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Suffolk County, NY — Restaurants Saturation

How many restaurants exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 110 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Sit-down restaurants with table service. Counted together because official statistics use one 722511 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.21× the U.S. rate (between 1.21× and 1.25× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 27 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 23 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Above the U.S. rate   Suffolk County restaurants — 121–125% of the U.S. rate

1,347 restaurants are counted in Suffolk County — 7.7 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 121% of the U.S. rate of 6.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has stayed roughly flat between 2015 and 2023 (1,312 → 1,322).

Measured supply density is highest in 11944 (Greenport), 11963 (Sag Harbor), 11777 (Port Jefferson) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 11950 (Mastic), 11726 (Copiague), 11949 (Manorville).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 1,331 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Suffolk County sits at 121% of the U.S. rate for restaurants. 23 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 121% and 125% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 11944 and 11963; the lowest measured density is in 11950 and 11726.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing restaurants and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Restaurants
1,347–1,401
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (27 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
7.7
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.4
per 10,000 present
County index
1.21×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
1,331
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
1,444,016
105 ZIPs with data
Workers
549,149
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
1,535,909
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+0.9%
+13,734 people
Net migration 2024
+3,412
international +9,881, domestic −6,469
Jobs located here
639,110
LODES 2022, −3.7% since 2019

Suffolk County had an estimated 1,535,909 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.9% more than in 2020 (+13,734). In the latest year it gained 6,880 people: births minus deaths +3,394, international migration +9,881, domestic migration −6,469. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

639,110 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−3.7% since 2019), and 768,254 employed residents lived there (+0.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
11978 Westhampton Beach
+52.5%
11968 Southampton
+45.6%
11937 East Hampton
+35.6%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
11955 Moriches
−34.4%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
261
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$17.2M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$66K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more restaurants in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 1% since 2015

Number of restaurants in Suffolk County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

