BizGapMap

Home / Full-service restaurants / Wisconsin / Dane County, WI

Dane County, WI — Restaurants Saturation

How many restaurants exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 45 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Sit-down restaurants with table service. Counted together because official statistics use one 722511 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.04× the U.S. rate (between 1.04× and 1.07× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 18 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 7 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

In line with the U.S. rate   Dane County restaurants — 104–107% of the U.S. rate

476 restaurants are counted in Dane County — 6.6 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 104% of the U.S. rate of 6.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 7% between 2015 and 2023 (439 → 469). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 53703 (Madison), 53704 (Madison), 53562 (Middleton) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 53714 (Madison), 53718 (Madison), 53713 (Madison).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 461 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Dane County sits at 104% of the U.S. rate for restaurants. 7 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 104% and 107% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 53703 and 53704; the lowest measured density is in 53714 and 53718.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing restaurants and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Restaurants
476–512
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (18 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
6.6
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.4
per 10,000 present
County index
1.04×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
461
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
571,119
34 ZIPs with data
Workers
294,881
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
588,347
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+4.6%
+25,727 people
Net migration 2024
+6,898
international +5,922, domestic +976
Jobs located here
356,900
LODES 2022, +0.4% since 2019

Dane County had an estimated 588,347 residents on July 1, 2024 — 4.6% more than in 2020 (+25,727). In the latest year it gained 8,608 people: births minus deaths +1,683, international migration +5,922, domestic migration +976. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

356,900 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (+0.4% since 2019), and 287,690 employed residents lived there (−1.2% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
53598 Windsor
+53.9%
53593 Verona
+31.3%
53718 Madison
+28.6%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
53706 Madison
−35.1%

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
54
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$4.2M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$78K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more restaurants in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 7% since 2015

Number of restaurants in Dane County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

439
2015
481
2018
466
2020
458
2021
466
2022
469
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
53703 Madison
301%
53704 Madison
173%
53562 Middleton
154%
53572 Mount Horeb
149%
53715 Madison
147%
53523 Cambridge
142%
53716 Madison
111%
53705 Madison
104%
53559 Marshall
99%
53717 Madison
98%
53719 Madison
90%
53589 Stoughton
81%
53590 Sun Prairie
80%
53527 Cottage Grove
77%
53711 Madison
77%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
53714 Madison
32%
53718 Madison
39%
53713 Madison
44%
53593 Verona
45%
53597 Waunakee
57%
53558 Mcfarland
65%
53528 Cross Plains
69%
53532 Deforest
69%
53575 Oregon
70%
53508 Belleville
72%
53711 Madison
77%
53527 Cottage Grove
77%
53590 Sun Prairie
80%
53589 Stoughton
81%
53719 Madison
90%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few restaurants may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = restaurants per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersRestaurants Per 10kIndexStatus
53703Madison 37,65927,487 99 19.3 301% Very high density
53517Blue Mounds 1,799541 3 14.5 227% High density
53560Mazomanie 3,4161,211 5 12.4 195% High density
53704Madison 46,73020,666 63 11.0 173% High density
53562Middleton 29,79023,576 41 9.9 154% High density
53572Mount Horeb 10,3852,269 11 9.5 149% Above average
53715Madison 15,97410,649 20 9.4 147% Above average
53523Cambridge 5,074862 5 9.1 142% Above average
53716Madison 18,5968,007 16 7.1 111% Above average
53705Madison 25,01712,941 21 6.7 104% Above average
53559Marshall 6,110454 4 6.3 99% Below average
53717Madison 13,05215,617 13 6.2 98% Below average
53719Madison 34,11525,570 27 5.8 90% Below average
53589Stoughton 19,5507,136 12 5.2 81% Below average
53590Sun Prairie 45,60214,145 27 5.1 80% Below average
53527Cottage Grove 11,9244,548 7 4.9 77% Below average
53711Madison 51,27920,046 30 4.9 77% Below average
53508Belleville 5,6541,725 3 4.6 72% Below average
53575Oregon 18,2043,850 9 4.5 70% Below average
53532Deforest 16,5147,516 9 4.4 69% Below average
53528Cross Plains 6,2631,165 3 4.4 69% Below average
53558Mcfarland 13,1642,767 6 4.1 65% Below average
53597Waunakee 21,4266,178 9 3.7 57% Below average
53593Verona 31,08121,591 12 2.9 45% Far below average
53713Madison 24,35122,367 10 2.8 44% Far below average
53718Madison 18,98918,792 7 2.5 39% Far below average
53714Madison 16,1696,626 4 2.1 32% Far below average
53515Black Earth 2,647412 0–2 — — Not published
53529Dane 2,611728 0–2 — — Not published
53531Deerfield 4,4301,226 0–2 — — Not published
53571Morrisonville 3678 0–2 — — Not published
53596Sun Prairie —1,987 0–2 — — Not published
53598Windsor 4,1763,287 0–2 — — Not published
53701Madison —1,258 0–2 — — Not published
53702Madison —135 0–2 — — Not published
53706Madison 3,958202 0–2 — — Not published
53707Madison —364 0–2 — — Not published
53708Madison —678 0–2 — — Not published
53725Madison —30 0–2 — — Not published
53726Madison 5,043716 0–2 — — Not published
53744Madison —23 0–2 — — Not published
53783Madison —502 0–2 — — Not published
53784Madison —67 0–2 — — Not published
53791Madison —31 0–2 — — Not published
53792Madison 013,716 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Madison

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Madison retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Madison retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Madison retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Dane County and restaurants

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722511 — full-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 461 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.39 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.