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Barnstable County, MA — Restaurants Saturation

How many restaurants exist per person present — residents plus daytime workers — by ZIP code, compared with the U.S. average. Establishment data: Census ZBP 2023. Population: ACS 2024 5-year. 54 ZIP codes analyzed.

Includes: Sit-down restaurants with table service. Counted together because official statistics use one 722511 code.

Measured density: Range spans bands — 2.48× the U.S. rate (between 2.48× and 2.61× once withheld ZIP cells are counted)

Why a range: Census does not publish a ZIP-by-industry count when that ZIP has 0–2 businesses. 20 ZIP cells in this county are withheld, 12 of them with residents. Each could hold 0, 1, or 2 businesses: counting them all as 0 gives the low end, counting them all as 2 gives the high end — the data cannot say where the truth sits. The density range uses only the populated cells, since ZIPs without residents are excluded from per-person rates. How ranges work

Range spans the U.S. rate   Barnstable County restaurants — 248–261% of the U.S. rate

430 restaurants are counted in Barnstable County — 15.8 per 10,000 people present (residents + daytime workers), 248% of the U.S. rate of 6.4.

On the comparable ZIP set (ZIPs with a published count in every year), the total has risen 6% between 2015 and 2023 (396 → 421). That set is smaller than today's county total. 2020–2021 were pandemic-distorted, and Census rounds counts, so small moves are within noise.

Measured supply density is highest in 02540 (Falmouth), 02601 (Hyannis), 02653 (Orleans) — well above the national rate. On measured density alone, the lowest-density residential ZIPs with a published count are 02648 (Marstons Mills), 02632 (Centerville), 02536 (East Falmouth).

BLS QCEW puts the latest county-wide count (2026 Q1) at 388 establishments, the freshest available signal.

Measured density: Barnstable County sits at 248% of the U.S. rate for restaurants. 12 ZIPs with population have no published count (each 0–2 businesses), so the true per-capita rate is between 248% and 261% of the U.S. rate. Why. The highest measured density is in 02540 and 02601; the lowest measured density is in 02648 and 02632.

This is a supply-side read: it counts existing restaurants and the people present, not foot traffic, income, rent, or whether locals want more. Treat low density as a question to check, not an answer.

Restaurants
430–470
published count; upper bound counts each withheld ZIP cell as 2 (20 cells) (2023)
Per 10,000 present
15.8
residents + daytime workers
U.S. average
6.4
per 10,000 present
County index
2.48×
vs. U.S.
Latest quarter (QCEW)
388
2026 Q1 — county total
Residents
233,772
46 ZIPs with data
Workers
76,047
jobs located in county

Is the area growing?

Population
232,570
Census PEP, July 1 2024
Change since 2020
+2.0%
+4,510 people
Net migration 2024
+1,559
international +1,513, domestic +46
Jobs located here
86,243
LODES 2022, −1.8% since 2019

Barnstable County had an estimated 232,570 residents on July 1, 2024 — 2.0% more than in 2020 (+4,510). In the latest year it lost 189 people: births minus deaths −1,728, international migration +1,513, domestic migration +46. Components are published separately and may not sum exactly.

86,243 jobs were located in the county in 2022 (−1.8% since 2019), and 96,428 employed residents lived there (−0.7% since 2019). LODES counts wage and salary jobs covered by unemployment insurance plus federal jobs; it excludes the self-employed and military, and counts jobs rather than unique people. 2019→2022 spans the pandemic, so read it as one change, not a trend.

Population and migration say whether the customer base is growing. They do not say whether people want another business of this type. Definitions and limits →  ·  Full county detail →

ZIP gaining residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change
02657 Provincetown
+24.6%
02645 Harwich
+23.8%
02642 Eastham
+19.2%
ZIP losing residents
2015–19 → 2020–24
Change

No ZIP had a statistically significant decrease.

ACS 5-year estimates for 2015–2019 and 2020–2024. Only ZIPs with at least 2,000 residents in both windows and a change larger than the survey margin of error (90%) are listed — small ZIPs move a lot on paper without a real signal.

Nonemployer businesses (no paid employees)

Nonemployer businesses
43
no paid employees (2024)
Receipts
$2.4M
published gross receipts
Receipts per business
$56K
gross, not profit

Census Nonemployer Statistics counts businesses with no paid employees — a separate universe from the employer establishments counted above; a business is in one or the other, never both. They are not storefronts by definition: many are home-based, mobile, or part-time.

We show them beside the density index, not inside it. In categories such as nail and beauty salons, child care, and pet care, one-person businesses can outnumber employer establishments, so the employer-only count understates how many businesses exist. That is not evidence of higher demand.

