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Orange County, CA — Nail salons Saturation

How many nail salons exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 135 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Nail salons · Manicure & pedicure studios. Counted together because official statistics use one 812113 code.

Measured density: High density — 2.23× the U.S. rate (between 2.23× and 2.34× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 65 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 18 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

High density   Orange County nail salons — 223–234% of the U.S. rate

751 nail salons are counted in Orange County — 1.9 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 223% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 120% between 2015 and 2023 (255 → 561). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 92625 (Corona Del Mar), 92708 (Fountain Valley), 92843 (Garden Grove) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 92618 (Irvine), 92805 (Anaheim), 92806 (Anaheim).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 821 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Orange County sits at 223% of the U.S. rate for nail salons. 18 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 223% and 234% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 92625 and 92708; the lowest measured density is in 92618 and 92805.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing nail salons and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Nail salons
751–881
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (65 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.9
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
2.23×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
821
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
3,175,270
88 ZIPs with data
Workers
1,572,620
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
3,170,435
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−0.5%
−15,826 people
Net migration 2024
+7,389
international +29,759, domestic −22,370
Jobs located here
1,697,322
LODES 2022, +0.7% since 2019

Orange County had an estimated 3,170,435 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.5% fewer than in 2020 (−15,826). In the latest year it gained 15,872 people: births minus deaths +8,437, international migration +29,759, domestic migration −22,370. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

1,697,322 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+0.7% since 2019), and 1,480,984 employed residents lived there (−1.0% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
92617 Irvine
+39.7%
92618 Irvine
+35.0%
92782 Tustin
+30.3%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
92610 Foothill Ranch
−21.4%
92701 Santa Ana
−13.1%
92691 Mission Viejo
−9.8%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
4,558
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$104.4M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$23K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more nail salons in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 120% since 2015

Number of nail salons in Orange County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

