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King County, WA — Nail salons Saturation

Name: Nail salons density by ZIP code in King County, WA
Creator: BizGapMap

How many nail salons exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 113 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Nail salons · Manicure & pedicure studios. Counted together because official statistics use one 812113 code.

Measured density: High density — 1.66× the U.S. rate (between 1.66× and 1.86× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 56 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 25 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

High density King County nail salons — 166–186% of the U.S. rate

417 nail salons are counted in King County — 1.4 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 166% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 10% between 2015 and 2023 (351 → 385). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 98148 (Seattle), 98003 (Federal Way), 98030 (Kent) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 98125 (Seattle), 98198 (Seattle), 98001 (Auburn).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 419 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: King County sits at 166% of the U.S. rate for nail salons. 25 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 166% and 186% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 98148 and 98003; the lowest measured density is in 98125 and 98198.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing nail salons and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Nail salons

417–529

published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (56 cells) (2023)

Per 10,000 present

1.4

residents + daytime workers

U.S. average

0.9

per 10,000 present

County index

1.66×

vs. U.S.

Latest quarter (QCEW)

419

2026 Q1 — county total

Residents

2,298,524

82 ZIPs with data

Workers

1,295,866

jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population

2,340,211

Census PEP, July 1 2024

Change since 2020

+2.9%

+65,862 people

Net migration 2024

+35,932

international +48,433, domestic −12,501

Jobs located here

1,462,772

LODES 2022, +6.0% since 2019

King County had an estimated 2,340,211 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.9% more than in 2020 (+65,862). In the latest year it gained 43,398 people: births minus deaths +7,415, international migration +48,433, domestic migration −12,501. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

1,462,772 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+6.0% since 2019), and 1,114,772 employed residents lived there (+4.5% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits → · Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents

2015–19 → 2020–24

Change

98101 Seattle

+27.1%

98010 Black Diamond

+22.4%

98034 Kirkland

+20.8%

ZIP losing residents

2015–19 → 2020–24

Change

98024 Fall City

−43.3%

98148 Seattle

−20.0%

98011 Bothell

−14.4%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses

389

no paid employees (2024)

Receipts

$13.0M

published gross receipts

Receipts per business

$33K

gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:

Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more nail salons in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 10% since 2015

Number of nail salons in King County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

351

2015

363

2018

376

2020

373

2021

382

2022

385

2023

Highest measured density

ZIP

vs. U.S. average

Index

98148 Seattle

506%

98003 Federal Way

433%

98030 Kent

403%

98002 Auburn

363%

98107 Seattle

325%

98188 Seattle

311%

98112 Seattle

302%

98116 Seattle

295%

98042 Kent

285%

98056 Renton

279%

98121 Seattle

275%

98027 Issaquah

265%

98072 Woodinville

262%

98118 Seattle

257%

98065 Snoqualmie

252%

Lowest measured density

ZIP

vs. U.S. average

Index

98125 Seattle

72%

98198 Seattle

80%

98001 Auburn

90%

98117 Seattle

93%

98119 Seattle

95%

98105 Seattle

97%

98122 Seattle

103%

98031 Kent

106%

98102 Seattle

108%

98074 Sammamish

110%

98052 Redmond

114%

98133 Seattle

115%

98008 Bellevue

115%

98040 Mercer Island

121%

98103 Seattle

126%

Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few nail salons may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIP	Neighborhood	Type	Residents	Workers	Nail salons	Index
98057	Renton	Employment hub	12,705	41,810	16	560%
98101	Seattle	Employment hub	17,153	96,469	4	72%
98104	Seattle	Employment hub	16,542	63,710	~1	24%
98050	Preston	Employment hub	108	1,014	0–2	—
98134	Seattle	Destination	645	39,386	0–2	—
98164	Seattle	Employment hub	292	2,891	0–2	—
98195	Seattle	Employment hub	2,757	8,614	0–2	—
98288	Skykomish	Employment hub	169	477	0–2	—

