York 37,46630,239 5 1.0 61% Below average
17019Dillsburg 19,5943,885 0–2 — — Not published
17070New Cumberland 16,8303,997 0–2 — — Not published
17302Airville 2,834104 0–2 — — Not published
17309Brogue 1,393237 0–2 — — Not published
17311Codorus 12737 0–2 — — Not published
17313Dallastown 11,4282,427 0–2 — — Not published
17314Delta 6,6401,473 0–2 — — Not published
17317East Prospect 46618 0–2 — — Not published
17318Emigsville 230797 0–2 — — Not published
17319Etters 11,2922,026 0–2 — — Not published
17321Fawn Grove 2,419152 0–2 — — Not published
17322Felton 6,473263 0–2 — — Not published
17327Glen Rock 7,8281,631 0–2 — — Not published
17329Glenville 2,999106 0–2 — — Not published
17339Lewisberry 6,2815,118 0–2 — — Not published
17342Loganville 56319 0–2 — — Not published
17345Manchester 7,7152,609 0–2 — — Not published
17347Mount Wolf 6,393700 0–2 — — Not published
17349New Freedom 8,2541,843 0–2 — — Not published
17352New Park 1,28850 0–2 — — Not published
17360Seven Valleys 5,735645 0–2 — — Not published
17361Shrewsbury 6,1563,065 0–2 — — Not published
17362Spring Grove 14,7302,338 0–2 — — Not published
17363Stewartstown 8,553849 0–2 — — Not published
17364Thomasville 4,209695 0–2 — — Not published
17365Wellsville 2,897574 0–2 — — Not published
17366Windsor 6,392105 0–2 — — Not published
17368Wrightsville 7,0051,561 0–2 — — Not published
17370York Haven 7,090705 0–2 — — Not published
17371York New Salem 375127 0–2 — — Not published
17405York —6,499 0–2 — — Not published
17406York 23,63616,671 0–2 — — Not published
17407York 2,673299 0–2 — — Not published
17408York 25,43112,337 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in York

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse York retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse York retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse York retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow York County and grocery stores

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 445110 — supermarkets & other grocery stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 64 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.55 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.