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Lee County, FL — Nail salons Saturation

How many nail salons exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 46 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Nail salons · Manicure & pedicure studios. Counted together because official statistics use one 812113 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.89× the U.S. rate (between 0.89× and 1.41× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 32 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 21 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Lee County nail salons — 89–141% of the U.S. rate

72 nail salons are counted in Lee County — 0.8 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 89% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 111% between 2015 and 2023 (9 → 19). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 33912 (Fort Myers), 33907 (Fort Myers), 33991 (Cape Coral) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 33909 (Cape Coral), 33990 (Cape Coral), 33914 (Cape Coral).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 74 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Lee County sits at 89% of the U.S. rate for nail salons. 21 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 89% and 141% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 33912 and 33907; the lowest measured density is in 33909 and 33990.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing nail salons and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Nail salons
72–136
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (32 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.8
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
0.89×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
74
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
817,109
35 ZIPs with data
Workers
263,033
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
860,959
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+12.5%
+95,393 people
Net migration 2024
+18,057
international +13,057, domestic +5,000
Jobs located here
284,950
LODES 2022, +5.9% since 2019

Lee County had an estimated 860,959 residents on July 1, 2024 — 12.5% more than in 2020 (+95,393). In the latest year it gained 16,733 people: births minus deaths −1,347, international migration +13,057, domestic migration +5,000. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

284,950 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+5.9% since 2019), and 309,102 employed residents lived there (+8.9% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
33920 Alva
+45.2%
33993 Cape Coral
+27.5%
33928 Estero
+27.0%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
33931 Fort Myers Beach
−21.0%
33957 Sanibel
−12.3%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
1,397
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$62.1M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$44K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more nail salons in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 111% since 2015

Number of nail salons in Lee County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

9
2015
14
2018
18
2020
20
2021
20
2022
19
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
33912 Fort Myers
337%
33907 Fort Myers
232%
33991 Cape Coral
226%
34134 Bonita Springs
218%
33966 Fort Myers
189%
33904 Cape Coral
188%
33919 Fort Myers
171%
34135 Bonita Springs
169%
33928 Estero
154%
33903 North Fort Myers
133%
33908 Fort Myers
130%
33914 Cape Coral
121%
33990 Cape Coral
90%
33909 Cape Coral
80%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
33909 Cape Coral
80%
33990 Cape Coral
90%
33914 Cape Coral
121%
33908 Fort Myers
130%
33903 North Fort Myers
133%
33928 Estero
154%
34135 Bonita Springs
169%
33919 Fort Myers
171%
33904 Cape Coral
188%
33966 Fort Myers
189%
34134 Bonita Springs
218%
33991 Cape Coral
226%
33907 Fort Myers
232%
33912 Fort Myers
337%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few nail salons may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersNail salonsIndex
33921Boca Grande Employment hub 3911,200 0–2 —
33924Captiva Employment hub 109420 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = nail salons per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersNail salons Per 10kIndexStatus
33912Fort Myers 19,53323,702 9 2.9 337% Very high density
33907Fort Myers 25,03320,930 7 2.0 232% High density
33991Cape Coral 27,7257,142 6 1.9 226% High density
34134Bonita Springs 16,47510,282 4 1.9 218% High density
33966Fort Myers 12,51312,371 3 1.6 189% High density
33904Cape Coral 33,5997,906 6 1.6 188% High density
33919Fort Myers 30,4127,806 5 1.5 171% High density
34135Bonita Springs 48,25214,638 8 1.4 169% High density
33928Estero 31,92612,501 5 1.3 154% High density
33903North Fort Myers 23,6555,760 3 1.1 133% Above average
33908Fort Myers 37,42315,796 5 1.1 130% Above average
33914Cape Coral 45,5406,096 5 1.0 121% Above average
33990Cape Coral 34,7138,965 3 0.8 90% Below average
33909Cape Coral 40,2317,616 3 0.7 80% Below average
33901Fort Myers 24,48123,431 0–2 — — Not published
33902Fort Myers —263 0–2 — — Not published
33905Fort Myers 41,38113,791 0–2 — — Not published
33906Fort Myers —759 0–2 — — Not published
33910Cape Coral —31 0–2 — — Not published
33913Fort Myers 31,53821,489 0–2 — — Not published
33915Cape Coral —33 0–2 — — Not published
33916Fort Myers 27,94314,340 0–2 — — Not published
33917North Fort Myers 33,3804,743 0–2 — — Not published
33918North Fort Myers —5 0–2 — — Not published
33920Alva 9,062665 0–2 — — Not published
33921Boca Grande 3911,200 0–2 — — Not published
33922Bokeelia 4,226579 0–2 — — Not published
33924Captiva 109420 0–2 — — Not published
33929Estero —62 0–2 — — Not published
33931Fort Myers Beach 8,3502,394 0–2 — — Not published
33932Fort Myers Beach —14 0–2 — — Not published
33936Lehigh Acres 27,9673,483 0–2 — — Not published
33956Saint James City 3,405811 0–2 — — Not published
33957Sanibel 6,4181,535 0–2 — — Not published
33965Fort Myers 4,836331 0–2 — — Not published
33967Fort Myers 28,3413,840 0–2 — — Not published
33970Lehigh Acres —27 0–2 — — Not published
33971Lehigh Acres 30,7905,023 0–2 — — Not published
33972Lehigh Acres 17,285597 0–2 — — Not published
33973Lehigh Acres 14,392290 0–2 — — Not published
33974Lehigh Acres 19,927622 0–2 — — Not published
33976Lehigh Acres 20,277434 0–2 — — Not published
33993Cape Coral 35,5801,504 0–2 — — Not published
33994Fort Myers —97 0–2 — — Not published
34133Bonita Springs —40 0–2 — — Not published
34136Bonita Springs —9 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Fort Myers

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Fort Myers retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Fort Myers retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Fort Myers retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Lee County and nail salons

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 812113 — nail salons. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 74 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.85 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.