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = nail salons per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIP	Neighborhood	Residents	Workers	Nail salons	Per 10k	Index	Status
98057	Renton	12,705	41,810	16	4.8	560%	Very high density
98148	Seattle	9,715	3,818	5	4.3	506%	Very high density
98003	Federal Way	51,619	21,771	23	3.7	433%	Very high density
98030	Kent	38,523	4,672	14	3.4	403%	Very high density
98002	Auburn	37,509	15,645	14	3.1	363%	Very high density
98107	Seattle	28,776	14,757	10	2.8	325%	Very high density
98188	Seattle	27,311	43,850	13	2.6	311%	Very high density
98112	Seattle	23,921	6,614	7	2.6	302%	Very high density
98116	Seattle	28,711	6,402	8	2.5	295%	Very high density
98042	Kent	50,216	7,063	13	2.4	285%	Very high density
98056	Renton	35,849	4,257	9	2.4	279%	Very high density
98121	Seattle	21,166	34,570	9	2.3	275%	Very high density
98027	Issaquah	28,955	22,093	9	2.2	265%	Very high density
98072	Woodinville	24,446	23,071	8	2.2	262%	Very high density
98118	Seattle	50,500	8,751	12	2.2	257%	Very high density
98065	Snoqualmie	15,944	5,392	4	2.1	252%	Very high density
98023	Federal Way	50,448	3,990	11	2.1	247%	High density
98033	Kirkland	40,982	26,821	11	2.0	238%	High density
98115	Seattle	54,349	11,038	12	2.0	236%	High density
98126	Seattle	22,975	4,021	5	2.0	235%	High density
98038	Maple Valley	37,324	6,029	8	2.0	233%	High density
98034	Kirkland	52,531	22,274	12	1.9	222%	High density
98177	Seattle	21,090	1,698	4	1.8	214%	High density
98059	Renton	42,406	4,262	8	1.8	211%	High density
98029	Issaquah	30,586	8,592	6	1.7	202%	High density
98032	Kent	40,862	59,428	12	1.7	200%	High density
98005	Bellevue	21,846	27,375	6	1.7	199%	High density
98011	Bothell	28,963	13,644	6	1.7	197%	High density
98199	Seattle	22,468	4,960	4	1.6	189%	High density
98166	Seattle	22,082	6,025	4	1.6	187%	High density
98168	Seattle	35,528	16,934	7	1.6	187%	High density
98028	Kenmore	23,741	3,227	4	1.6	186%	High density
98004	Bellevue	39,897	74,258	12	1.6	183%	High density
98022	Enumclaw	22,418	6,856	4	1.5	182%	High density
98155	Seattle	36,511	4,619	6	1.5	182%	High density
98006	Bellevue	40,009	15,660	7	1.5	172%	High density
98007	Bellevue	27,692	15,738	5	1.4	165%	High density
98109	Seattle	34,328	68,378	8	1.2	137%	Above average
98058	Renton	42,980	3,663	5	1.1	131%	Above average
98178	Seattle	26,748	1,850	3	1.1	128%	Above average
98103	Seattle	52,671	25,838	7	1.1	126%	Above average
98040	Mercer Island	25,307	7,524	3	1.0	121%	Above average
98008	Bellevue	27,242	6,622	3	1.0	115%	Above average
98133	Seattle	53,249	15,774	6	1.0	115%	Above average
98052	Redmond	80,717	106,441	13	1.0	114%	Above average
98074	Sammamish	30,761	2,868	3	0.9	110%	Above average
98102	Seattle	27,333	10,504	3	0.9	108%	Above average
98031	Kent	40,094	8,748	4	0.9	106%	Above average
98122	Seattle	43,234	27,645	5	0.9	103%	Above average
98105	Seattle	49,767	21,275	5	0.8	97%	Below average
98119	Seattle	26,879	20,382	3	0.8	95%	Below average
98117	Seattle	35,711	4,293	3	0.8	93%	Below average
98001	Auburn	37,460	29,403	4	0.8	90%	Below average
98198	Seattle	40,463	6,976	3	0.7	80%	Below average
98101	Seattle	17,153	96,469	4	0.6	72%	Below average
98125	Seattle	44,520	9,397	3	0.6	72%	Below average
98104	Seattle	16,542	63,710	~1	0.2	24%	Far below average
98009	Bellevue	—	289	0–2	—	—	Not published
