BizGapMap

Home / Full-service restaurants / Delaware / New Castle County, DE

New Castle County, DE — Restaurants Saturation

How many restaurants exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 36 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Sit-down restaurants with table service. Counted together because official statistics use one 722511 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 0.97× the U.S. rate (between 0.97× and 1.01× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 19 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 9 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   New Castle County restaurants — 97–101% of the U.S. rate

442 restaurants are counted in New Castle County — 6.2 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 97% of the U.S. rate of 6.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 9% between 2015 and 2023 (404 → 439). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 19806 (Wilmington), 19803 (Wilmington), 19807 (Wilmington) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 19703 (Claymont), 19720 (New Castle), 19809 (Wilmington).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 475 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: New Castle County sits at 97% of the U.S. rate for restaurants. 9 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 97% and 101% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 19806 and 19803; the lowest measured density is in 19703 and 19720.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing restaurants and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Restaurants
442–480
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (19 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
6.2
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.4
per 10,000 present
County index
0.97×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
475
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
573,431
26 ZIPs with data
Workers
285,874
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
588,093
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+3.0%
+17,136 people
Net migration 2024
+5,119
international +5,209, domestic −90
Jobs located here
292,672
LODES 2022, −4.0% since 2019

New Castle County had an estimated 588,093 residents on July 1, 2024 — 3.0% more than in 2020 (+17,136). In the latest year it gained 5,768 people: births minus deaths +634, international migration +5,209, domestic migration −90. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

292,672 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−4.0% since 2019), and 266,117 employed residents lived there (−3.0% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
19717 Newark
+56.0%
19709 Middletown
+25.3%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
102
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$9.6M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$94K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more restaurants in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 9% since 2015

Number of restaurants in New Castle County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

404
2015
405
2018
403
2020
405
2021
431
2022
439
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
19806 Wilmington
179%
19803 Wilmington
152%
19807 Wilmington
142%
19711 Newark
135%
19713 Newark
127%
19707 Hockessin
127%
19810 Wilmington
123%
19808 Wilmington
117%
19709 Middletown
108%
19701 Bear
97%
19804 Wilmington
75%
19805 Wilmington
74%
19702 Newark
73%
19809 Wilmington
62%
19720 New Castle
58%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
19703 Claymont
27%
19720 New Castle
58%
19809 Wilmington
62%
19702 Newark
73%
19805 Wilmington
74%
19804 Wilmington
75%
19701 Bear
97%
19709 Middletown
108%
19808 Wilmington
117%
19810 Wilmington
123%
19707 Hockessin
127%
19713 Newark
127%
19711 Newark
135%
19807 Wilmington
142%
19803 Wilmington
152%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few restaurants may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersRestaurantsIndex
19801Wilmington Employment hub 16,32744,234 43 175%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = restaurants per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersRestaurants Per 10kIndexStatus
19806Wilmington 9,7774,908 14 11.4 179% High density
19801Wilmington 16,32744,234 43 11.2 175% High density
19803Wilmington 22,27927,716 35 9.7 152% High density
19807Wilmington 7,8154,167 9 9.1 142% Above average
19711Newark 49,43221,422 52 8.6 135% Above average
19713Newark 30,74727,026 36 8.1 127% Above average
19707Hockessin 17,3764,732 16 8.1 127% Above average
19810Wilmington 26,5305,603 23 7.8 123% Above average
19808Wilmington 39,08226,418 39 7.5 117% Above average
19709Middletown 53,23414,835 42 6.9 108% Above average
19701Bear 42,9848,043 29 6.2 97% Below average
19804Wilmington 18,7798,518 11 4.8 75% Below average
19805Wilmington 41,40210,800 22 4.7 74% Below average
19702Newark 55,68321,371 31 4.7 73% Below average
19809Wilmington 14,3116,473 7 4.0 62% Below average
19720New Castle 62,39238,185 30 3.7 58% Below average
19703Claymont 15,4603,757 3 1.7 27% Far below average
19706Delaware City 2,038914 0–2 — — Not published
19710Montchanin 0116 0–2 — — Not published
19714Newark —680 0–2 — — Not published
19716Newark 0428 0–2 — — Not published
19717Newark 6,036234 0–2 — — Not published
19718Newark —9,092 0–2 — — Not published
19726New Castle —15 0–2 — — Not published
19730Odessa 425170 0–2 — — Not published
19731Port Penn 65577 0–2 — — Not published
19732Rockland 8941 0–2 — — Not published
19733Saint Georges 18689 0–2 — — Not published
19734Townsend 14,2141,069 0–2 — — Not published
19736Yorklyn 127109 0–2 — — Not published
19802Wilmington 26,0514,963 0–2 — — Not published
19850Wilmington —7,338 0–2 — — Not published
19884Wilmington —444 0–2 — — Not published
19890Wilmington —37 0–2 — — Not published
19897Wilmington —732 0–2 — — Not published
19899Wilmington —1,024 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Wilmington

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Wilmington retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Wilmington retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Wilmington retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow New Castle County and restaurants

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722511 — full-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 475 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.39 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.