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Tarrant County, TX — Nail salons Saturation

How many nail salons exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 86 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Nail salons · Manicure & pedicure studios. Counted together because official statistics use one 812113 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.79× the U.S. rate (between 0.79× and 1.09× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 53 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 32 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Tarrant County nail salons — 79–109% of the U.S. rate

168 nail salons are counted in Tarrant County — 0.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 79% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 100% between 2015 and 2023 (27 → 54). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 76132 (Fort Worth), 76018 (Arlington), 76017 (Arlington) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 76010 (Arlington), 76131 (Fort Worth), 76108 (Fort Worth).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 200 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Tarrant County sits at 79% of the U.S. rate for nail salons. 32 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 79% and 109% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 76132 and 76018; the lowest measured density is in 76010 and 76131.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing nail salons and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Nail salons
168–274
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (53 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
0.79×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
200
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
2,091,100
65 ZIPs with data
Workers
824,477
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
2,230,708
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+5.4%
+114,411 people
Net migration 2024
+19,503
international +22,666, domestic −3,163
Jobs located here
1,038,379
LODES 2022, +5.8% since 2019

Tarrant County had an estimated 2,230,708 residents on July 1, 2024 — 5.4% more than in 2020 (+114,411). In the latest year it gained 32,793 people: births minus deaths +13,170, international migration +22,666, domestic migration −3,163. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

1,038,379 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+5.8% since 2019), and 1,009,723 employed residents lived there (+4.0% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
76177 Fort Worth
+113.9%
76052 Haslet
+53.7%
76036 Crowley
+33.2%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
76051 Grapevine
−5.0%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
6,143
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$242.0M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$39K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more nail salons in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 100% since 2015

Number of nail salons in Tarrant County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

