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Fresno County, CA — Restaurants Saturation

How many restaurants exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 66 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Sit-down restaurants with table service. Counted together because official statistics use one 722511 code.

Measured density: Below average — 0.69× the U.S. rate (between 0.69× and 0.75× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 34 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 23 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Below the U.S. rate   Fresno County restaurants — 69–75% of the U.S. rate

516 restaurants are counted in Fresno County — 4.4 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 69% of the U.S. rate of 6.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 5% between 2015 and 2023 (483 → 507). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 93612 (Clovis), 93710 (Fresno), 93711 (Fresno) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 93619 (Clovis), 93706 (Fresno), 93705 (Fresno).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 539 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Fresno County sits at 69% of the U.S. rate for restaurants. 23 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 69% and 75% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 93612 and 93710; the lowest measured density is in 93619 and 93706.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing restaurants and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Restaurants
516–584
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (34 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
4.4
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.4
per 10,000 present
County index
0.69×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
539
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,021,317
55 ZIPs with data
Workers
301,306
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,024,125
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+1.4%
+14,512 people
Net migration 2024
−1,574
international +4,855, domestic −6,429
Jobs located here
407,149
LODES 2022, +6.9% since 2019

Fresno County had an estimated 1,024,125 residents on July 1, 2024 — 1.4% more than in 2020 (+14,512). In the latest year it gained 4,226 people: births minus deaths +5,772, international migration +4,855, domestic migration −6,429. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

407,149 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+6.9% since 2019), and 404,249 employed residents lived there (+4.4% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
93619 Clovis
+40.9%
93640 Mendota
+13.4%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
93622 Firebaugh
−12.1%
93646 Orange Cove
−12.0%
93234 Huron
−11.4%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
130
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$9.3M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$72K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more restaurants in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 5% since 2015

Number of restaurants in Fresno County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

483
2015
543
2018
533
2020
519
2021
516
2022
507
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
93612 Clovis
203%
93710 Fresno
181%
93711 Fresno
165%
93720 Fresno
140%
93728 Fresno
140%
93631 Kingsburg
127%
93701 Fresno
101%
93730 Fresno
94%
93622 Firebaugh
81%
93640 Mendota
73%
93654 Reedley
73%
93210 Coalinga
71%
93234 Huron
70%
93662 Selma
70%
93611 Clovis
66%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
93619 Clovis
16%
93706 Fresno
19%
93705 Fresno
27%
93648 Parlier
30%
93657 Sanger
32%
93727 Fresno
33%
93722 Fresno
33%
93630 Kerman
41%
93702 Fresno
44%
93646 Orange Cove
44%
93704 Fresno
53%
93726 Fresno
62%
93703 Fresno
63%
93611 Clovis
66%
93662 Selma
70%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few restaurants may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersRestaurantsIndex
93721Fresno Employment hub 7,22518,409 16 152%
93634Lakeshore Employment hub 31190 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = restaurants per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersRestaurants Per 10kIndexStatus
93664Shaver Lake 345293 5 101.7 1592% Very high density
93651Prather 1,489280 3 18.4 288% Very high density
93612Clovis 37,75521,520 63 13.0 203% High density
93710Fresno 31,66919,758 48 11.6 181% High density
93711Fresno 39,24521,913 53 10.6 165% High density
93721Fresno 7,22518,409 16 9.7 152% High density
93720Fresno 50,08931,657 59 9.0 140% Above average
93728Fresno 18,3133,680 18 8.9 140% Above average
93631Kingsburg 17,5834,417 16 8.1 127% Above average
93650Fresno 3,3332,270 3 6.7 105% Above average
93701Fresno 9,8085,294 8 6.4 101% Above average
93730Fresno 14,2631,372 9 6.0 94% Below average
93622Firebaugh 9,0841,153 5 5.2 81% Below average
93640Mendota 14,657774 7 4.7 73% Below average
93654Reedley 31,8765,306 16 4.6 73% Below average
93210Coalinga 18,4912,547 9 4.6 71% Below average
93234Huron 6,519401 3 4.5 70% Below average
93662Selma 29,4198,369 15 4.5 70% Below average
93611Clovis 46,62411,194 22 4.2 66% Below average
93703Fresno 33,4207,259 15 4.0 63% Below average
93726Fresno 44,52711,910 20 4.0 62% Below average
93704Fresno 28,9327,345 11 3.4 53% Below average
93646Orange Cove 10,328720 3 2.8 44% Far below average
93702Fresno 43,8755,137 13 2.8 44% Far below average
93630Kerman 21,2843,152 6 2.6 41% Far below average
93722Fresno 86,11017,535 20 2.1 33% Far below average
93727Fresno 84,10724,403 20 2.1 33% Far below average
93657Sanger 36,2054,939 8 2.1 32% Far below average
93648Parlier 15,1841,321 3 1.9 30% Far below average
93705Fresno 38,8882,404 7 1.7 27% Far below average
93706Fresno 40,63817,044 6 1.2 19% Far below average
93619Clovis 55,6103,160 6 1.0 16% Far below average
93242Laton 2,904140 0–2 — — Not published
93602Auberry 3,330421 0–2 — — Not published
93605Big Creek 6959 0–2 — — Not published
93606Biola 988106 0–2 — — Not published
93608Cantua Creek 68316 0–2 — — Not published
93609Caruthers 4,740543 0–2 — — Not published
93613Clovis —717 0–2 — — Not published
93616Del Rey 2,402539 0–2 — — Not published
93621Dunlap 44130 0–2 — — Not published
93624Five Points 735345 0–2 — — Not published
93625Fowler 8,7782,461 0–2 — — Not published
93626Friant 3,3041,511 0–2 — — Not published
93627Helm 451361 0–2 — — Not published
93634Lakeshore 31190 0–2 — — Not published
93652Raisin City 2162 0–2 — — Not published
93656Riverdale 7,172349 0–2 — — Not published
93660San Joaquin 4,0861,483 0–2 — — Not published
93667Tollhouse 2,21847 0–2 — — Not published
93668Tranquillity 74148 0–2 — — Not published
93675Squaw Valley 3,374106 0–2 — — Not published
93718Fresno —30 0–2 — — Not published
93723Fresno 14,726849 0–2 — — Not published
93725Fresno 24,57523,772 0–2 — — Not published
93729Fresno —68 0–2 — — Not published
93737Fresno 7,279440 0–2 — — Not published
93740Fresno 1,179552 0–2 — — Not published
93744Fresno —9 0–2 — — Not published
93745Fresno —146 0–2 — — Not published
93747Fresno —8 0–2 — — Not published
93755Fresno —11 0–2 — — Not published
93772Fresno —38 0–2 — — Not published
93775Fresno —21 0–2 — — Not published
93790Fresno —57 0–2 — — Not published
93794Fresno —9 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Fresno

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Fresno retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Fresno retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Fresno retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Fresno County and restaurants

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722511 — full-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 539 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.39 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.