BizGapMap

Home / Fitness & recreational sports centers / New York / Erie County, NY

Erie County, NY — Gyms Saturation

How many gyms exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 73 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Gyms & fitness centers · CrossFit boxes · Boxing, martial arts & dance studios · Recreational sports centers. Counted together because official statistics use one 713940 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 1.00× the U.S. rate (between 1.00× and 1.80× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 55 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 48 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Erie County gyms — 100–180% of the U.S. rate

118 gyms are counted in Erie County — 1.0 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 100% of the U.S. rate of 1.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 24% between 2015 and 2023 (74 → 92). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 14051 (East Amherst), 14222 (Buffalo), 14127 (Orchard Park) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 14086 (Lancaster), 14228 (Buffalo), 14043 (Depew).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 152 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Erie County sits at 100% of the U.S. rate for gyms. 48 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 100% and 180% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 14051 and 14222; the lowest measured density is in 14086 and 14228.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing gyms and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Gyms
118–228
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (55 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.0
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.0
per 10,000 present
County index
1.00×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
152
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
948,221
66 ZIPs with data
Workers
414,184
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
950,602
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−0.2%
−1,751 people
Net migration 2024
+2,757
international +5,371, domestic −2,614
Jobs located here
475,018
LODES 2022, −3.6% since 2019

Erie County had an estimated 950,602 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.2% fewer than in 2020 (−1,751). In the latest year it gained 2,216 people: births minus deaths −568, international migration +5,371, domestic migration −2,614. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

475,018 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−3.6% since 2019), and 429,001 employed residents lived there (−3.3% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
14212 Buffalo
+24.1%
14228 Buffalo
+16.1%
14086 Lancaster
+9.4%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. NES 2024 does not publish fitness and recreational sports centers (NAICS 71394); only the broader recreation group (7139) is available.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more gyms in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 24% since 2015

Number of gyms in Erie County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

74
2015
75
2018
85
2020
84
2021
95
2022
92
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
14051 East Amherst
363%
14222 Buffalo
343%
14127 Orchard Park
321%
14221 Buffalo
309%
14052 East Aurora
221%
14226 Buffalo
213%
14219 Buffalo
205%
14207 Buffalo
157%
14075 Hamburg
157%
14216 Buffalo
152%
14217 Buffalo
150%
14224 Buffalo
122%
14223 Buffalo
121%
14150 Tonawanda
112%
14225 Buffalo
104%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
14086 Lancaster
70%
14228 Buffalo
88%
14043 Depew
94%
14225 Buffalo
104%
14150 Tonawanda
112%
14223 Buffalo
121%
14224 Buffalo
122%
14217 Buffalo
150%
14216 Buffalo
152%
14075 Hamburg
157%
14207 Buffalo
157%
14219 Buffalo
205%
14226 Buffalo
213%
14052 East Aurora
221%
14221 Buffalo
309%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few gyms may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersGymsIndex
14134Sardinia Employment hub 32154 0–2 —
14202Buffalo Employment hub 3,86221,925 0–2 —
14203Buffalo Employment hub 2,42424,197 0–2 —
14260Buffalo Employment hub 9242,400 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = gyms per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersGyms Per 10kIndexStatus
14051East Amherst 19,7393,441 8 3.7 363% Very high density
14222Buffalo 15,3113,481 6 3.5 343% Very high density
14127Orchard Park 31,54315,809 13 3.3 321% Very high density
14221Buffalo 55,25546,958 25 3.2 309% Very high density
14052East Aurora 17,5149,140 5 2.3 221% High density
14226Buffalo 29,15914,884 8 2.2 213% High density
14219Buffalo 10,6527,159 3 2.1 205% High density
14207Buffalo 26,3279,331 5 1.6 157% High density
14075Hamburg 44,52010,368 8 1.6 157% High density
14216Buffalo 22,8495,522 4 1.6 152% High density
14217Buffalo 22,4716,869 4 1.5 150% High density
14224Buffalo 41,21913,381 6 1.3 122% Above average
14223Buffalo 22,6112,922 3 1.2 121% Above average
14150Tonawanda 41,26021,679 6 1.2 112% Above average
14225Buffalo 33,62026,107 5 1.1 104% Above average
14043Depew 25,09811,786 3 1.0 94% Below average
14228Buffalo 25,35015,784 3 0.9 88% Below average
14086Lancaster 35,63511,976 3 0.7 70% Below average
14001Akron 8,9372,610 0–2 — — Not published
14004Alden 11,3961,898 0–2 — — Not published
14006Angola 9,260949 0–2 — — Not published
14010Athol Springs —98 0–2 — — Not published
14025Boston 3,243257 0–2 — — Not published
14026Bowmansville 617496 0–2 — — Not published
14027Brant 142152 0–2 — — Not published
14030Chaffee 2,067573 0–2 — — Not published
14031Clarence 9,8855,061 0–2 — — Not published
14032Clarence Center 10,2221,329 0–2 — — Not published
14033Colden 1,539202 0–2 — — Not published
14034Collins 2,086267 0–2 — — Not published
14035Collins Center 1522 0–2 — — Not published
14047Derby 6,0131,089 0–2 — — Not published
14055East Concord 1,41856 0–2 — — Not published
14057Eden 7,972842 0–2 — — Not published
14059Elma 9,1383,753 0–2 — — Not published
14061Farnham 9333 0–2 — — Not published
14068Getzville 8,63612,031 0–2 — — Not published
14069Glenwood 443255 0–2 — — Not published
14072Grand Island 21,4886,653 0–2 — — Not published
14080Holland 4,444627 0–2 — — Not published
14085Lake View 8,531327 0–2 — — Not published
14091Lawtons 1,31622 0–2 — — Not published
14102Marilla 1,85650 0–2 — — Not published
14110North Boston —77 0–2 — — Not published
14111North Collins 3,186641 0–2 — — Not published
14134Sardinia 32154 0–2 — — Not published
14139South Wales 2,113249 0–2 — — Not published
14141Springville 7,6033,046 0–2 — — Not published
14151Tonawanda —115 0–2 — — Not published
14169Wales Center 7777 0–2 — — Not published
14170West Falls 2,292296 0–2 — — Not published
14201Buffalo 12,3694,039 0–2 — — Not published
14202Buffalo 3,86221,925 0–2 — — Not published
14203Buffalo 2,42424,197 0–2 — — Not published
14204Buffalo 7,9324,580 0–2 — — Not published
14205Buffalo —108 0–2 — — Not published
14206Buffalo 21,6318,431 0–2 — — Not published
14208Buffalo 12,5721,988 0–2 — — Not published
14209Buffalo 8,3135,573 0–2 — — Not published
14210Buffalo 15,56312,568 0–2 — — Not published
14211Buffalo 24,6633,621 0–2 — — Not published
14212Buffalo 13,2992,550 0–2 — — Not published
14213Buffalo 24,1073,563 0–2 — — Not published
14214Buffalo 21,3148,133 0–2 — — Not published
14215Buffalo 42,5249,465 0–2 — — Not published
14218Buffalo 20,3124,329 0–2 — — Not published
14220Buffalo 24,4287,962 0–2 — — Not published
14227Buffalo 20,6217,177 0–2 — — Not published
14231Buffalo —235 0–2 — — Not published
14240Buffalo —1,358 0–2 — — Not published
14260Buffalo 9242,400 0–2 — — Not published
14261Buffalo 5,0331,089 0–2 — — Not published
14263Buffalo —1,095 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Buffalo

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Buffalo retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Buffalo retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Buffalo retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Erie County and gyms

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 713940 — fitness & recreational sports centers (gyms). Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 152 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.