Receipts are gross revenue reported for these businesses — not profit, and not the size of the local market. Census publishes this only at county level, so it is not shown on the ZIP map. See methodology.

Saturation map

Each ZIP area is shaded by its density of this business type per person present (residents + workers) vs. the U.S. average. Click any ZIP to zoom to its boundary, see its numbers, and switch to aerial imagery. Individual mapped shops appear as dots at street level — Show locations zooms you in to them (scroll or double-click to zoom).

Basemap:
Under 50% 50–100% 100–150% 150–250% 250%+ 0–2 (not published) / no data ZIP total (dot size) Mapped shop (OpenStreetMap, street level)

Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors, tiles by OpenFreeMap.

White dots are ZIP totals from the official Census count — the bigger the dot, the more restaurants in that ZIP. They are aggregated, not individual shops. Turquoise dots are individual locations mapped in OpenStreetMap, shown only at street level; they are crowd-sourced and indicative, may be incomplete, and do not equal the official counts. Only the official ZIP totals feed the saturation index.

Market trend — up 6% since 2015

Number of restaurants in Barnstable County across 2015–2023, on a consistent set of ZIP codes present in every year — so changes are real, not ZIP-boundary artifacts. 2015/2018 are pre-pandemic baselines; 2020/2021 are COVID-distorted.

396
2015
412
2018
400
2020
394
2021
411
2022
421
2023

Highest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
02540 Falmouth
508%
02601 Hyannis
446%
02653 Orleans
321%
02642 Eastham
284%
02673 West Yarmouth
277%
02563 Sandwich
206%
02649 Mashpee
189%
02532 Buzzards Bay
166%
02660 South Dennis
163%
02631 Brewster
156%
02664 South Yarmouth
148%
02675 Yarmouth Port
140%
02645 Harwich
89%
02536 East Falmouth
89%
02632 Centerville
75%

Lowest measured density

ZIP
vs. U.S. average
Index
02648 Marstons Mills
73%
02632 Centerville
75%
02536 East Falmouth
89%
02645 Harwich
89%
02675 Yarmouth Port
140%
02664 South Yarmouth
148%
02631 Brewster
156%
02660 South Dennis
163%
02532 Buzzards Bay
166%
02649 Mashpee
189%
02563 Sandwich
206%
02673 West Yarmouth
277%
02642 Eastham
284%
02653 Orleans
321%
02601 Hyannis
446%
Low measured density is not evidence of opportunity. A ZIP with few restaurants may simply lack foot traffic, retail space, or demand. We rank only residential and mixed ZIPs here; employment hubs and visitor destinations are listed separately below. ZIPs where Census did not publish a count (0–2 businesses) are not ranked: they may be the least served of all, but the data cannot tell 0 from 1 or 2. Verify those locally.

Employment hubs & destinations

These ZIPs have far more workers (or visitors) than residents, so their counts are driven by daytime and visitor demand — not a place to read "shortage" from resident numbers alone.

ZIPNeighborhoodType ResidentsWorkersRestaurantsIndex
02543Woods Hole Employment hub 7471,632 5 501%
02553Monument Beach Employment hub 3065 0–2 —

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

All ZIP codes

Click a column header to sort. Index = restaurants per 10,000 people present (residents + 0.5×workers) ÷ the U.S. average. 100% = exactly average.