98010	Black Diamond	6,857	1,045	0–2	—	—	Not published
98013	Burton	—	2	0–2	—	—	Not published
98014	Carnation	8,264	1,148	0–2	—	—	Not published
98015	Bellevue	—	29	0–2	—	—	Not published
98019	Duvall	12,242	1,647	0–2	—	—	Not published
98024	Fall City	3,908	546	0–2	—	—	Not published
98025	Hobart	52	3	0–2	—	—	Not published
98035	Kent	—	236	0–2	—	—	Not published
98039	Medina	2,928	408	0–2	—	—	Not published
98041	Bothell	—	867	0–2	—	—	Not published
98045	North Bend	15,289	3,325	0–2	—	—	Not published
98047	Pacific	6,817	4,522	0–2	—	—	Not published
98050	Preston	108	1,014	0–2	—	—	Not published
98051	Ravensdale	3,442	461	0–2	—	—	Not published
98053	Redmond	22,765	5,764	0–2	—	—	Not published
98055	Renton	24,660	23,311	0–2	—	—	Not published
98062	Seahurst	—	13	0–2	—	—	Not published
98063	Federal Way	—	229	0–2	—	—	Not published
98064	Kent	—	77	0–2	—	—	Not published
98070	Vashon	9,934	2,416	0–2	—	—	Not published
98071	Auburn	—	635	0–2	—	—	Not published
98073	Redmond	—	1,109	0–2	—	—	Not published
98075	Sammamish	25,498	2,019	0–2	—	—	Not published
98077	Woodinville	14,109	1,191	0–2	—	—	Not published
98083	Kirkland	—	235	0–2	—	—	Not published
98092	Auburn	50,224	3,898	0–2	—	—	Not published
98093	Federal Way	—	20	0–2	—	—	Not published
98106	Seattle	28,690	6,209	0–2	—	—	Not published
98108	Seattle	25,529	29,689	0–2	—	—	Not published
98111	Seattle	—	376	0–2	—	—	Not published
98113	Seattle	—	49	0–2	—	—	Not published
98114	Seattle	—	92	0–2	—	—	Not published
98124	Seattle	—	367	0–2	—	—	Not published
98127	Seattle	—	22	0–2	—	—	Not published
98134	Seattle	645	39,386	0–2	—	—	Not published
98136	Seattle	17,252	2,026	0–2	—	—	Not published
98138	Seattle	—	77	0–2	—	—	Not published
98139	Seattle	—	30	0–2	—	—	Not published
98144	Seattle	33,787	11,888	0–2	—	—	Not published
98145	Seattle	—	36	0–2	—	—	Not published
98146	Seattle	28,573	2,223	0–2	—	—	Not published
98154	Seattle	0	2,163	0–2	—	—	Not published
98158	Seattle	0	11,629	0–2	—	—	Not published
98160	Seattle	—	34	0–2	—	—	Not published
98161	Seattle	—	546	0–2	—	—	Not published
98164	Seattle	292	2,891	0–2	—	—	Not published
98165	Seattle	—	26	0–2	—	—	Not published
98170	Seattle	—	19	0–2	—	—	Not published
98174	Seattle	0	22	0–2	—	—	Not published
98175	Seattle	—	8	0–2	—	—	Not published
98181	Seattle	—	23	0–2	—	—	Not published
98191	Seattle	—	693	0–2	—	—	Not published
98194	Seattle	—	4	0–2	—	—	Not published
98195	Seattle	2,757	8,614	0–2	—	—	Not published
98288	Skykomish	169	477	0–2	—	—	Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Redmond

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet

Largest commercial marketplace

Browse Redmond retail space →

Crexi

Free listings + market data

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CityFeet

Retail space for lease

Browse Redmond retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow King County and nail salons

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

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Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 812113 — nail salons. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 419 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.85 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology → · Data sources & vintages →

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BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.