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Alamance County, NC — Pharmacies Saturation

How many pharmacies exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 11 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Pharmacies · Drug stores · Community & compounding pharmacies. Counted together because official statistics use one 446110 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.93× the U.S. rate (between 0.93× and 1.37× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 7 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 5 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Alamance County pharmacies — 93–137% of the U.S. rate

21 pharmacies are counted in Alamance County — 1.0 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 93% of the U.S. rate of 1.0.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 6% between 2015 and 2023 (16 → 15). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 27253 (Graham), 27215 (Burlington), 27302 (Mebane) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 27217 (Burlington), 27302 (Mebane), 27215 (Burlington).

Census County Business Patterns (2023) puts the county-wide count at 23 establishments, including locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA — so it can run slightly above the sum of the ZIP rows on this page. It is annual, so it lags more than QCEW.

Measured density: Alamance County sits at 93% of the U.S. rate for pharmacies. 5 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 93% and 137% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 27253 and 27215; the lowest measured density is in 27217 and 27302.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing pharmacies and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Pharmacies
21–35
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (7 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
1.0
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
1.0
per 10,000 present
County index
0.93×
vs. U.S.
Latest year (CBP)
23
2023 — $17M annual payroll
Residents
187,008
9 ZIPs with data
Workers
63,483
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
183,040
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+6.7%
+11,420 people
Net migration 2024
+3,515
international +938, domestic +2,577
Jobs located here
66,943
LODES 2022, +1.5% since 2019

Alamance County had an estimated 183,040 residents on July 1, 2024 — 6.7% more than in 2020 (+11,420). In the latest year it gained 3,423 people: births minus deaths −87, international migration +938, domestic migration +2,577. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

66,943 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+1.5% since 2019), and 76,867 employed residents lived there (+2.2% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
27302 Mebane
+13.2%
27217 Burlington
+11.6%
27215 Burlington
+11.3%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more pharmacies in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 6% since 2015

Number of pharmacies in Alamance County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

16
2015
18
2018
14
2020
14
2021
15
2022
15
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
27253 Graham
160%
27215 Burlington
139%
27302 Mebane
68%
27217 Burlington
66%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
27217 Burlington
66%
27302 Mebane
68%
27215 Burlington
139%
27253 Graham
160%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few pharmacies may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersPharmaciesIndex
27340Saxapahaw Employment hub 48275 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = pharmacies per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersPharmacies Per 10kIndexStatus
27253Graham 33,1146,313 6 1.7 160% High density
27215Burlington 47,10231,351 9 1.4 139% Above average
27302Mebane 35,41814,254 3 0.7 68% Below average
27217Burlington 41,4065,861 3 0.7 66% Below average
27201Alamance 13999 0–2 — — Not published
27216Burlington —1,005 0–2 — — Not published
27244Elon 16,3293,547 0–2 — — Not published
27258Haw River 6,3911,370 0–2 — — Not published
27340Saxapahaw 48275 0–2 — — Not published
27349Snow Camp 7,061413 0–2 — — Not published
27359Swepsonville —698 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Burlington

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Burlington retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Burlington retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Burlington retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Alamance County and pharmacies

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 446110 — pharmacies & drug stores. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. This industry has no clean QCEW series, so the freshest county signal is Census County Business Patterns 2023: 23 establishments and $17M in annual payroll county-wide. This count includes locations in ZIP codes that do not map to a ZCTA, so it can be slightly higher than the sum of the ZIP rows. CBP is annual and slower than QCEW. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (1.03 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.