BizGapMap

Home / Grocery stores & supermarkets / Texas / El Paso County, TX

El Paso County, TX — Grocery stores Saturation

How many grocery stores exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 42 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Supermarkets · Grocery stores · Neighborhood food markets. Counted together because official statistics use one 445110 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.54× the U.S. rate (between 0.54× and 0.77× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 29 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 18 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   El Paso County grocery stores — 54–77% of the U.S. rate

84 grocery stores are counted in El Paso County — 0.8 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 54% of the U.S. rate of 1.6.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 17% between 2015 and 2023 (101 → 84). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 79901 (El Paso), 79905 (El Paso), 79925 (El Paso) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 79936 (El Paso), 79924 (El Paso), 79912 (El Paso).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 90 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: El Paso County sits at 54% of the U.S. rate for grocery stores. 18 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 54% and 77% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 79901 and 79905; the lowest measured density is in 79936 and 79924.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing grocery stores and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Grocery stores
84–142
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (29 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.8
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.6
per 10,000 present
County index
0.54×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
90
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
871,270
31 ZIPs with data
Workers
253,085
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
875,784
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+1.0%
+9,100 people
Net migration 2024
−3,033
international +4,315, domestic −7,348
Jobs located here
340,179
LODES 2022, +5.5% since 2019

El Paso County had an estimated 875,784 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.0% more than in 2020 (+9,100). In the latest year it gained 948 people: births minus deaths +3,999, international migration +4,315, domestic migration −7,348. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

340,179 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+5.5% since 2019), and 339,552 employed residents lived there (+3.3% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
79911 El Paso
+75.9%
79928 El Paso
+51.3%
79849 San Elizario
+18.5%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
79908 El Paso
−35.4%
79907 El Paso
−12.8%
79936 El Paso
−7.7%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes grocery stores only combined with convenience stores in this dataset, so a grocery-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more grocery stores in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 17% since 2015

Number of grocery stores in El Paso County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

101
2015
90
2018
79
2020
83
2021
80
2022
84
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
79901 El Paso
540%
79905 El Paso
158%
79925 El Paso
106%
79927 El Paso
82%
79930 El Paso
76%
79907 El Paso
73%
79915 El Paso
65%
79932 El Paso
58%
79904 El Paso
56%
79938 El Paso
55%
79912 El Paso
55%
79924 El Paso
50%
79936 El Paso
47%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
79936 El Paso
47%
79924 El Paso
50%
79912 El Paso
55%
79938 El Paso
55%
79904 El Paso
56%
79932 El Paso
58%
79915 El Paso
65%
79907 El Paso
73%
79930 El Paso
76%
79927 El Paso
82%
79925 El Paso
106%
79905 El Paso
158%
79901 El Paso
540%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few grocery stores may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersGrocery storesIndex
79920El Paso Destination 281,951 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = grocery stores per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGrocery stores Per 10kIndexStatus
79901El Paso 8,55411,473 12 8.4 540% Very high density
79905El Paso 22,59411,790 7 2.5 158% High density
79925El Paso 38,62131,486 9 1.7 106% Above average
79927El Paso 44,4445,265 6 1.3 82% Below average
79930El Paso 24,1232,716 3 1.2 76% Below average
79907El Paso 46,36512,363 6 1.1 73% Below average
79915El Paso 34,23010,192 4 1.0 65% Below average
79932El Paso 30,7865,424 3 0.9 58% Below average
79904El Paso 32,9763,071 3 0.9 56% Below average
79938El Paso 99,62110,318 9 0.9 55% Below average
79912El Paso 78,81929,599 8 0.9 55% Below average
79924El Paso 60,3648,595 5 0.8 50% Far below average
79936El Paso 102,99140,030 9 0.7 47% Far below average
79821Anthony 7,2272,114 0–2 — — Not published
79835Canutillo 11,4402,240 0–2 — — Not published
79836Clint 7,711817 0–2 — — Not published
79838Fabens 4,969581 0–2 — — Not published
79849San Elizario 14,409552 0–2 — — Not published
79853Tornillo 2,686138 0–2 — — Not published
79902El Paso 19,03117,501 0–2 — — Not published
79903El Paso 14,7158,706 0–2 — — Not published
79906El Paso 5,9177,540 0–2 — — Not published
79908El Paso 4,14865 0–2 — — Not published
79911El Paso 10,1921,609 0–2 — — Not published
79913El Paso —52 0–2 — — Not published
79916Fort Bliss 3,0551,158 0–2 — — Not published
79917El Paso —11 0–2 — — Not published
79918Fort Bliss 274225 0–2 — — Not published
79920El Paso 281,951 0–2 — — Not published
79922El Paso 6,8003,769 0–2 — — Not published
79923El Paso —99 0–2 — — Not published
79926El Paso —27 0–2 — — Not published
79928El Paso 86,59910,506 0–2 — — Not published
79929El Paso —158 0–2 — — Not published
79931El Paso —6 0–2 — — Not published
79934El Paso 28,8612,197 0–2 — — Not published
79935El Paso 18,7209,094 0–2 — — Not published
79937El Paso —63 0–2 — — Not published
79968El Paso —257 0–2 — — Not published
79996El Paso —61 0–2 — — Not published
79997El Paso —102 0–2 — — Not published
79998El Paso —45 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in El Paso

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse El Paso retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse El Paso retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse El Paso retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow El Paso County and grocery stores

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 445110 — supermarkets & other grocery stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 90 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.55 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.