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Snohomish County, WA — Nail salons Saturation

How many nail salons exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 35 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Nail salons · Manicure & pedicure studios. Counted together because official statistics use one 812113 code.

Measured density: High density — 1.72× the U.S. rate (between 1.72× and 1.91× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 16 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 8 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

High density   Snohomish County nail salons — 172–191% of the U.S. rate

143 nail salons are counted in Snohomish County — 1.5 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 172% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 15% between 2015 and 2023 (120 → 138). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 98037 (Lynnwood), 98020 (Edmonds), 98012 (Bothell) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 98204 (Everett), 98223 (Arlington), 98258 (Lake Stevens).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 145 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Snohomish County sits at 172% of the U.S. rate for nail salons. 8 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 172% and 191% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 98037 and 98020; the lowest measured density is in 98204 and 98223.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing nail salons and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Nail salons
143–175
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (16 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.5
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
1.72×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
145
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
841,433
27 ZIPs with data
Workers
277,304
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
864,113
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+4.1%
+34,138 people
Net migration 2024
+10,220
international +10,153, domestic +67
Jobs located here
286,479
LODES 2022, −1.0% since 2019

Snohomish County had an estimated 864,113 residents on July 1, 2024 — 4.1% more than in 2020 (+34,138). In the latest year it gained 13,816 people: births minus deaths +3,557, international migration +10,153, domestic migration +67. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

286,479 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−1.0% since 2019), and 398,719 employed residents lived there (+2.0% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
98258 Lake Stevens
+58.9%
98292 Stanwood
+23.1%
98012 Bothell
+14.3%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
155
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$5.0M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$32K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more nail salons in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 15% since 2015

Number of nail salons in Snohomish County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

120
2015
136
2018
127
2020
131
2021
143
2022
138
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
98037 Lynnwood
395%
98020 Edmonds
362%
98012 Bothell
300%
98275 Mukilteo
275%
98208 Everett
262%
98087 Lynnwood
234%
98043 Mountlake Terrace
213%
98036 Lynnwood
206%
98292 Stanwood
199%
98271 Marysville
189%
98272 Monroe
163%
98021 Bothell
163%
98270 Marysville
159%
98026 Edmonds
137%
98290 Snohomish
134%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
98204 Everett
51%
98223 Arlington
88%
98258 Lake Stevens
126%
98203 Everett
132%
98290 Snohomish
134%
98026 Edmonds
137%
98270 Marysville
159%
98021 Bothell
163%
98272 Monroe
163%
98271 Marysville
189%
98292 Stanwood
199%
98036 Lynnwood
206%
98043 Mountlake Terrace
213%
98087 Lynnwood
234%
98208 Everett
262%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few nail salons may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = nail salons per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersNail salons Per 10kIndexStatus
98037Lynnwood 29,72312,043 12 3.4 395% Very high density
98020Edmonds 19,5516,420 7 3.1 362% Very high density
98012Bothell 77,04110,771 21 2.5 300% Very high density
98275Mukilteo 21,3238,676 6 2.3 275% Very high density
98208Everett 60,91521,802 16 2.2 262% Very high density
98087Lynnwood 41,7967,000 9 2.0 234% High density
98043Mountlake Terrace 23,1019,070 5 1.8 213% High density
98036Lynnwood 42,37018,188 9 1.7 206% High density
98292Stanwood 27,3894,229 5 1.7 199% High density
98271Marysville 30,83812,835 6 1.6 189% High density
98272Monroe 31,4369,137 5 1.4 163% High density
98021Bothell 35,63115,316 6 1.4 163% High density
98270Marysville 55,0497,908 8 1.4 159% High density
98026Edmonds 38,9767,767 5 1.2 137% Above average
98290Snohomish 39,8268,182 5 1.1 134% Above average
98203Everett 35,51717,778 5 1.1 132% Above average
98258Lake Stevens 52,7526,861 6 1.1 126% Above average
98223Arlington 46,49714,383 4 0.7 88% Below average
98204Everett 45,13048,469 3 0.4 51% Below average
98046Lynnwood —35 0–2 — — Not published
98082Mill Creek —207 0–2 — — Not published
98201Everett 31,89522,720 0–2 — — Not published
98206Everett —331 0–2 — — Not published
98207Everett 84369 0–2 — — Not published
98213Everett —255 0–2 — — Not published
98241Darrington 2,339334 0–2 — — Not published
98251Gold Bar 4,907298 0–2 — — Not published
98252Granite Falls 10,3611,301 0–2 — — Not published
98256Index 36814 0–2 — — Not published
98259North Lakewood —18 0–2 — — Not published
98287Silvana —49 0–2 — — Not published
98291Snohomish —206 0–2 — — Not published
98293Startup —6 0–2 — — Not published
98294Sultan 7,963841 0–2 — — Not published
98296Snohomish 27,8964,892 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Everett

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Everett retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Everett retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Everett retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Snohomish County and nail salons

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 812113 — nail salons. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 145 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.85 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.