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Essex County, NJ — Auto repair Saturation

How many auto repair exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 34 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Auto repair & maintenance shops · Body, paint & interior repair. Counted together because official statistics use one 811121 code.

Measured density: Above average — 1.02× the U.S. rate (between 1.02× and 1.38× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 19 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 16 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Essex County auto repair — 102–138% of the U.S. rate

89 auto repair are counted in Essex County — 0.9 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 102% of the U.S. rate of 0.9.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has fallen 12% between 2015 and 2023 (91 → 80). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 07105 (Newark), 07110 (Nutley), 07050 (Orange) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 07052 (West Orange), 07017 (East Orange), 07111 (Irvington).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 91 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Essex County sits at 102% of the U.S. rate for auto repair. 16 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 102% and 138% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 07105 and 07110; the lowest measured density is in 07052 and 07017.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing auto repair and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Auto repair
89–127
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (19 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
0.9
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
0.9
per 10,000 present
County index
1.02×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
91
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
863,415
31 ZIPs with data
Workers
293,932
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
881,527
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+2.5%
+21,507 people
Net migration 2024
+13,312
international +20,019, domestic −6,707
Jobs located here
348,326
LODES 2022, −0.1% since 2019

Essex County had an estimated 881,527 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.5% more than in 2020 (+21,507). In the latest year it gained 17,217 people: births minus deaths +3,864, international migration +20,019, domestic migration −6,707. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

348,326 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−0.1% since 2019), and 369,273 employed residents lived there (−0.1% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
07108 Newark
+24.5%
07112 Newark
+17.7%
07107 Newark
+14.9%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses

Not shown. Census publishes only a broader group that also includes auto glass shops, so an auto-repair-only nonemployer count is not published.

Census Nonemployer Statistics 2024 (NAICS 2022). We do not approximate this figure.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more auto repair in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — down 12% since 2015

Number of auto repair in Essex County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

91
2015
85
2018
83
2020
76
2021
82
2022
80
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
07105 Newark
239%
07110 Nutley
207%
07050 Orange
190%
07109 Belleville
189%
07042 Montclair
177%
07104 Newark
167%
07107 Newark
153%
07040 Maplewood
124%
07108 Newark
117%
07003 Bloomfield
115%
07111 Irvington
90%
07017 East Orange
82%
07052 West Orange
63%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
07052 West Orange
63%
07017 East Orange
82%
07111 Irvington
90%
07003 Bloomfield
115%
07108 Newark
117%
07040 Maplewood
124%
07107 Newark
153%
07104 Newark
167%
07042 Montclair
177%
07109 Belleville
189%
07050 Orange
190%
07110 Nutley
207%
07105 Newark
239%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few auto repair may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersAuto repairIndex
07114Newark Employment hub 13,67041,212 11 371%
07004Fairfield Employment hub 7,82424,220 3 174%
07102Newark Employment hub 12,35833,217 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = auto repair per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersAuto repair Per 10kIndexStatus
07114Newark 13,67041,212 11 3.2 371% Very high density
07105Newark 57,09321,013 14 2.1 239% High density
07110Nutley 29,9807,006 6 1.8 207% High density
07050Orange 34,1814,543 6 1.6 190% High density
07109Belleville 37,9849,622 7 1.6 189% High density
07042Montclair 27,32610,744 5 1.5 177% High density
07004Fairfield 7,82424,220 3 1.5 174% High density
07104Newark 52,2666,187 8 1.4 167% High density
07107Newark 43,2934,126 6 1.3 153% High density
07040Maplewood 25,6134,783 3 1.1 124% Above average
07108Newark 28,7901,527 3 1.0 117% Above average
07003Bloomfield 53,77113,408 6 1.0 115% Above average
07111Irvington 60,8676,294 5 0.8 90% Below average
07017East Orange 40,9103,188 3 0.7 82% Below average
07052West Orange 48,62012,190 3 0.5 63% Below average
07006Caldwell 26,65410,237 0–2 — — Not published
07009Cedar Grove 13,5354,813 0–2 — — Not published
07018East Orange 28,9247,379 0–2 — — Not published
07019East Orange —22 0–2 — — Not published
07021Essex Fells 2,361231 0–2 — — Not published
07028Glen Ridge 8,0221,083 0–2 — — Not published
07039Livingston 31,48820,238 0–2 — — Not published
07041Millburn 7,5324,166 0–2 — — Not published
07043Montclair 13,2562,429 0–2 — — Not published
07044Verona 14,5453,278 0–2 — — Not published
07051Orange —31 0–2 — — Not published
07068Roseland 6,2685,995 0–2 — — Not published
07078Short Hills 14,6139,549 0–2 — — Not published
07079South Orange 18,5396,799 0–2 — — Not published
07101Newark —466 0–2 — — Not published
07102Newark 12,35833,217 0–2 — — Not published
07103Newark 37,2938,197 0–2 — — Not published
07106Newark 36,383829 0–2 — — Not published
07112Newark 29,4565,429 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Newark

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Newark retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Newark retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Newark retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Essex County and auto repair

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 811121 — automotive body, paint & interior repair. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 91 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (0.87 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.