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Queens County, NY — Restaurants Saturation

How many restaurants exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 68 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Sit-down restaurants with table service. Counted together because official statistics use one 722511 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.21× the U.S. rate

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 9 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 3 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Above the U.S. rate   Queens County restaurants — 121% of the U.S. rate

2,025 restaurants are counted in Queens County — 7.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 121% of the U.S. rate of 6.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 10% between 2015 and 2023 (1,831 → 2,017). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 11354 (Flushing), 11103 (Astoria), 11372 (Jackson Heights) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 11433 (Jamaica), 11427 (Queens Village), 11434 (Jamaica).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 1,965 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Queens County sits at 121% of the U.S. rate for restaurants. The highest measured density is in 11354 and 11103; the lowest measured density is in 11433 and 11427.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing restaurants and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Restaurants
2,025–2,043
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (9 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
7.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.4
per 10,000 present
County index
1.21×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
1,965
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
2,320,056
62 ZIPs with data
Workers
589,818
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
2,316,841
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
−3.1%
−72,972 people
Net migration 2024
+13,219
international +44,137, domestic −30,918
Jobs located here
698,206
LODES 2022, −2.8% since 2019

Queens County had an estimated 2,316,841 residents on July 1, 2024 — 3.1% fewer than in 2020 (−72,972). In the latest year it gained 22,159 people: births minus deaths +9,031, international migration +44,137, domestic migration −30,918. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

698,206 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−2.8% since 2019), and 956,248 employed residents lived there (−10.6% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
11101 Long Island City
+34.6%
11436 Jamaica
+17.5%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
1,734
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$60.6M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$35K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more restaurants in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 10% since 2015

Number of restaurants in Queens County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

1,831
2015
2,007
2018
1,856
2020
1,877
2021
1,971
2022
2,017
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
11354 Flushing
472%
11103 Astoria
338%
11372 Jackson Heights
289%
11361 Bayside
274%
11358 Flushing
263%
11104 Sunnyside
261%
11101 Long Island City
256%
11106 Astoria
237%
11105 Astoria
225%
11362 Little Neck
213%
11355 Flushing
190%
11102 Astoria
167%
11366 Fresh Meadows
156%
11375 Forest Hills
141%
11373 Elmhurst
126%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
11433 Jamaica
12%
11427 Queens Village
18%
11434 Jamaica
19%
11412 Saint Albans
19%
11429 Queens Village
22%
11413 Springfield Gardens
26%
11691 Far Rockaway
27%
11436 Jamaica
27%
11426 Bellerose
38%
11420 South Ozone Park
43%
11370 East Elmhurst
44%
11379 Middle Village
44%
11411 Cambria Heights
45%
11367 Flushing
46%
11415 Kew Gardens
47%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few restaurants may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersRestaurantsIndex
11430Jamaica Destination 58848,511 7 44%

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = restaurants per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersRestaurants Per 10kIndexStatus
11354Flushing 53,02838,429 218 30.2 472% Very high density
11103Astoria 35,1637,424 84 21.6 338% Very high density
11372Jackson Heights 64,75614,564 133 18.5 289% Very high density
11361Bayside 30,12712,915 64 17.5 274% Very high density
11358Flushing 37,6656,913 69 16.8 263% Very high density
11104Sunnyside 26,1325,222 48 16.7 261% Very high density
11101Long Island City 42,21961,248 119 16.3 256% Very high density
11106Astoria 40,93010,764 70 15.1 237% High density
11105Astoria 37,93610,419 62 14.4 225% High density
11362Little Neck 18,4925,658 29 13.6 213% High density
11355Flushing 80,80124,332 113 12.2 190% High density
11102Astoria 28,5038,452 35 10.7 167% High density
11366Fresh Meadows 13,4633,141 15 10.0 156% High density
11375Forest Hills 76,83932,690 84 9.0 141% Above average
11373Elmhurst 98,40321,364 88 8.1 126% Above average
11377Woodside 81,69019,278 73 8.0 125% Above average
11693Far Rockaway 13,2441,549 11 7.8 123% Above average
11385Ridgewood 101,70417,258 83 7.5 118% Above average
11356College Point 25,8248,541 22 7.3 114% Above average
11368Corona 105,71612,652 79 7.1 110% Above average
11374Rego Park 46,98913,157 37 6.9 108% Above average
11004Glen Oaks 13,6152,914 10 6.6 104% Above average
11363Little Neck 7,223971 5 6.5 102% Above average
11697Breezy Point 4,429498 3 6.4 100% Above average
11414Howard Beach 31,3083,434 21 6.4 100% Below average
11364Oakland Gardens 35,2762,901 22 6.0 94% Below average
11421Woodhaven 40,6122,569 25 6.0 93% Below average
11419South Richmond Hill 47,4414,788 29 5.8 91% Below average
11418Richmond Hill 35,48111,871 24 5.8 91% Below average
11357Whitestone 43,3467,427 26 5.5 86% Below average
11694Rockaway Park 21,4892,562 12 5.3 82% Below average
11360Bayside 19,4692,924 11 5.3 82% Below average
11435Jamaica 56,8269,131 31 5.0 79% Below average
11428Queens Village 19,0282,022 10 5.0 78% Below average
11432Jamaica 62,89223,695 35 4.7 73% Below average
11378Maspeth 36,39220,308 21 4.5 71% Below average
11417Ozone Park 30,5786,694 15 4.4 69% Below average
11422Rosedale 33,7572,811 14 4.0 62% Below average
11423Hollis 28,5343,234 12 4.0 62% Below average
11369East Elmhurst 35,1334,632 14 3.7 59% Below average
11109Long Island City 7,948460 3 3.7 57% Below average
11365Fresh Meadows 42,3228,191 16 3.4 54% Below average
11416Ozone Park 25,9196,876 9 3.1 48% Far below average
11415Kew Gardens 21,1544,716 7 3.0 47% Far below average
11367Flushing 40,9236,443 13 2.9 46% Far below average
11411Cambria Heights 20,5401,088 6 2.8 45% Far below average
11379Middle Village 36,7734,217 11 2.8 44% Far below average
11430Jamaica 58848,511 7 2.8 44% Far below average
11370East Elmhurst 30,2673,899 9 2.8 44% Far below average
11420South Ozone Park 49,4154,161 14 2.7 43% Far below average
11426Bellerose 19,4112,395 5 2.4 38% Far below average
11436Jamaica 22,5271,032 4 1.7 27% Far below average
11691Far Rockaway 69,35912,827 13 1.7 27% Far below average
11413Springfield Gardens 45,9654,629 8 1.7 26% Far below average
11429Queens Village 26,8323,260 4 1.4 22% Far below average
11412Saint Albans 39,8281,577 5 1.2 19% Far below average
11434Jamaica 68,26312,043 9 1.2 19% Far below average
11427Queens Village 24,6072,612 3 1.2 18% Far below average
11433Jamaica 37,8843,841 3 0.8 12% Far below average
11005Floral Park 2,174211 0–2 — — Not published
11120Long Island City —102 0–2 — — Not published
11351Flushing —1,261 0–2 — — Not published
11352Flushing —16 0–2 — — Not published
11371Flushing 09,506 0–2 — — Not published
11424Jamaica 015 0–2 — — Not published
11431Jamaica —7 0–2 — — Not published
11439Jamaica 2,1703,911 0–2 — — Not published
11692Arverne 22,7341,562 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Long Island City

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Long Island City retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Long Island City retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Long Island City retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Queens County and restaurants

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722511 — full-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 1,965 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.39 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.