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Monroe County, NY — Restaurants Saturation

How many restaurants exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 53 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Sit-down restaurants with table service. Counted together because official statistics use one 722511 code.

Measured density: Below average — 0.96× the U.S. rate (between 0.96× and 0.98× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 15 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 5 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Monroe County restaurants — 96–98% of the U.S. rate

570 restaurants are counted in Monroe County — 6.2 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 96% of the U.S. rate of 6.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 9% between 2015 and 2023 (610 → 554). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 14607 (Rochester), 14623 (Rochester), 14622 (Rochester) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 14611 (Rochester), 14616 (Rochester), 14467 (Henrietta).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 514 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Monroe County sits at 96% of the U.S. rate for restaurants. 5 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 96% and 98% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 14607 and 14623; the lowest measured density is in 14611 and 14616.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing restaurants and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Restaurants
570–600
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (15 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
6.2
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.4
per 10,000 present
County index
0.96×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
514
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
753,585
43 ZIPs with data
Workers
345,001
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
752,202
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−0.7%
−5,545 people
Net migration 2024
+888
international +3,666, domestic −2,778
Jobs located here
379,674
LODES 2022, −6.2% since 2019

Monroe County had an estimated 752,202 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.7% fewer than in 2020 (−5,545). In the latest year it gained 1,301 people: births minus deaths +416, international migration +3,666, domestic migration −2,778. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

379,674 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−6.2% since 2019), and 342,881 employed residents lived there (−5.6% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
14627 Rochester
+34.5%
14618 Rochester
+12.7%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
80
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$4.7M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$59K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more restaurants in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 9% since 2015

Number of restaurants in Monroe County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

610
2015
616
2018
581
2020
570
2021
563
2022
554
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
14607 Rochester
430%
14623 Rochester
184%
14622 Rochester
160%
14620 Rochester
148%
14608 Rochester
126%
14526 Penfield
114%
14580 Webster
111%
14464 Hamlin
110%
14428 Churchville
110%
14445 East Rochester
102%
14618 Rochester
99%
14615 Rochester
98%
14609 Rochester
94%
14612 Rochester
92%
14626 Rochester
83%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
14611 Rochester
31%
14616 Rochester
38%
14467 Henrietta
39%
14605 Rochester
43%
14534 Pittsford
49%
14621 Rochester
50%
14468 Hilton
57%
14613 Rochester
58%
14617 Rochester
60%
14472 Honeoye Falls
63%
14610 Rochester
65%
14514 North Chili
65%
14625 Rochester
66%
14420 Brockport
74%
14624 Rochester
75%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few restaurants may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersRestaurantsIndex
14604Rochester Employment hub 3,25111,871 18 307%
14614Rochester Employment hub 1,1586,804 4 137%
14627Rochester Employment hub 3,15913,485 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = restaurants per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersRestaurants Per 10kIndexStatus
14607Rochester 17,89113,762 68 27.5 430% Very high density
14506Mendon 923601 3 24.5 384% Very high density
14604Rochester 3,25111,871 18 19.6 307% Very high density
14623Rochester 26,03248,230 59 11.8 184% High density
14622Rochester 12,5742,273 14 10.2 160% High density
14620Rochester 23,76926,709 35 9.4 148% Above average
14614Rochester 1,1586,804 4 8.8 137% Above average
14608Rochester 12,7924,126 12 8.1 126% Above average
14546Scottsville 4,4501,469 4 7.7 121% Above average
14526Penfield 19,6294,602 16 7.3 114% Above average
14580Webster 54,18018,304 45 7.1 111% Above average
14464Hamlin 6,755667 5 7.1 110% Above average
14543Rush 3,7171,081 3 7.0 110% Above average
14428Churchville 8,127879 6 7.0 110% Above average
14445East Rochester 7,5293,295 6 6.5 102% Above average
14618Rochester 25,47615,289 21 6.3 99% Below average
14615Rochester 17,8848,948 14 6.3 98% Below average
14609Rochester 40,2746,041 26 6.0 94% Below average
14612Rochester 35,1524,557 22 5.9 92% Below average
14626Rochester 29,27312,945 19 5.3 83% Below average
14450Fairport 42,75012,224 25 5.1 80% Below average
14606Rochester 25,53814,496 16 4.9 76% Below average
14559Spencerport 17,2002,864 9 4.8 76% Below average
14624Rochester 38,62623,332 24 4.8 75% Below average
14420Brockport 20,3755,555 11 4.8 74% Below average
14625Rochester 10,7176,887 6 4.2 66% Below average
14514North Chili 6,5721,288 3 4.2 65% Below average
14610Rochester 14,3115,272 7 4.1 65% Below average
14472Honeoye Falls 9,0391,915 4 4.0 63% Below average
14617Rochester 21,7883,287 9 3.8 60% Below average
14613Rochester 15,0472,328 6 3.7 58% Below average
14468Hilton 18,5261,626 7 3.6 57% Below average
14621Rochester 32,38117,293 13 3.2 50% Far below average
14534Pittsford 33,2309,519 12 3.2 49% Far below average
14605Rochester 11,7835,863 4 2.7 43% Far below average
14467Henrietta 10,1683,486 3 2.5 39% Far below average
14616Rochester 26,8633,581 7 2.4 38% Far below average
14611Rochester 17,1455,932 4 2.0 31% Far below average
14410Adams Basin —39 0–2 — — Not published
14430Clarkson —110 0–2 — — Not published
14511Mumford 548119 0–2 — — Not published
14515North Greece 21515 0–2 — — Not published
14586West Henrietta 13,29111,207 0–2 — — Not published
14602Rochester —56 0–2 — — Not published
14603Rochester —180 0–2 — — Not published
14619Rochester 13,477974 0–2 — — Not published
14627Rochester 3,15913,485 0–2 — — Not published
14638Rochester —4 0–2 — — Not published
14642Rochester 0127 0–2 — — Not published
14649Rochester —139 0–2 — — Not published
14650Rochester —308 0–2 — — Not published
14652Rochester —518 0–2 — — Not published
14692Rochester —861 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Rochester

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Rochester retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Rochester retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Rochester retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Monroe County and restaurants

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722511 — full-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 514 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.39 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.