27
2015
37
2018
54
2020
51
2021
63
2022
54
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
76132 Fort Worth
271%
76018 Arlington
234%
76017 Arlington
218%
76063 Mansfield
203%
76109 Fort Worth
200%
76021 Bedford
199%
76107 Fort Worth
185%
76148 Fort Worth
180%
76016 Arlington
175%
76120 Fort Worth
154%
76248 Keller
151%
76015 Arlington
146%
76092 Southlake
142%
76001 Arlington
140%
76039 Euless
136%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
76010 Arlington
56%
76131 Fort Worth
79%
76108 Fort Worth
80%
76051 Grapevine
82%
76133 Fort Worth
82%
76036 Crowley
92%
76002 Arlington
97%
76137 Fort Worth
98%
76244 Keller
99%
76177 Fort Worth
101%
76011 Arlington
108%
76034 Colleyville
114%
76013 Arlington
117%
76052 Haslet
125%
76014 Arlington
130%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few nail salons may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersNail salonsIndex
76102Fort Worth Employment hub 11,89538,332 0–2 —
76129Fort Worth Employment hub 1,6413,603 0–2 —
76155Fort Worth Employment hub 6,53321,169 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = nail salons per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersNail salons Per 10kIndexStatus
76132Fort Worth 26,92715,665 8 2.3 271% Very high density
76018Arlington 26,83416,695 7 2.0 234% High density
76017Arlington 47,07413,646 10 1.9 218% High density
76063Mansfield 82,62531,455 17 1.7 203% High density
76109Fort Worth 26,00618,490 6 1.7 200% High density
76021Bedford 35,35411,946 7 1.7 199% High density
76107Fort Worth 30,99426,912 7 1.6 185% High density
76148Fort Worth 23,3675,562 4 1.5 180% High density
76016Arlington 31,2804,724 5 1.5 175% High density
76054Hurst 11,7445,341 ~2 1.4 163% High density
76120Fort Worth 21,1023,632 3 1.3 154% High density
76248Keller 40,93611,601 6 1.3 151% High density
76015Arlington 18,13512,133 3 1.2 146% Above average
76092Southlake 31,52036,588 6 1.2 142% Above average
76001Arlington 38,9135,926 5 1.2 140% Above average
76039Euless 39,8557,001 5 1.2 136% Above average
76123Fort Worth 42,9573,176 5 1.1 132% Above average
76014Arlington 32,8186,986 4 1.1 130% Above average
76052Haslet 34,2496,918 4 1.1 125% Above average
76013Arlington 35,7158,847 4 1.0 117% Above average
76034Colleyville 26,1039,511 3 1.0 114% Above average
76011Arlington 22,75241,627 4 0.9 108% Above average
76177Fort Worth 25,01243,241 4 0.9 101% Above average
76244Keller 76,72812,777 7 0.8 99% Below average
76137Fort Worth 60,35222,727 6 0.8 98% Below average
76002Arlington 35,2651,926 3 0.8 97% Below average
76036Crowley 36,0444,274 3 0.8 92% Below average
76133Fort Worth 53,9586,698 4 0.7 82% Below average
76051Grapevine 50,61842,349 5 0.7 82% Below average
76108Fort Worth 45,53726,301 4 0.7 80% Below average
76131Fort Worth 56,3227,065 4 0.7 79% Below average
76010Arlington 54,97816,157 3 0.5 56% Below average
76104Fort Worth 20,44336,773 ~0 0.0 0% Far below average
76003Arlington —47 0–2 — — Not published
76004Arlington —208 0–2 — — Not published
76005Arlington 7,102530 0–2 — — Not published
76006Arlington 23,4468,020 0–2 — — Not published
76007Arlington —14 0–2 — — Not published
76012Arlington 27,9916,142 0–2 — — Not published
76019Arlington —771 0–2 — — Not published
76020Azle 34,6025,035 0–2 — — Not published
76022Bedford 13,7605,969 0–2 — — Not published
76040Euless 31,6779,683 0–2 — — Not published
76053Hurst 32,32311,167 0–2 — — Not published
76060Kennedale 9,4442,330 0–2 — — Not published
76094Arlington —26 0–2 — — Not published
76095Bedford —55 0–2 — — Not published
76096Arlington —38 0–2 — — Not published
76099Grapevine —253 0–2 — — Not published
76101Fort Worth —563 0–2 — — Not published
76102Fort Worth 11,89538,332 0–2 — — Not published
76103Fort Worth 15,9752,849 0–2 — — Not published
76105Fort Worth 22,2283,495 0–2 — — Not published
76106Fort Worth 35,94616,014 0–2 — — Not published
76110Fort Worth 33,4418,177 0–2 — — Not published
76111Fort Worth 20,98911,896 0–2 — — Not published
76112Fort Worth 44,5147,054 0–2 — — Not published
76113Fort Worth —35 0–2 — — Not published
76114Fort Worth 27,3575,521 0–2 — — Not published
76115Fort Worth 19,6555,153 0–2 — — Not published
76116Fort Worth 49,85615,146 0–2 — — Not published
76117Haltom City 32,95011,823 0–2 — — Not published
76118Fort Worth 17,99111,799 0–2 — — Not published
76119Fort Worth 52,97412,811 0–2 — — Not published
76121Fort Worth —54 0–2 — — Not published
76124Fort Worth —292 0–2 — — Not published
76126Fort Worth 27,6896,605 0–2 — — Not published
76127Naval Air Station Jrb 1,729212 0–2 — — Not published
76129Fort Worth 1,6413,603 0–2 — — Not published
76130Fort Worth —70 0–2 — — Not published
76134Fort Worth 29,9497,973 0–2 — — Not published
76135Fort Worth 19,4457,068 0–2 — — Not published
76136Fort Worth —142 0–2 — — Not published
76140Fort Worth 33,32116,957 0–2 — — Not published
76147Fort Worth —34 0–2 — — Not published
76155Fort Worth 6,53321,169 0–2 — — Not published
76161Fort Worth —44 0–2 — — Not published
76162Fort Worth —51 0–2 — — Not published
76164Fort Worth 13,4574,380 0–2 — — Not published
76179Fort Worth 80,09012,820 0–2 — — Not published
76180North Richland Hills 38,37116,055 0–2 — — Not published
76181Fort Worth —42 0–2 — — Not published
76182North Richland Hills 30,2424,019 0–2 — — Not published
76185Fort Worth —232 0–2 — — Not published
76192Fort Worth —9 0–2 — — Not published
76196Fort Worth —50 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Fort Worth

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Fort Worth retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Fort Worth retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Fort Worth retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Tarrant County and nail salons

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 812113 — nail salons. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 200 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.85 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.