255
2015
323
2018
489
2020
522
2021
560
2022
561
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
92625 Corona Del Mar
575%
92708 Fountain Valley
516%
92843 Garden Grove
492%
92651 Laguna Beach
411%
92865 Orange
401%
92845 Garden Grove
400%
90680 Stanton
396%
90740 Seal Beach
392%
90630 Cypress
390%
92841 Garden Grove
381%
92610 Foothill Ranch
379%
92704 Santa Ana
376%
90631 La Habra
356%
92627 Costa Mesa
354%
92649 Huntington Beach
347%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
92618 Irvine
27%
92805 Anaheim
40%
92806 Anaheim
73%
92620 Irvine
90%
92656 Aliso Viejo
91%
92868 Orange
91%
92707 Santa Ana
100%
92606 Irvine
101%
92833 Fullerton
104%
92701 Santa Ana
108%
92675 San Juan Capistrano
110%
92802 Anaheim
118%
92612 Irvine
123%
92694 Ladera Ranch
123%
92672 San Clemente
137%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few nail salons may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersNail salonsIndex
92614Irvine Employment hub 29,23971,739 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = nail salons per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersNail salons Per 10kIndexStatus
92625Corona Del Mar 12,2944,050 7 4.9 575% Very high density
92708Fountain Valley 56,25828,817 31 4.4 516% Very high density
92843Garden Grove 46,41412,390 22 4.2 492% Very high density
92651Laguna Beach 23,55710,107 10 3.5 411% Very high density
92865Orange 20,58917,444 10 3.4 401% Very high density
92845Garden Grove 16,1432,981 6 3.4 400% Very high density
90680Stanton 31,9917,219 12 3.4 396% Very high density
90740Seal Beach 24,25411,439 10 3.3 392% Very high density
90630Cypress 49,31821,856 20 3.3 390% Very high density
92841Garden Grove 33,21913,789 13 3.2 381% Very high density
92610Foothill Ranch 12,86711,543 6 3.2 379% Very high density
92704Santa Ana 82,12029,907 31 3.2 376% Very high density
90631La Habra 68,30915,356 23 3.0 356% Very high density
92627Costa Mesa 60,39318,633 21 3.0 354% Very high density
92649Huntington Beach 35,34617,452 13 2.9 347% Very high density
92648Huntington Beach 45,82717,805 16 2.9 344% Very high density
92831Fullerton 35,61819,845 13 2.9 336% Very high density
92821Brea 41,62353,249 19 2.8 327% Very high density
92646Huntington Beach 54,6157,213 16 2.7 323% Very high density
92832Fullerton 27,29811,170 9 2.7 322% Very high density
92844Garden Grove 23,1885,028 7 2.7 320% Very high density
92840Garden Grove 54,5349,589 16 2.7 317% Very high density
92629Dana Point 25,5799,121 8 2.7 312% Very high density
92780Tustin 54,37436,196 19 2.6 308% Very high density
92657Newport Coast 9,9203,420 3 2.6 303% Very high density
92867Orange 44,72619,456 14 2.6 302% Very high density
90720Los Alamitos 23,80515,195 8 2.5 300% Very high density
92683Westminster 89,83318,171 25 2.5 297% Very high density
92653Laguna Hills 29,62420,458 10 2.5 295% Very high density
92691Mission Viejo 45,84122,393 14 2.5 289% Very high density
92807Anaheim 37,29625,692 12 2.4 282% Very high density
92870Placentia 52,82612,959 14 2.4 278% Very high density
92647Huntington Beach 59,04726,672 17 2.3 276% Very high density
92869Orange 36,2715,428 9 2.3 272% Very high density
92688Rancho Santa Margarita 43,32017,871 12 2.3 270% Very high density
92673San Clemente 29,40611,028 8 2.3 269% Very high density
92804Anaheim 83,5378,751 20 2.3 268% Very high density
90620Buena Park 46,60823,068 13 2.2 263% Very high density
92626Costa Mesa 50,70861,637 18 2.2 260% Very high density
92705Santa Ana 48,78152,604 15 2.0 235% High density
92866Orange 15,3319,454 4 2.0 235% High density
92692Mission Viejo 47,0226,539 10 2.0 234% High density
92835Fullerton 26,00512,791 6 1.9 218% High density
92886Yorba Linda 49,7048,621 10 1.9 218% High density
92677Laguna Niguel 64,13915,621 13 1.8 213% High density
92630Lake Forest 67,15224,355 14 1.8 208% High density
92887Yorba Linda 19,7257,810 4 1.7 199% High density
92703Santa Ana 62,4475,941 11 1.7 198% High density
92604Irvine 26,4917,418 5 1.7 195% High density
92706Santa Ana 37,1756,316 6 1.5 175% High density
92782Tustin 30,0739,254 5 1.4 169% High density
92663Newport Beach 21,36814,263 4 1.4 165% High density
92660Newport Beach 34,89060,414 8 1.2 145% Above average
92808Anaheim 21,5395,987 3 1.2 144% Above average
