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Fresno County, CA — Nail salons Saturation

How many nail salons exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 66 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Nail salons · Manicure & pedicure studios. Counted together because official statistics use one 812113 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.99× the U.S. rate (between 0.99× and 1.92× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 57 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 46 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Fresno County nail salons — 99–192% of the U.S. rate

99 nail salons are counted in Fresno County — 0.8 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 99% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 95% between 2015 and 2023 (44 → 86). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 93710 (Fresno), 93612 (Clovis), 93720 (Fresno) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 93722 (Fresno), 93704 (Fresno), 93727 (Fresno).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 126 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Fresno County sits at 99% of the U.S. rate for nail salons. 46 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 99% and 192% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 93710 and 93612; the lowest measured density is in 93722 and 93704.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing nail salons and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Nail salons
99–213
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (57 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.8
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
0.99×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
126
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,021,317
55 ZIPs with data
Workers
301,306
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,024,125
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+1.4%
+14,512 people
Net migration 2024
−1,574
international +4,855, domestic −6,429
Jobs located here
407,149
LODES 2022, +6.9% since 2019

Fresno County had an estimated 1,024,125 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.4% more than in 2020 (+14,512). In the latest year it gained 4,226 people: births minus deaths +5,772, international migration +4,855, domestic migration −6,429. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

407,149 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+6.9% since 2019), and 404,249 employed residents lived there (+4.4% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
93619 Clovis
+40.9%
93640 Mendota
+13.4%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
93622 Firebaugh
−12.1%
93646 Orange Cove
−12.0%
93234 Huron
−11.4%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
506
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$12.0M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$24K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more nail salons in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 95% since 2015

Number of nail salons in Fresno County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

44
2015
62
2018
78
2020
85
2021
87
2022
86
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
93710 Fresno
396%
93612 Clovis
364%
93720 Fresno
357%
93711 Fresno
351%
93611 Clovis
248%
93730 Fresno
236%
93727 Fresno
122%
93704 Fresno
108%
93722 Fresno
99%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
93722 Fresno
99%
93704 Fresno
108%
93727 Fresno
122%
93730 Fresno
236%
93611 Clovis
248%
93711 Fresno
351%
93720 Fresno
357%
93612 Clovis
364%
93710 Fresno
396%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few nail salons may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersNail salonsIndex
93634Lakeshore Employment hub 31190 0–2 —
93721Fresno Employment hub 7,22518,409 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = nail salons per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersNail salons Per 10kIndexStatus
93710Fresno 31,66919,758 14 3.4 396% Very high density
93612Clovis 37,75521,520 15 3.1 364% Very high density
93720Fresno 50,08931,657 20 3.0 357% Very high density
93711Fresno 39,24521,913 15 3.0 351% Very high density
93611Clovis 46,62411,194 11 2.1 248% High density
93730Fresno 14,2631,372 3 2.0 236% High density
93727Fresno 84,10724,403 10 1.0 122% Above average
93704Fresno 28,9327,345 3 0.9 108% Above average
93722Fresno 86,11017,535 8 0.8 99% Below average
93210Coalinga 18,4912,547 0–2 — — Not published
93234Huron 6,519401 0–2 — — Not published
93242Laton 2,904140 0–2 — — Not published
93602Auberry 3,330421 0–2 — — Not published
93605Big Creek 6959 0–2 — — Not published
93606Biola 988106 0–2 — — Not published
93608Cantua Creek 68316 0–2 — — Not published
93609Caruthers 4,740543 0–2 — — Not published
93613Clovis —717 0–2 — — Not published
93616Del Rey 2,402539 0–2 — — Not published
93619Clovis 55,6103,160 0–2 — — Not published
93621Dunlap 44130 0–2 — — Not published
93622Firebaugh 9,0841,153 0–2 — — Not published
93624Five Points 735345 0–2 — — Not published
93625Fowler 8,7782,461 0–2 — — Not published
93626Friant 3,3041,511 0–2 — — Not published
93627Helm 451361 0–2 — — Not published
93630Kerman 21,2843,152 0–2 — — Not published
93631Kingsburg 17,5834,417 0–2 — — Not published
93634Lakeshore 31190 0–2 — — Not published
93640Mendota 14,657774 0–2 — — Not published
93646Orange Cove 10,328720 0–2 — — Not published
93648Parlier 15,1841,321 0–2 — — Not published
93650Fresno 3,3332,270 0–2 — — Not published
93651Prather 1,489280 0–2 — — Not published
93652Raisin City 2162 0–2 — — Not published
93654Reedley 31,8765,306 0–2 — — Not published
93656Riverdale 7,172349 0–2 — — Not published
93657Sanger 36,2054,939 0–2 — — Not published
93660San Joaquin 4,0861,483 0–2 — — Not published
93662Selma 29,4198,369 0–2 — — Not published
93664Shaver Lake 345293 0–2 — — Not published
93667Tollhouse 2,21847 0–2 — — Not published
93668Tranquillity 74148 0–2 — — Not published
93675Squaw Valley 3,374106 0–2 — — Not published
93701Fresno 9,8085,294 0–2 — — Not published
93702Fresno 43,8755,137 0–2 — — Not published
93703Fresno 33,4207,259 0–2 — — Not published
93705Fresno 38,8882,404 0–2 — — Not published
93706Fresno 40,63817,044 0–2 — — Not published
93718Fresno —30 0–2 — — Not published
93721Fresno 7,22518,409 0–2 — — Not published
93723Fresno 14,726849 0–2 — — Not published
93725Fresno 24,57523,772 0–2 — — Not published
93726Fresno 44,52711,910 0–2 — — Not published
93728Fresno 18,3133,680 0–2 — — Not published
93729Fresno —68 0–2 — — Not published
93737Fresno 7,279440 0–2 — — Not published
93740Fresno 1,179552 0–2 — — Not published
93744Fresno —9 0–2 — — Not published
93745Fresno —146 0–2 — — Not published
93747Fresno —8 0–2 — — Not published
93755Fresno —11 0–2 — — Not published
93772Fresno —38 0–2 — — Not published
93775Fresno —21 0–2 — — Not published
93790Fresno —57 0–2 — — Not published
93794Fresno —9 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Fresno

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Fresno retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Fresno retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Fresno retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Fresno County and nail salons

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 812113 — nail salons. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 126 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.85 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.