1,312
2015
1,333
2018
1,302
2020
1,311
2021
1,283
2022
1,322
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
11944 Greenport
746%
11963 Sag Harbor
362%
11777 Port Jefferson
312%
11952 Mattituck
296%
11702 Babylon
272%
11971 Southold
268%
11968 Southampton
267%
11743 Huntington
265%
11937 East Hampton
210%
11946 Hampton Bays
203%
11766 Mount Sinai
201%
11782 Sayville
200%
11768 Northport
188%
11772 Patchogue
180%
11769 Oakdale
180%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
11950 Mastic
26%
11726 Copiague
40%
11949 Manorville
40%
11967 Shirley
40%
11727 Coram
41%
11795 West Islip
43%
11722 Central Islip
45%
11705 Bayport
50%
11716 Bohemia
53%
11953 Middle Island
55%
11980 Yaphank
59%
11703 North Babylon
59%
11704 West Babylon
60%
11741 Holbrook
62%
11767 Nesconset
67%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few restaurants may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersRestaurantsIndex
11770Ocean Beach Employment hub 77181 11 10280%
11931Aquebogue Destination 27525 4 2163%
11972Speonk Employment hub 334680 3 697%
11932Bridgehampton Employment hub 7252,345 8 660%
11788Hauppauge Employment hub 17,37438,054 24 103%
11747Melville Employment hub 20,51351,326 18 61%
11749Islandia Employment hub 3,6008,492 3 60%
11794Stony Brook Destination 83111,090 0–2 —
11973Upton Destination 482,693 0–2 —
06390Fishers Island Employment hub 72273 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = restaurants per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersRestaurants Per 10kIndexStatus
11770Ocean Beach 77181 11 656.7 10280% Very high density
11947Jamesport 148230 7 266.2 4166% Very high density
11931Aquebogue 27525 4 138.2 2163% Very high density
11954Montauk 4,2231,424 30 60.8 952% Very high density
11944Greenport 5,0371,674 28 47.7 746% Very high density
11930Amagansett 842938 6 45.8 716% Very high density
11972Speonk 334680 3 44.5 697% Very high density
11932Bridgehampton 7252,345 8 42.2 660% Very high density
11978Westhampton Beach 4,7052,397 17 28.8 451% Very high density
11739Great River 1,2251,418 5 25.9 405% Very high density
11976Water Mill 2,9521,097 9 25.7 402% Very high density
11963Sag Harbor 8,3902,245 22 23.1 362% Very high density
11777Port Jefferson 9,3967,308 26 19.9 312% Very high density
11952Mattituck 5,0401,566 11 18.9 296% Very high density
11702Babylon 13,9094,377 28 17.4 272% Very high density
11971Southold 6,3611,306 12 17.1 268% Very high density
11968Southampton 15,3128,019 33 17.1 267% Very high density
11743Huntington 43,49018,099 89 16.9 265% Very high density
11964Shelter Island 2,906466 5 15.9 249% High density
11715Blue Point 3,936931 7 15.9 249% High density
11937East Hampton 21,8825,485 33 13.4 210% High density
11941Eastport 2,814429 4 13.2 207% High density
11946Hampton Bays 15,8193,886 23 12.9 203% High density
11766Mount Sinai 10,7501,814 15 12.9 201% High density
11782Sayville 14,4053,998 21 12.8 200% High density
11935Cutchogue 2,863796 4 12.3 192% High density
11768Northport 22,0306,010 30 12.0 188% High density
11772Patchogue 45,02315,885 61 11.5 180% High density
11769Oakdale 8,9354,747 13 11.5 180% High density
11725Commack 29,07317,597 43 11.4 178% High density
11787Smithtown 34,49918,002 42 9.7 151% High density
11901Riverhead 33,09114,663 39 9.6 151% High density
11755Lake Grove 12,1445,132 14 9.5 149% Above average
11977Westhampton 2,843665 3 9.4 148% Above average
11780Saint James 15,0186,761 17 9.2 145% Above average
11733East Setauket 17,7525,672 19 9.2 144% Above average
11790Stony Brook 21,0745,569 21 8.8 138% Above average
11718Brightwaters 3,179647 3 8.6 134% Above average
11751Islip 13,7263,416 13 8.4 132% Above average
11942East Quogue 5,4061,094 5 8.4 131% Above average
11792Wading River 8,9042,020 8 8.1 126% Above average
11764Miller Place 12,5512,473 11 8.0 125% Above average
11724Cold Spring Harbor 3,0731,375 3 8.0 125% Above average
11731East Northport 29,9996,541 25 7.5 118% Above average
11706Bay Shore 68,97624,961 61 7.5 117% Above average
11934Center Moriches 9,4182,746 8 7.4 116% Above average
11757Lindenhurst 44,4138,479 36 7.4 116% Above average
11740Greenlawn 10,1272,406 8 7.1 111% Above average
11720Centereach 29,2925,738 22 6.8 107% Above average
11729Deer Park 27,23113,958 23 6.7 105% Above average
11788Hauppauge 17,37438,054 24 6.6 103% Above average
11776Port Jefferson Station 22,8086,568 17 6.5 102% Above average
11778Rocky Point 12,3902,895 9 6.5 102% Above average
11738Farmingville 18,8773,566 13 6.3 98% Below average
11754Kings Park 17,5653,544 12 6.2 97% Below average
11940East Moriches 5,8191,860 4 5.9 93% Below average
11730East Islip 14,2473,261 9 5.7 89% Below average
11713Bellport 9,2183,760 6 5.4 85% Below average
11746Huntington Station 65,74715,647 37 5.0 79% Below average
11933Calverton 6,6933,294 4 4.8 75% Below average
11779Ronkonkoma 38,20621,220 23 4.7 74% Below average
11784Selden 26,2442,999 13 4.7 73% Below average
11763Medford 29,9738,428 16 4.7 73% Below average
11701Amityville 29,50913,816 17 4.7 73% Below average
11742Holtsville 13,2025,410 7 4.4 69% Below average
11767Nesconset 14,9642,970 7 4.3 67% Below average
11741Holbrook 26,6677,137 12 4.0 62% Below average
11747Melville 20,51351,326 18 3.9 61% Below average
11704West Babylon 40,70612,470 18 3.8 60% Below average
11749Islandia 3,6008,492 3 3.8 60% Below average
11703North Babylon 17,1872,515 7 3.8 59% Below average
11980Yaphank 5,8554,113 3 3.8 59% Below average
11953Middle Island 12,8462,563 5 3.5 55% Below average
11716Bohemia 9,65916,191 6 3.4 53% Below average
11705Bayport 8,2842,047 3 3.2 50% Below average
11722Central Islip 39,0335,933 12 2.9 45% Far below average
11795West Islip 25,3798,141 8 2.7 43% Far below average
11727Coram 28,4953,558 8 2.6 41% Far below average
11967Shirley 27,9755,900 8 2.6 40% Far below average
11949Manorville 14,5631,815 4 2.6 40% Far below average
11726Copiague 21,4554,146 6 2.6 40% Far below average
11950Mastic 17,5991,037 3 1.7 26% Far below average
11707West Babylon —41 0–2 — — Not published
11717Brentwood —12,065 16 — — Not published
11719Brookhaven 3,2351,836 0–2 — — Not published
11721Centerport 6,426735 0–2 — — Not published
11752Islip Terrace 9,2041,071 0–2 — — Not published
11786Shoreham 6,459830 0–2 — — Not published
11789Sound Beach 7,369213 0–2 — — Not published
11794Stony Brook 83111,090 0–2 — — Not published
11796West Sayville 3,560567 0–2 — — Not published
11798Wyandanch —2,060 0–2 — — Not published
11939East Marion 1,33164 0–2 — — Not published
11948Laurel 924177 0–2 — — Not published
11951Mastic Beach 15,938568 0–2 — — Not published
11955Moriches 2,458646 0–2 — — Not published
11956New Suffolk 29865 0–2 — — Not published
11957Orient 1,121177 0–2 — — Not published
11958Peconic 884384 0–2 — — Not published
11959Quogue 734666 0–2 — — Not published
11960Remsenburg 830101 0–2 — — Not published
11961Ridge 12,315843 0–2 — — Not published
11962Sagaponack 712290 0–2 — — Not published
11965Shelter Island Heights 404326 0–2 — — Not published
11969Southampton —75 0–2 — — Not published
11970South Jamesport 41628 0–2 — — Not published
11973Upton 482,693 0–2 — — Not published
11975Wainscott 450639 0–2 — — Not published
00501Holtsville —0 0–2 — — Not published
06390Fishers Island 72273 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Melville

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Melville retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Melville retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Melville retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Suffolk County and restaurants

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722511 — full-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 1,331 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.39 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.