ZIPNeighborhood ResidentsWorkersRestaurants Per 10kIndexStatus
02657Provincetown 3,7031,603 45 99.9 1564% Very high density
02641East Dennis 316236 3 69.1 1082% Very high density
02646Harwich Port 1,846933 15 64.9 1015% Very high density
02663South Wellfleet 443113 3 60.1 940% Very high density
02639Dennis Port 3,808772 19 45.3 709% Very high density
02670West Dennis 1,087311 5 40.2 630% Very high density
02666Truro 86385 3 33.1 519% Very high density
02540Falmouth 8,1045,346 35 32.5 508% Very high density
02671West Harwich 818212 3 32.5 508% Very high density
02543Woods Hole 7471,632 5 32.0 501% Very high density
02638Dennis 3,253437 10 28.8 451% Very high density
02601Hyannis 16,07119,055 73 28.5 446% Very high density
02659South Chatham 1,137270 3 23.6 369% Very high density
02633Chatham 4,5121,624 12 22.5 353% Very high density
02667Wellfleet 3,961638 9 21.0 329% Very high density
02653Orleans 6,4432,702 16 20.5 321% Very high density
02534Cataumet 1,369358 3 19.4 303% Very high density
02556North Falmouth 2,868679 6 18.7 293% Very high density
02642Eastham 5,811497 11 18.2 284% Very high density
02673West Yarmouth 8,5942,060 17 17.7 277% Very high density
02644Forestdale 3,700465 6 15.3 239% High density
02563Sandwich 10,4363,433 16 13.2 206% High density
02649Mashpee 15,3844,091 21 12.0 189% High density
02630Barnstable 2,371416 3 11.6 182% High density
02532Buzzards Bay 13,2673,704 16 10.6 166% High density
02660South Dennis 6,3812,632 8 10.4 163% High density
02655Osterville 4,0241,679 5 10.3 161% High density
02631Brewster 10,0611,947 11 10.0 156% High density
02664South Yarmouth 9,9493,449 11 9.4 148% Above average
02675Yarmouth Port 7,2971,074 7 8.9 140% Above average
02645Harwich 11,2882,129 7 5.7 89% Below average
02536East Falmouth 21,3283,234 13 5.7 89% Below average
02632Centerville 11,6851,557 6 4.8 75% Below average
02648Marstons Mills 7,9681,273 4 4.6 73% Below average
02537East Sandwich 6,3831,145 0–2 — — Not published
02541Falmouth —58 0–2 — — Not published
02542Buzzards Bay 88227 0–2 — — Not published
02553Monument Beach 3065 0–2 — — Not published
02559Pocasset 2,8021,429 0–2 — — Not published
02561Sagamore 670197 0–2 — — Not published
02562Sagamore Beach 3,402824 0–2 — — Not published
02574West Falmouth —115 0–2 — — Not published
02635Cotuit 3,577391 0–2 — — Not published
02637Cummaquid 22753 0–2 — — Not published
02643East Orleans 055 0–2 — — Not published
02647Hyannis Port 20932 0–2 — — Not published
02650North Chatham 1,032433 0–2 — — Not published
02651North Eastham —313 0–2 — — Not published
02652North Truro 845323 0–2 — — Not published
02661South Harwich —131 0–2 — — Not published
02662South Orleans —24 0–2 — — Not published
02668West Barnstable 2,820482 0–2 — — Not published
02669West Chatham —176 0–2 — — Not published
02672West Hyannisport 09 0–2 — — Not published

Scroll the table sideways to see all columns.

Find an actual space in Hyannis

The numbers above tell you how the market looks. To find a specific storefront, these marketplaces list available retail space for lease.

LoopNet
Largest commercial marketplace
Browse Hyannis retail space →
Crexi
Free listings + market data
Browse Hyannis retail space →
CityFeet
Retail space for lease
Browse Hyannis retail space →

Open vacancy data (actual empty units) is only published by some cities; where it exists we show it directly. Listings above are third-party.

Census withholds some ZIP-by-industry cells to protect small businesses. 0–2 means the cell was not published (Census publishes industry counts only at 3+ per ZIP), so the ZIP is left unranked rather than counted as zero. ~ means the count is estimated from the broader industry group and can be off by a business or two.

Follow Barnstable County and restaurants

When a data vintage changes or a section of this report is revised, we post it to a public update feed. No email address, no account, no tracking — and nothing is sent unless something actually changed.

Subscribe to updates (RSS) How these numbers are built →

Methodology & sources

Establishments. U.S. Census ZIP Code Business Patterns (ZBP 2023), NAICS 722511 — full-service restaurants. Counts establishments with paid employees. ZBP is published annually with a ~2-year lag.

Fresh county signal. BLS QCEW (quarterly) is newer than ZBP — 2026 Q1 shows 388 establishments county-wide for this industry. It cannot be broken down by ZIP.

Population. U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year ZCTA population (table B01003). Workers are the ZIP's total employment from the same 2023 ZBP file.

Demand ("people present"). Demand comes from residents and daytime workers: residents + 0.5 × workers. This is the single documented assumption in the model and can be tuned.

Index. index = (ZIP establishments ÷ ZIP demand × 10,000) ÷ the U.S. average for this industry (6.39 per 10,000 present). It is a supply-side density measure; it does not capture income, rent, tourism, or whether locals actually want more.

Read the full methodology →  ·  Data sources & vintages →

BizGapMap — free, no-login small-business saturation reports for major U.S. counties. Built entirely from public U.S. Census, BLS, and IRS data (ZBP 2023, ACS 2024 5-year, PEP 2024, LODES, QCEW, IRS SOI). No forecasts, no revenue guesses — withheld cells are marked, and the few derived counts are labelled as estimates.