92801Anaheim 60,54726,223 9 1.2 144% Above average
92672San Clemente 36,93912,008 5 1.2 137% Above average
92694Ladera Ranch 35,7644,795 4 1.0 123% Above average
92612Irvine 33,71447,161 6 1.0 123% Above average
92802Anaheim 43,13253,713 7 1.0 118% Above average
92675San Juan Capistrano 35,09515,336 4 0.9 110% Above average
92701Santa Ana 47,81813,166 5 0.9 108% Above average
92833Fullerton 51,8429,105 5 0.9 104% Above average
92606Irvine 23,99022,200 3 0.9 101% Above average
92707Santa Ana 58,69524,470 6 0.8 100% Below average
92868Orange 26,38050,123 4 0.8 91% Below average
92656Aliso Viejo 52,22924,852 5 0.8 91% Below average
92620Irvine 61,6317,841 5 0.8 90% Below average
92806Anaheim 41,00347,143 4 0.6 73% Below average
92805Anaheim 74,66126,571 3 0.3 40% Far below average
92618Irvine 66,126130,760 3 0.2 27% Far below average
90621Buena Park 35,98411,275 0–2 — — Not published
90622Buena Park —893 0–2 — — Not published
90623La Palma 15,5456,336 0–2 — — Not published
90632La Habra —63 0–2 — — Not published
90633La Habra —88 0–2 — — Not published
90721Los Alamitos —42 0–2 — — Not published
90742Sunset Beach 405403 0–2 — — Not published
90743Surfside 46848 0–2 — — Not published
92602Irvine 28,2619,006 0–2 — — Not published
92603Irvine 18,3872,938 0–2 — — Not published
92605Huntington Beach —47 0–2 — — Not published
92607Laguna Niguel —55 0–2 — — Not published
92609El Toro —56 0–2 — — Not published
92614Irvine 29,23971,739 0–2 — — Not published
92615Huntington Beach —182 0–2 — — Not published
92616Irvine —64 0–2 — — Not published
92617Irvine 24,0179,220 0–2 — — Not published
92619Irvine —464 0–2 — — Not published
92623Irvine —92 0–2 — — Not published
92624Capistrano Beach 7,2111,069 0–2 — — Not published
92628Costa Mesa —133 0–2 — — Not published
92637Laguna Woods 17,2892,030 0–2 — — Not published
92652Laguna Beach —154 0–2 — — Not published
92654Laguna Hills —62 0–2 — — Not published
92655Midway City 8,026426 0–2 — — Not published
92658Newport Beach —97 0–2 — — Not published
92659Newport Beach —13 0–2 — — Not published
92661Newport Beach 3,079968 0–2 — — Not published
92662Newport Beach 2,294676 0–2 — — Not published
92674San Clemente —79 0–2 — — Not published
92676Silverado 2,085168 0–2 — — Not published
92678Trabuco Canyon 66473 0–2 — — Not published
92679Trabuco Canyon 30,8182,512 0–2 — — Not published
92684Westminster —4 0–2 — — Not published
92685Westminster —19 0–2 — — Not published
92690Mission Viejo —41 0–2 — — Not published
92693San Juan Capistrano —168 0–2 — — Not published
92697Irvine 0236 0–2 — — Not published
92698Aliso Viejo —15 0–2 — — Not published
92702Santa Ana —133 0–2 — — Not published
92711Santa Ana —71 0–2 — — Not published
92728Fountain Valley —119 0–2 — — Not published
92781Tustin —107 0–2 — — Not published
92799Santa Ana —15 0–2 — — Not published
92803Anaheim —654 0–2 — — Not published
92809Anaheim —13 0–2 — — Not published
92811Atwood —12 0–2 — — Not published
92812Anaheim —35 0–2 — — Not published
92816Anaheim —5 0–2 — — Not published
92817Anaheim —23 0–2 — — Not published
92822Brea —52 0–2 — — Not published
92823Brea 5,8465,290 0–2 — — Not published
92825Anaheim —13 0–2 — — Not published
92834Fullerton —745 0–2 — — Not published
92836Fullerton —61 0–2 — — Not published
92837Fullerton —134 0–2 — — Not published
92838Fullerton —43 0–2 — — Not published
92842Garden Grove —13 0–2 — — Not published
92846Garden Grove —25 0–2 — — Not published
92856Orange —22 0–2 — — Not published
92859Orange —53 0–2 — — Not published
92861Villa Park 5,7481,190 0–2 — — Not published
92863Orange —64 0–2 — — Not published
92871Placentia —46 0–2 — — Not published
92885Yorba Linda —116 0–2 — — Not published

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Find an actual space in Irvine

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Irvine retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Irvine retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Irvine retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Orange County and nail salons

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 812113 — nail salons. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 821 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.85 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.