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Lackawanna County, PA — Restaurants Saturation

How many restaurants exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 28 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Sit-down restaurants with table service. Counted together because official statistics use one 722511 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.30× the U.S. rate (between 1.30× and 1.34× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 7 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 3 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Above the U.S. rate   Lackawanna County restaurants — 130–134% of the U.S. rate

217 restaurants are counted in Lackawanna County — 8.3 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 130% of the U.S. rate of 6.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 7% between 2015 and 2023 (224 → 208). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 18508 (Scranton), 18507 (Moosic), 18519 (Scranton) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 18447 (Olyphant), 18510 (Scranton), 18505 (Scranton).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 206 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Lackawanna County sits at 130% of the U.S. rate for restaurants. 3 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 130% and 134% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 18508 and 18507; the lowest measured density is in 18447 and 18510.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing restaurants and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Restaurants
217–231
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (7 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
8.3
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.4
per 10,000 present
County index
1.30×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
206
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
215,434
24 ZIPs with data
Workers
90,335
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
216,859
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+0.6%
+1,321 people
Net migration 2024
+1,084
international +1,135, domestic −51
Jobs located here
96,622
LODES 2022, −1.3% since 2019

Lackawanna County had an estimated 216,859 residents on July 1, 2024 — 0.6% more than in 2020 (+1,321). In the latest year it gained 387 people: births minus deaths −692, international migration +1,135, domestic migration −51. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

96,622 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−1.3% since 2019), and 92,989 employed residents lived there (−2.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
18407 Carbondale
+10.1%
18518 Old Forge
+7.6%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
56
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$5.5M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$97K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more restaurants in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 7% since 2015

Number of restaurants in Lackawanna County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

224
2015
225
2018
210
2020
206
2021
199
2022
208
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
18508 Scranton
280%
18507 Moosic
214%
18519 Scranton
206%
18518 Old Forge
200%
18452 Peckville
194%
18403 Archbald
151%
18444 Moscow
129%
18509 Scranton
126%
18512 Scranton
122%
18407 Carbondale
116%
18411 Clarks Summit
108%
18433 Jermyn
97%
18504 Scranton
89%
18414 Dalton
83%
18424 Gouldsboro
75%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
18447 Olyphant
41%
18510 Scranton
42%
18505 Scranton
65%
18517 Taylor
65%
18424 Gouldsboro
75%
18414 Dalton
83%
18504 Scranton
89%
18433 Jermyn
97%
18411 Clarks Summit
108%
18407 Carbondale
116%
18512 Scranton
122%
18509 Scranton
126%
18444 Moscow
129%
18403 Archbald
151%
18452 Peckville
194%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few restaurants may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersRestaurantsIndex
18503Scranton Employment hub 1,6294,735 22 862%
18440La Plume Destination 35467 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = restaurants per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersRestaurants Per 10kIndexStatus
18503Scranton 1,6294,735 22 55.0 862% Very high density
18508Scranton 11,5655,917 26 17.9 280% Very high density
18507Moosic 5,4436,658 12 13.7 214% High density
18519Scranton 5,2664,661 10 13.2 206% High density
18518Old Forge 8,5731,629 12 12.8 200% High density
18452Peckville 5,203905 7 12.4 194% High density
18434Jessup 4,0313,681 6 10.2 160% High density
18403Archbald 6,8512,917 8 9.6 151% High density
18444Moscow 13,6041,933 12 8.2 129% Above average
18509Scranton 13,0556,244 13 8.0 126% Above average
18512Scranton 12,9867,352 13 7.8 122% Above average
18407Carbondale 14,4453,632 12 7.4 116% Above average
18411Clarks Summit 22,8209,487 19 6.9 108% Above average
18433Jermyn 7,5641,037 5 6.2 97% Below average
18504Scranton 21,0693,543 13 5.7 89% Below average
18414Dalton 5,444475 3 5.3 83% Below average
18424Gouldsboro 5,2132,057 3 4.8 75% Below average
18517Taylor 5,3033,847 3 4.2 65% Below average
18505Scranton 20,7976,670 10 4.1 65% Below average
18510Scranton 14,3328,315 5 2.7 42% Far below average
18447Olyphant 9,4703,957 3 2.6 41% Far below average
18410Chinchilla —147 0–2 — — Not published
18420Fleetville 6912 0–2 — — Not published
18440La Plume 35467 0–2 — — Not published
18471Waverly 667204 0–2 — — Not published
18501Scranton —707 0–2 — — Not published
18502Scranton —13 0–2 — — Not published
18515Scranton —734 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Clarks Summit

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Clarks Summit retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Clarks Summit retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Clarks Summit retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Lackawanna County and restaurants

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722511 — full-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 206 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.39 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.