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Alameda County, CA — Gyms Saturation

How many gyms exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 58 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Gyms & fitness centers · CrossFit boxes · Boxing, martial arts & dance studios · Recreational sports centers. Counted together because official statistics use one 713940 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.12× the U.S. rate (between 1.12× and 1.26× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 24 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 15 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Alameda County gyms — 112–126% of the U.S. rate

233 gyms are counted in Alameda County — 1.1 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 112% of the U.S. rate of 1.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 45% between 2015 and 2023 (119 → 172). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 94611 (Oakland), 94705 (Berkeley), 94610 (Oakland) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 94541 (Hayward), 94577 (San Leandro), 94605 (Oakland).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 263 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Alameda County sits at 112% of the U.S. rate for gyms. 15 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 112% and 126% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 94611 and 94705; the lowest measured density is in 94541 and 94577.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing gyms and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Gyms
233–281
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (24 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.1
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.0
per 10,000 present
County index
1.12×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
263
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,655,008
49 ZIPs with data
Workers
750,285
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,649,060
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−1.9%
−31,554 people
Net migration 2024
+5,422
international +27,563, domestic −22,141
Jobs located here
819,506
LODES 2022, +1.5% since 2019

Alameda County had an estimated 1,649,060 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.9% fewer than in 2020 (−31,554). In the latest year it gained 10,918 people: births minus deaths +5,479, international migration +27,563, domestic migration −22,141. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

819,506 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+1.5% since 2019), and 801,997 employed residents lived there (−1.9% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
94720 Berkeley
+102.6%
94568 Dublin
+27.3%
94608 Emeryville
+10.9%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
94551 Livermore
−19.8%
94704 Berkeley
−19.6%
94587 Union City
−9.7%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. NES 2024 does not publish fitness and recreational sports centers (NAICS 71394); only the broader recreation group (7139) is available.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more gyms in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 45% since 2015

Number of gyms in Alameda County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

119
2015
148
2018
171
2020
162
2021
162
2022
172
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
94611 Oakland
374%
94705 Berkeley
288%
94610 Oakland
275%
94706 Albany
267%
94618 Oakland
243%
94566 Pleasanton
242%
94551 Livermore
239%
94704 Berkeley
198%
94609 Oakland
194%
94588 Pleasanton
165%
94550 Livermore
156%
94502 Alameda
151%
94702 Berkeley
150%
94501 Alameda
144%
94608 Emeryville
132%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
94541 Hayward
53%
94577 San Leandro
59%
94605 Oakland
64%
94560 Newark
64%
94544 Hayward
68%
94545 Hayward
78%
94536 Fremont
79%
94602 Oakland
87%
94538 Fremont
94%
94619 Oakland
100%
94578 San Leandro
104%
94607 Oakland
113%
94606 Oakland
115%
94546 Castro Valley
119%
94539 Fremont
125%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few gyms may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersGymsIndex
94612Oakland Employment hub 18,17543,353 11 269%
94710Berkeley Employment hub 8,38018,030 4 224%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = gyms per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGyms Per 10kIndexStatus
94611Oakland 40,11613,527 18 3.8 374% Very high density
94705Berkeley 13,9915,823 5 3.0 288% Very high density
94610Oakland 32,6285,572 10 2.8 275% Very high density
94612Oakland 18,17543,353 11 2.8 269% Very high density
94706Albany 19,9693,852 6 2.7 267% Very high density
94618Oakland 16,9586,243 5 2.5 243% High density
94566Pleasanton 44,22216,027 13 2.5 242% High density
94551Livermore 37,88530,354 13 2.4 239% High density
94710Berkeley 8,38018,030 4 2.3 224% High density
94704Berkeley 23,78811,484 6 2.0 198% High density
94609Oakland 23,92812,431 6 2.0 194% High density
94588Pleasanton 34,32861,022 11 1.7 165% High density
94550Livermore 49,87325,430 10 1.6 156% High density
94502Alameda 13,43011,737 3 1.6 151% High density
94702Berkeley 17,6353,735 3 1.5 150% Above average
94501Alameda 63,80820,851 11 1.5 144% Above average
94608Emeryville 34,39534,469 7 1.4 132% Above average
94703Berkeley 20,9342,484 3 1.4 132% Above average
94568Dublin 70,80322,730 11 1.3 130% Above average
94539Fremont 52,39619,562 8 1.3 125% Above average
94546Castro Valley 44,8558,763 6 1.2 119% Above average
94606Oakland 39,9665,139 5 1.2 115% Above average
94607Oakland 28,80428,767 5 1.2 113% Above average
94578San Leandro 41,76910,428 5 1.1 104% Above average
94619Oakland 26,8314,635 3 1.0 100% Above average
94538Fremont 67,78193,523 11 1.0 94% Below average
94602Oakland 31,7593,611 3 0.9 87% Below average
94536Fremont 70,6196,845 6 0.8 79% Below average
94545Hayward 32,84333,827 4 0.8 78% Below average
94544Hayward 76,94718,767 6 0.7 68% Below average
94560Newark 46,90327,577 4 0.7 64% Below average
94605Oakland 44,1033,593 3 0.7 64% Below average
94577San Leandro 46,31738,477 4 0.6 59% Below average
94541Hayward 67,13912,202 4 0.5 53% Below average
94537Fremont —278 0–2 — — Not published
94540Hayward —90 0–2 — — Not published
94542Hayward 14,8712,216 0–2 — — Not published
94552Castro Valley 14,506960 0–2 — — Not published
94555Fremont 37,5015,458 0–2 — — Not published
94557Hayward —67 0–2 — — Not published
94579San Leandro 20,0172,224 0–2 — — Not published
94580San Lorenzo 29,4203,718 0–2 — — Not published
94586Sunol 971686 0–2 — — Not published
94587Union City 67,46422,663 0–2 — — Not published
94601Oakland 53,25910,209 0–2 — — Not published
94603Oakland 35,7424,003 0–2 — — Not published
94604Oakland —11 0–2 — — Not published
94613Oakland 472359 0–2 — — Not published
94615Oakland —7 0–2 — — Not published
94620Piedmont —40 0–2 — — Not published
94621Oakland 33,84026,435 0–2 — — Not published
94624Oakland —34 0–2 — — Not published
94662Emeryville —12 0–2 — — Not published
94701Berkeley —35 0–2 — — Not published
94707Berkeley 12,8111,987 0–2 — — Not published
94708Berkeley 11,947739 0–2 — — Not published
94709Berkeley 12,1462,891 0–2 — — Not published
94720Berkeley 5,763867 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Fremont

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Fremont retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Fremont retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Fremont retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Alameda County and gyms

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

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Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 713940 — fitness & recreational sports centers (gyms). Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 263 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.